Some traders borrow to make bigger Bitcoin bets. If the price moves against them far enough, the exchange closes their trade for them: a liquidation. This map estimates where those forced exits are waiting, like storm clouds above and below the price. Updated every 30 minutes, free.
Estimate, not exchange data
Bitcoin now $76,816
Biggest cloud above · shorts$80,177+4.4% away · about $32.2M
Biggest cloud below · longs$69,999−8.9% away · about $18.1M
The liquidation storm map
Bars show estimated money that would be forced out at each price. Coral bars above the price are shorts (bets on a fall); sky bars below are longs (bets on a rise). Kumo sits on today’s price.
Positions opened in the last 30 days
Shorts above price$275.2M
Longs below price$166.8M
Each bar is a 0.25% slice of price. Longer bar = more estimated money that would be forced out if Bitcoin trades there. Tap or hover a bar to read it.
Hour by hour heatmap
The same estimate over time. Each column is one hour. Warm coral = a lot of estimated liquidations waiting at that price; pale sky = only a little. Watch how the warm bands vanish when the price line runs through them.
LessMore estimated liquidationsBitcoin price
Today’s numbers
From positions we can track in the last 4 days of data, within 15% of the price.
Shorts above price$275.2MWould be forced out if Bitcoin rises
Longs below price$166.8MWould be forced out if Bitcoin falls
Cleared in 24 hours$25.0MEstimated positions the price already ran through
DataOKX101 hourly candles, refreshed every 30 min
What is a liquidation?
A two-minute guide, no trading words needed.
Imagine you put down $1,000 and the exchange lends you more so you can bet with $10,000. That is 10× leverage. Gains and losses are now ten times bigger.
If Bitcoin falls about 10%, your $1,000 is nearly gone. Before it goes below zero, the exchange closes your trade for you. That forced close is a liquidation. You lose your $1,000.
A long is a bet that price goes up, so it gets liquidated when price falls. A short is a bet that price goes down, so it gets liquidated when price rises. The more leverage, the closer the liquidation price.
Example: Bitcoin at $100,000
Liquidation prices for an entry at $100,000
Leverage
Long out at
Short out at
5×
$80,500
$119,500
10×
$90,500
$109,500
25×
$96,500
$103,500
50×
$98,500
$101,500
100×
$99,500
$100,500
How to read this map
1Find KumoThe dashed line with Kumo on it is the Bitcoin price right now. Everything is measured from there.
2Look up for shortsCoral bars above the price are shorts. If Bitcoin climbs into a big coral bar, those shorts get forced to buy, which can push price up faster.
3Look down for longsSky bars below are longs. If Bitcoin drops into a big sky bar, those longs get forced to sell, which can push price down faster.
4Compare the time rangesSwitch between 24 hours and 30 days. A cloud that shows up in every range has been building for a while; a cloud that is only in 24 hours is fresh.
5Watch the heatmapIn the hour-by-hour view, warm bands that stay in place are levels traders keep piling into. Bands disappear when price runs through them.
z z6Never trade on it alonePair it with the trend, the RSI and the Fear & Greed Index, and always size your trade first.
How we estimate it
No exchange gives out a free liquidation map, so we build one from public numbers. Here is every step, and what it cannot know.
New positions. We take Bitcoin futures open interest (all open BTC bets) every hour for the last 30 days. When it went up, new positions were opened: the rise in BTC times that hour’s average price.
Longs or shorts. We split them by who was pushing that hour: the share of aggressive buying (taker buy volume – buyers who paid the market price straight away). 60% buying means 60% of new positions count as longs, 40% as shorts.
Leverage. Each group is spread over 5× (15%), 10× (30%), 25× (25%), 50× (20%), 100× (10%).
Liquidation price. Long: entry × (1 − 1/leverage + 0.5%). Short: entry × (1 + 1/leverage − 0.5%). The 0.5% is the small safety margin exchanges keep.
Already gone. In every later hour, if the high or low touched a position’s liquidation price, we remove it. It has already been liquidated.
Closed trades. When open interest fell (beyond what our removed liquidations explain), we shrink every tracked position by the same share.
Bucket it. What is left is added up in 0.25% price slices, from 15% below to 15% above the price.
Where the data comes from
Binance dollar-settled (USDⓈ-M) futures (BTCUSDT open interest history and hourly candles with taker buy volume). If Binance does not answer, we use Bybit, then OKX; those two do not give taker volume for free, so we judge the pushing side from the candle (an up candle counts as more buyers). Current source: OKX.
What it cannot know
Each trader’s real entry, leverage and stop-loss.
Positions opened more than 30 days ago, or on other exchanges.
Traders who add margin to stay in, or close early.
Every new contract has a buyer and a seller; our split is a best guess at which side used leverage.
Before you trade
A liquidation map tells you where the storms might be. These help you decide whether to go out at all.
It is a map of prices where traders who borrowed money to bet on Bitcoin would be forced out of their trades. Bright, big areas are prices where a lot of these forced exits are waiting. Ours shows shorts (bets on a fall) above the price and longs (bets on a rise) below it.
Is this real liquidation data from the exchanges?
No. Exchanges do not publish where each trader would be liquidated. We estimate it from public data: how open interest (all open futures positions) changed each hour, the price at that hour, and who was pushing. The shape is useful, the dollar amounts are rough estimates.
Does the price really move toward liquidation levels?
Often, but not always. When price reaches a big cluster, forced selling or buying can push it a little further, so big clusters can sometimes speed a move up. But news, big buyers and sellers, and many other things move price too. Treat the map as a weather map, not a promise.
How often is the BTC liquidation heatmap updated?
Every 30 minutes. The Bitcoin price at the top of the page and the price line on the chart move every 30 seconds while you have the page open.
What leverage do you assume?
We spread every new position over five common leverage levels: 5× (15%), 10× (30%), 25× (25%), 50× (20%), 100× (10%), with a 0.5% safety margin that exchanges keep. Real traders use many other levels, so real clusters are more spread out.
Why is one side bigger than the other?
If more new positions were opened by buyers pushing price up, there are more longs to liquidate below; if sellers were pushing, more shorts above. Price moves also clear one side: after a sharp drop most nearby longs are already gone, so the map below the price looks thinner.
How can I avoid being liquidated?
Use low or no leverage, put a stop-loss well before your liquidation price, and size each trade so a loss is small compared to your account. Our free position size calculator helps you work out how big a trade should be.
Is this tool free?
Yes. No sign-up, no keys, no paywall. It is built from free public exchange data and explained in plain words.
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Alex designed the Kumocast model behind these signals, sets its rules, reviews its accuracy record and updates the methodology whenever the model changes. Signals are refreshed every 30 minutes with live market data.