kumocast

Amazon (AMZN) Stock Prediction Today – November 1, 2026

LIVE · next update ~
Alex Wu, Independent market analystModel by · auto-updated
Wall Street (NYSE) closed · opens in 17 h 10 min – showing the 24/7 Hyperliquid (trade.xyz) price

Amazon price: $240.82

+0.17% 24h

Light rain

slightly bearish · confidence 63%

Amazon analysis today

Amazon leans lower today, though the selling is not heavy. Amazon is trading at $240.82, up 0.17% over the last 24 hours, after moving between $240.20 and $241.45.

Our model's mood score is -44 out of 100 (slightly bearish). The nearest ceiling (resistance) is $241.51 and the nearest floor (support) is $240.13. For the next 24 hours we expect Amazon to stay roughly between $233.17 and $247.13.

If buyers push through $241.51, the next stop is around $241.85. A drop below $240.13 would put $239.88 in focus. Amazon in brief – E-commerce and AWS cloud; Amazon moves on AWS growth, retail margins and consumer spending.

Over the past week Amazon has lost 3.17%, and over the past month it has lost 4.20%. Price is 0.28% under resistance and 0.29% over support; for comparison, Amazon usually moves around 2.83% a day.

See all stock predictions today →Related: S&P 500 prediction

Amazon chart: last 48 hours and next 24

Real AMZN price (solid line) and the 24-hour forecast range (shaded). The cone widens because uncertainty grows with time.

NowCeiling$241.51Floor$240.1300:0012:0000:0012:0000:0012:00UTC

Forecast ranges: 4 hours, 24 hours, 7 days

Balloon height = likely range. About two times out of three, Amazon should stay inside each balloon.

Now $240.82$243.38$237.67Next 4 hours$247.13$233.17Next 24 hours$257.41$221.62Next 7 days
  • Next 4 hours: $237.67 – $243.38
  • Next 24 hours: $233.17 – $247.13
  • Next 7 days: $221.62 – $257.41

Buyers vs sellers

Buyers versus sellers over the last day, measured by the value traded in up-candles and down-candles.

Sellers 39%Buyers 61%

Buyers 61% · Sellers 39% (last 24h)

Order-book mountains

Order-book depth near the price: the bigger mountain shows which side has more orders waiting.

$239.62$240.22$239.01Buy orders$241.42$242.63$242.02Sell orders

Long vs short accounts

Share of trader accounts holding long versus short positions on Binance Futures.

Long 62%Short 38%

62% of accounts are long

Sunny vs rainy: what happens next?

The two scenarios to watch for Amazon today.

Sunny scenario

If $240.82 breaks above $241.51 → $241.85

37%

Rainy scenario

If it breaks below $240.13 → $239.88

63%

Mood dials

Our indicator dashboard: trend, momentum and stretch at a glance.

  • RSI (14, daily)

    43

    Bearish

    sellers have the upper hand

  • MACD (4h)

    Above signal

    Bullish

    momentum is pointing up

  • Trend (EMA 20/50, 4h)

    Downtrend

    Bearish

    short trend is below the medium trend

  • Long trend (EMA 200, daily)

    Price below

    Bearish

    long-term trend is down

  • Stochastic (4h)

    85

    Bearish

    stretched to the upside

  • Trend strength (ADX)

    24

    Neutral

    no strong trend – range trading

  • Bollinger position (daily)

    23%

    Neutral

    inside the normal band

  • What the dials say

    1 of 7 indicators lean bullish and 4 lean bearish. RSI (14, daily): sellers have the upper hand; MACD (4h): momentum is pointing up; Trend (EMA 20/50, 4h): short trend is below the medium trend.

Hour-by-hour weather

Hour-by-hour weather so far: sun for rising hours, rain for falling ones.

  1. 09:00Cloudy−0.04%
  2. 10:00Cloudy−0.04%
  3. 11:00Cloudy−0.01%
  4. 12:00Cloudy+0.03%
  5. 13:00Cloudy+0.05%
  6. 14:00Cloudy−0.08%
  7. 15:00Cloudy+0.05%
  8. 16:00Cloudy−0.01%
  9. 17:00Cloudy−0.04%
  10. 18:00Cloudy−0.06%
  11. 19:00Cloudy−0.05%
  12. 20:00Cloudy−0.00%

Today in one line: 0 of the last 12 hours were bright for Amazon; the day is net positive so far.

Amazon 7-day forecast

The week ahead, one row per day, with the expected range and direction.

likely rangeprice now▲ / ▼ change of the range middle vs now

  1. MondayNov 2

    Light rain – likely between $233.52 and $247.11

    ▼ 0.25%
  2. TuesdayNov 3

    Light rain – likely between $230.23 and $249.40

    ▼ 0.50%
  3. WednesdayNov 4

    Light rain – likely between $227.60 and $251.03

    ▼ 0.74%
  4. ThursdayNov 5

    Light rain – likely between $225.32 and $252.31

    ▼ 0.99%
  5. FridayNov 6

    Light rain – likely between $223.26 and $253.37

    ▼ 1.24%
  6. SaturdayNov 7

    Light rain – likely between $221.37 and $254.27

    ▼ 1.48%
  7. SundayNov 8

    Cloudy – likely between $219.60 and $255.05

    ▼ 1.73%

Amazon stock prediction 2026–2030

Long-term scenarios from pure statistics: Amazon's yearly volatility is about 45% and its trend was +22.89% over the past year. The base case keeps only a small, capped part of that trend; the bear and bull cases show the 10% and 90% edges of the likely spread.

Year endBear caseBase caseBull case
2026$192.67$243.24+1.01%$307.10
2027$138.59$258.76+7.45%$483.12
2028$117.41$275.31+14.32%$645.56
2029$104.52$292.87+21.62%$820.70
2030$95.5383$311.56+29.37%$1,016.01

Price today: $240.82 (black line). Nobody can know where Amazon will trade in five years – these ranges show how far it could plausibly travel given its own history, not a promise. Not financial advice.

How accurate is our Amazon forecast?

We replay the daily version of the Kumocast range model on the last 30 finished days, using only data that was available before each day. A good one-standard-deviation range should catch the next close about 68% of the time.

63%Next-day range hit rate19 of 30 days closed inside the range (target ≈68%)
60%7-day range hit rate18 of 30 weekly ranges held
±1.5%Average daily rangehow wide the next-day range was on average – narrower means a calmer market

Last 30 days

  1. 2026-10-02: inside range
  2. 2026-10-03: inside range
  3. 2026-10-04: inside range
  4. 2026-10-05: inside range
  5. 2026-10-06: outside range
  6. 2026-10-07: inside range
  7. 2026-10-08: outside range
  8. 2026-10-09: outside range
  9. 2026-10-10: inside range
  10. 2026-10-11: inside range
  11. 2026-10-12: inside range
  12. 2026-10-13: inside range
  13. 2026-10-14: outside range
  14. 2026-10-15: inside range
  15. 2026-10-16: outside range
  16. 2026-10-17: inside range
  17. 2026-10-18: outside range
  18. 2026-10-19: outside range
  19. 2026-10-20: inside range
  20. 2026-10-21: inside range
  21. 2026-10-22: outside range
  22. 2026-10-23: inside range
  23. 2026-10-24: inside range
  24. 2026-10-25: inside range
  25. 2026-10-26: inside range
  26. 2026-10-27: outside range
  27. 2026-10-28: inside range
  28. 2026-10-29: outside range
  29. 2026-10-30: outside range
  30. 2026-10-31: inside range

close inside the rangeclose outside

Verdict: over the last month the Amazon ranges were well calibrated. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. How we score ourselves

Why is Amazon moving? News and events

The forecast is pure maths, but prices react to news. Here are the latest Amazon headlines and the scheduled economic releases that could move it this week.

Latest headlines

Headlines via Google News. Kumocast does not write or endorse them.

Amazon live update log

Every 30 minutes Kumo checks the sky again. Newest first.

z z

Market closed – next update when Wall Street (NYSE) opens

TODAY6

  1. $240.82−0.01%Quiet half hour: Amazon held near $240.82
  2. $240.85+0.01%Calm skies: Amazon stayed close to $240.85
  3. $240.82−0.03%Amazon drifted sideways around $240.82
  4. $240.89−0.02%Quiet half hour: Amazon held near $240.89
  5. $240.94−0.06%Amazon eased lower to $240.94 (−0.06%)
  6. $241.080.00%Amazon drifted sideways around $241.08
Show all 16 updates
  1. $241.08−0.02%Quiet half hour: Amazon held near $241.08
  2. $241.14−0.01%Calm skies: Amazon stayed close to $241.14
  3. $241.17−0.01%Amazon drifted sideways around $241.17
  4. $241.19−0.02%Quiet half hour: Amazon held near $241.19
  5. $241.23+0.01%Calm skies: Amazon stayed close to $241.23
  6. $241.20+0.05%Amazon drifted sideways around $241.20
  7. $241.09−0.07%Sellers pushed Amazon down to $241.09 (−0.07%)
  8. $241.25−0.04%Calm skies: Amazon stayed close to $241.25
  9. $241.35+0.06%Buyers lifted Amazon to $241.35 (+0.06%)
  10. $241.20−0.00%Quiet half hour: Amazon held near $241.20

Amazon prediction FAQ

What is the Amazon price prediction for today?

For today we expect Amazon to trade mostly between $233.17 and $247.13. The outlook is light rain (slightly bearish), with a 37% chance of the sunny scenario playing out first. This range is updated every 30 minutes.

What is the Amazon prediction for tomorrow?

For Monday our model points to a range of $233.52 to $247.11, centred near $240.22 (−0.25% from now).

Is Amazon going up or down?

Right now the signals are slightly bearish: 1 indicators lean up and 4 lean down. Amazon is down 3.17% over the past week.

What are the Amazon support and resistance levels?

The nearest resistance (ceiling) is $241.51 and the nearest support (floor) is $240.13. Today's classic pivot point is $240.62, with R1 at $241.11 and S1 at $239.88.

What is the Amazon forecast for this week?

Over the next 7 days we expect Amazon to stay roughly between $221.62 and $257.41. Weekly ranges are wider because uncertainty grows with time.

Is Amazon a buy or a sell today?

Kumocast does not give buy or sell advice. Our indicators currently read 1 bullish, 2 neutral and 4 bearish. Always use your own judgement and risk management.

How volatile is Amazon right now?

Amazon has a typical daily move of about 2.83% based on the last 60 days. In the last 24 hours it moved between $240.20 and $241.45.

How accurate is this Amazon prediction?

The ranges come from recent volatility, so roughly two days in three Amazon should finish inside the 24-hour band. Surprise news, earnings or liquidations can push it outside.

How often is this Amazon analysis updated?

Every 30 minutes while the market is trading. The time of the last update is shown at the top of the page.

Where does the Amazon price data come from?

Prices come from public exchange data (with automatic backup sources). See our methodology page for details.

What is the Amazon price prediction for 2030?

Our statistical base case for the end of 2030 is about $311.56, with a wide 80% range from $95.5383 (bear case) to $1,016.01 (bull case). It is built from Amazon's own volatility and a heavily shrunk version of its past-year trend, so treat it as a scenario, not a target.

Where could Amazon be at the end of 2027?

For the end of 2027 the model's base case is $258.76 (+7.45% from today), with a bear case near $138.59 and a bull case near $483.12. The range is refreshed every 30 minutes as new prices arrive.

Alex Wu, Independent market analyst

About the analyst

Alex Wu

Independent market analyst

Independent market analyst focused on crypto, DeFi, perps and FX. Driven by data. Alex designed the Kumocast weather model and reviews its methodology.

The numbers on this page are produced automatically every 30 minutes by the Kumocast engine – there are no hand-picked calls. Alex sets the rules, checks the accuracy tracker and updates the methodology when the model changes.

Follow @OnchainUalexwu@kumocast.io

How we make this forecast

Every 30 minutes Kumocast reads public price data and runs it through seven classic indicators, support and resistance detection and a volatility model. The weather word sums up the combined mood score, from −100 (rainy) to +100 (sunny). Ranges are statistical estimates, not promises. Read the full methodology

Data: Hyperliquid (trade.xyz)

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