kumocast

Nvidia (NVDA) Stock Prediction Today – November 1, 2026

LIVE · next update ~
Alex Wu, Independent market analystModel by · auto-updated
Wall Street (NYSE) closed · opens in 17 h 10 min – showing the 24/7 Hyperliquid (trade.xyz) price

Nvidia price: $204.45

+0.27% 24h

Rainy

bearish · confidence 68%

Nvidia analysis today

It is raining on Nvidia: sellers are in control. Nvidia is trading at $204.45, up 0.27% over the last 24 hours, after moving between $203.83 and $205.20.

Our model's mood score is -61 out of 100 (bearish). The nearest ceiling (resistance) is $205.53 and the nearest floor (support) is $203.05. Our 24-hour forecast range is $201.57–$206.59, based on recent volatility.

A break above $205.53 would open the way towards $207.15. If $203.05 gives way, Nvidia could slide towards $202.24. Nvidia in brief – The leading maker of AI chips; its stock moves on data-centre demand, earnings and AI spending by big tech.

Zooming out, Nvidia is down 3.73% over seven days and down 12.73% over thirty days. The ceiling sits 0.53% above the current price and the floor 0.68% below it, while a typical day moves about 1.53%.

See all stock predictions today →Related: Nasdaq 100 prediction

Nvidia chart: last 48 hours and next 24

Past 48 hours of Nvidia on the left, the forecast cone for the next 24 hours on the right. Dashed lines mark the ceiling and the floor.

NowCeiling$205.53Floor$203.0500:0012:0000:0012:0000:0012:00UTC

Forecast ranges: 4 hours, 24 hours, 7 days

Three trips, three balloons: the further ahead we look, the wider the likely range for Nvidia.

Now $204.45$205.32$203.27Next 4 hours$206.59$201.57Next 24 hours$211.60$195.11Next 7 days
  • Next 4 hours: $203.27 – $205.32
  • Next 24 hours: $201.57 – $206.59
  • Next 7 days: $195.11 – $211.60

Buyers vs sellers

A simple tug of war: money flowing through green candles against money flowing through red ones.

Sellers 46%Buyers 54%

Buyers 54% · Sellers 46% (last 24h)

Order-book mountains

Where are the big orders? Bids on the left, asks on the right, the largest walls flagged.

$203.43$203.94$202.92Buy orders$204.96$205.47$205.98Sell orders

Long vs short accounts

Share of trader accounts holding long versus short positions on Binance Futures.

Long 77%Short 23%

77% of accounts are long

Sunny vs rainy: what happens next?

Sunny if buyers break the ceiling, rainy if sellers break the floor.

Sunny scenario

If $204.45 breaks above $205.53 → $207.15

32%

Rainy scenario

If it breaks below $203.05 → $202.24

68%

Mood dials

Our indicator dashboard: trend, momentum and stretch at a glance.

  • RSI (14, daily)

    33

    Bearish

    sellers have the upper hand

  • MACD (4h)

    Above signal

    Bullish

    momentum is pointing up

  • Trend (EMA 20/50, 4h)

    Downtrend

    Bearish

    short trend is below the medium trend

  • Long trend (EMA 200, daily)

    Price below

    Bearish

    long-term trend is down

  • Stochastic (4h)

    71

    Bullish

    turning up

  • Trend strength (ADX)

    21

    Neutral

    no strong trend – range trading

  • Bollinger position (daily)

    8%

    Neutral

    inside the normal band

  • What the dials say

    2 of 7 indicators lean bullish and 3 lean bearish. RSI (14, daily): sellers have the upper hand; MACD (4h): momentum is pointing up; Trend (EMA 20/50, 4h): short trend is below the medium trend.

Hour-by-hour weather

The last 12 hours of Nvidia, hour by hour.

  1. 09:00Cloudy−0.12%
  2. 10:00Cloudy+0.04%
  3. 11:00Cloudy−0.04%
  4. 12:00Partly sunny+0.25%
  5. 13:00Cloudy+0.07%
  6. 14:00Cloudy−0.09%
  7. 15:00Cloudy+0.05%
  8. 16:00Cloudy+0.00%
  9. 17:00Light rain−0.19%
  10. 18:00Light rain−0.17%
  11. 19:00Cloudy−0.06%
  12. 20:00Cloudy+0.12%

Today in one line: 1 of the last 12 hours were bright for Nvidia; the day is net positive so far.

Nvidia 7-day forecast

The week ahead, one row per day, with the expected range and direction.

likely rangeprice now▲ / ▼ change of the range middle vs now

  1. MondayNov 2

    Rainy – likely between $200.96 and $207.22

    ▼ 0.19%
  2. TuesdayNov 3

    Light rain – likely between $199.32 and $208.15

    ▼ 0.37%
  3. WednesdayNov 4

    Light rain – likely between $197.98 and $208.78

    ▼ 0.56%
  4. ThursdayNov 5

    Light rain – likely between $196.79 and $209.25

    ▼ 0.75%
  5. FridayNov 6

    Light rain – likely between $195.72 and $209.61

    ▼ 0.93%
  6. SaturdayNov 7

    Light rain – likely between $194.71 and $209.91

    ▼ 1.12%
  7. SundayNov 8

    Light rain – likely between $193.76 and $210.15

    ▼ 1.30%

Nvidia stock prediction 2026–2030

Long-term scenarios from pure statistics: Nvidia's yearly volatility is about 35% and its trend was +6.35% over the past year. The base case keeps only a small, capped part of that trend; the bear and bull cases show the 10% and 90% edges of the likely spread.

Year endBear caseBase caseBull case
2026$171.54$205.06+0.30%$245.14
2027$129.49$208.89+2.17%$336.95
2028$110.79$212.79+4.08%$408.68
2029$98.4622$216.76+6.02%$477.18
2030$89.3012$220.80+8.00%$545.93

Price today: $204.45 (black line). Nobody can know where Nvidia will trade in five years – these ranges show how far it could plausibly travel given its own history, not a promise. Not financial advice.

How accurate is our Nvidia forecast?

We replay the daily version of the Kumocast range model on the last 30 finished days, using only data that was available before each day. A good one-standard-deviation range should catch the next close about 68% of the time.

63%Next-day range hit rate19 of 30 days closed inside the range (target ≈68%)
63%7-day range hit rate19 of 30 weekly ranges held
±1.6%Average daily rangehow wide the next-day range was on average – narrower means a calmer market

Last 30 days

  1. 2026-10-02: inside range
  2. 2026-10-03: inside range
  3. 2026-10-04: inside range
  4. 2026-10-05: outside range
  5. 2026-10-06: inside range
  6. 2026-10-07: inside range
  7. 2026-10-08: outside range
  8. 2026-10-09: inside range
  9. 2026-10-10: inside range
  10. 2026-10-11: inside range
  11. 2026-10-12: outside range
  12. 2026-10-13: outside range
  13. 2026-10-14: outside range
  14. 2026-10-15: inside range
  15. 2026-10-16: inside range
  16. 2026-10-17: inside range
  17. 2026-10-18: inside range
  18. 2026-10-19: inside range
  19. 2026-10-20: outside range
  20. 2026-10-21: inside range
  21. 2026-10-22: outside range
  22. 2026-10-23: inside range
  23. 2026-10-24: inside range
  24. 2026-10-25: inside range
  25. 2026-10-26: outside range
  26. 2026-10-27: inside range
  27. 2026-10-28: outside range
  28. 2026-10-29: outside range
  29. 2026-10-30: outside range
  30. 2026-10-31: inside range

close inside the rangeclose outside

Verdict: over the last month the Nvidia ranges were well calibrated. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. How we score ourselves

Why is Nvidia moving? News and events

The forecast is pure maths, but prices react to news. Here are the latest Nvidia headlines and the scheduled economic releases that could move it this week.

Latest headlines

Headlines via Google News. Kumocast does not write or endorse them.

Nvidia live update log

Every 30 minutes Kumo checks the sky again. Newest first.

z z

Market closed – next update when Wall Street (NYSE) opens

TODAY6

  1. $204.45−0.01%Quiet half hour: Nvidia held near $204.45
  2. $204.47+0.13%Nvidia edged higher to $204.47 (+0.13%)
  3. $204.20−0.00%Nvidia drifted sideways around $204.20
  4. $204.21−0.05%Sellers pushed Nvidia down to $204.21 (−0.05%)
  5. $204.32−0.11%Nvidia eased lower to $204.32 (−0.11%)
  6. $204.55−0.05%Nvidia slipped to $204.55 (−0.05%)
Show all 16 updates
  1. $204.66−0.14%Sellers pushed Nvidia down to $204.66 (−0.14%)
  2. $204.94−0.04%Calm skies: Nvidia stayed close to $204.94
  3. $205.02−0.02%Nvidia drifted sideways around $205.02
  4. $205.07+0.03%Quiet half hour: Nvidia held near $205.07
  5. $205.01+0.03%Calm skies: Nvidia stayed close to $205.01
  6. $204.95+0.02%Nvidia drifted sideways around $204.95
  7. $204.90−0.06%Sellers pushed Nvidia down to $204.90 (−0.06%)
  8. $205.03−0.02%Hit a new 24h high of $205.20, closed at $205.03
  9. $205.08+0.06%Hit a new 24h high of $205.14, closed at $205.08
  10. $204.95+0.01%Hit a new 24h high of $204.99, closed at $204.95

Nvidia prediction FAQ

What is the Nvidia price prediction for today?

For today we expect Nvidia to trade mostly between $201.57 and $206.59. The outlook is rainy (bearish), with a 32% chance of the sunny scenario playing out first. This range is updated every 30 minutes.

What is the Nvidia prediction for tomorrow?

For Monday our model points to a range of $200.96 to $207.22, centred near $204.07 (−0.19% from now).

Is Nvidia going up or down?

Right now the signals are bearish: 2 indicators lean up and 3 lean down. Nvidia is down 3.73% over the past week.

What are the Nvidia support and resistance levels?

The nearest resistance (ceiling) is $205.53 and the nearest support (floor) is $203.05. Today's classic pivot point is $203.86, with R1 at $205.53 and S1 at $202.24.

What is the Nvidia forecast for this week?

Over the next 7 days we expect Nvidia to stay roughly between $195.11 and $211.60. Weekly ranges are wider because uncertainty grows with time.

Is Nvidia a buy or a sell today?

We don't tell anyone to buy or sell Nvidia. Right now 2 indicators read bullish, 2 neutral and 3 bearish – use that as one input, together with your own plan and a stop-loss.

How volatile is Nvidia right now?

Nvidia has a typical daily move of about 1.53% based on the last 60 days. In the last 24 hours it moved between $203.83 and $205.20.

How accurate is this Nvidia prediction?

Our ranges are statistical: about two out of three times, price is expected to stay inside the 24-hour range. Markets can and do break out of any range, especially around news.

How often is this Nvidia analysis updated?

The page rebuilds itself about every 30 minutes with fresh NVDA data. The "updated" badge at the top shows exactly when.

Where does the Nvidia price data come from?

Prices come from public exchange data (with automatic backup sources). See our methodology page for details.

What is the Nvidia price prediction for 2030?

Our statistical base case for the end of 2030 is about $220.80, with a wide 80% range from $89.3012 (bear case) to $545.93 (bull case). It is built from Nvidia's own volatility and a heavily shrunk version of its past-year trend, so treat it as a scenario, not a target.

Where could Nvidia be at the end of 2027?

For the end of 2027 the model's base case is $208.89 (+2.17% from today), with a bear case near $129.49 and a bull case near $336.95. The range is refreshed every 30 minutes as new prices arrive.

Alex Wu, Independent market analyst

About the analyst

Alex Wu

Independent market analyst

Independent market analyst focused on crypto, DeFi, perps and FX. Driven by data. Alex designed the Kumocast weather model and reviews its methodology.

The numbers on this page are produced automatically every 30 minutes by the Kumocast engine – there are no hand-picked calls. Alex sets the rules, checks the accuracy tracker and updates the methodology when the model changes.

Follow @OnchainUalexwu@kumocast.io

How we make this forecast

Every 30 minutes Kumocast reads public price data and runs it through seven classic indicators, support and resistance detection and a volatility model. The weather word sums up the combined mood score, from −100 (rainy) to +100 (sunny). Ranges are statistical estimates, not promises. Read the full methodology

Data: Hyperliquid (trade.xyz)

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