kumocast

Nasdaq 100 Prediction Today (NDX) – November 1, 2026

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Alex Wu, Independent market analystModel by · auto-updated
Wall Street (NYSE) closed · opens in 17 h 10 min – showing the 24/7 Hyperliquid (trade.xyz) price

Nasdaq 100 price: $28,506.00

+0.21% 24h

Rainy

bearish · confidence 69%

Nasdaq 100 analysis today

Nasdaq 100 is in a rainy spell – trend and momentum both point down. Nasdaq 100 is trading at $28,506.00, up 0.21% over the last 24 hours, after moving between $28,442.00 and $28,592.00.

Our model's mood score is -58 out of 100 (bearish). The nearest ceiling (resistance) is $28,592.00 and the nearest floor (support) is $28,429.00. Our 24-hour forecast range is $28,242.68–$28,704.22, based on recent volatility.

A break above $28,592.00 would open the way towards $28,598.50. If $28,429.00 gives way, Nasdaq 100 could slide towards $28,420.00. Nasdaq 100 in brief – The Nasdaq 100 is dominated by big tech and AI names, so it moves more than the S&P 500 on rate and tech news.

The bigger picture: −1.67% in 7 days and −7.43% in 30 days for Nasdaq 100. The ceiling sits 0.30% above the current price and the floor 0.27% below it, while a typical day moves about 1.02%.

See all stock index predictions today →Related: Nvidia stock prediction

Nasdaq 100 chart: last 48 hours and next 24

Past 48 hours of Nasdaq 100 on the left, the forecast cone for the next 24 hours on the right. Dashed lines mark the ceiling and the floor.

NowCeiling$28,592.00Floor$28,429.0000:0012:0000:0012:0000:0012:00UTC

Forecast ranges: 4 hours, 24 hours, 7 days

Balloon height = likely range. About two times out of three, Nasdaq 100 should stay inside each balloon.

Now $28,506.00$28,586.76$28,398.21Next 4 hours$28,704.22$28,242.68Next 24 hours$29,174.43$27,634.77Next 7 days
  • Next 4 hours: $28,398.21 – $28,586.76
  • Next 24 hours: $28,242.68 – $28,704.22
  • Next 7 days: $27,634.77 – $29,174.43

Buyers vs sellers

Who pulled harder in the last 24 hours? We compare the value traded in rising and falling 30-minute candles.

Sellers 40%Buyers 60%

Buyers 60% · Sellers 40% (last 24h)

Order-book mountains

Order-book depth near the price: the bigger mountain shows which side has more orders waiting.

$28,363.47$28,434.74$28,506.00Buy orders$28,577.27$28,648.53$28,506.00Sell orders

Sunny vs rainy: what happens next?

Sunny if buyers break the ceiling, rainy if sellers break the floor.

Sunny scenario

If $28,506.00 breaks above $28,592.00 → $28,598.50

33%

Rainy scenario

If it breaks below $28,429.00 → $28,420.00

67%

Mood dials

Our indicator dashboard: trend, momentum and stretch at a glance.

  • RSI (14, daily)

    35

    Bearish

    sellers have the upper hand

  • MACD (4h)

    Above signal

    Bullish

    momentum is pointing up

  • Trend (EMA 20/50, 4h)

    Downtrend

    Bearish

    short trend is below the medium trend

  • Long trend (EMA 200, daily)

    Price below

    Bearish

    long-term trend is down

  • Stochastic (4h)

    82

    Bearish

    stretched to the upside

  • Trend strength (ADX)

    25

    Neutral

    a strong trend is in place

  • Bollinger position (daily)

    12%

    Neutral

    inside the normal band

  • What the dials say

    1 of 7 indicators lean bullish and 4 lean bearish. RSI (14, daily): sellers have the upper hand; MACD (4h): momentum is pointing up; Trend (EMA 20/50, 4h): short trend is below the medium trend.

Hour-by-hour weather

The last 12 hours of Nasdaq 100, hour by hour.

  1. 09:00Cloudy−0.06%
  2. 10:00Cloudy−0.03%
  3. 11:00Light rain−0.11%
  4. 12:00Partly sunny+0.12%
  5. 13:00Cloudy+0.04%
  6. 14:00Cloudy−0.02%
  7. 15:00Cloudy+0.01%
  8. 16:00Cloudy+0.02%
  9. 17:00Light rain−0.22%
  10. 18:00Cloudy−0.06%
  11. 19:00Cloudy−0.04%
  12. 20:00Partly sunny+0.13%

Today in one line: 2 of the last 12 hours were bright for Nasdaq 100; the day is net positive so far.

Nasdaq 100 7-day forecast

Our 7-day outlook for Nasdaq 100: a likely range and a mood for each day.

likely rangeprice now▲ / ▼ change of the range middle vs now

  1. MondayNov 2

    Rainy – likely between $28,181.90 and $28,765.37

    ▼ 0.12%
  2. TuesdayNov 3

    Light rain – likely between $28,029.21 and $28,853.40

    ▼ 0.24%
  3. WednesdayNov 4

    Light rain – likely between $27,904.89 and $28,913.13

    ▼ 0.36%
  4. ThursdayNov 5

    Light rain – likely between $27,795.33 and $28,958.18

    ▼ 0.47%
  5. FridayNov 6

    Light rain – likely between $27,695.24 and $28,993.83

    ▼ 0.59%
  6. SaturdayNov 7

    Light rain – likely between $27,601.92 and $29,022.78

    ▼ 0.71%
  7. SundayNov 8

    Light rain – likely between $27,513.75 and $29,046.66

    ▼ 0.83%

Nasdaq 100 prediction 2026–2030

Long-term scenarios from pure statistics: Nasdaq 100's yearly volatility is about 21% and its trend was +19.35% over the past year. The base case keeps only a small, capped part of that trend; the bear and bull cases show the 10% and 90% edges of the likely spread.

Year endBear caseBase caseBull case
2026$25,789.98$28,752.00+0.86%$32,054.23
2027$22,658.78$30,318.76+6.36%$40,568.26
2028$21,487.75$31,975.53+12.17%$47,582.23
2029$20,851.40$33,717.94+18.28%$54,523.91
2030$20,486.20$35,555.30+24.73%$61,708.84

Price today: $28,506.00 (black line). Nobody can know where Nasdaq 100 will trade in five years – these ranges show how far it could plausibly travel given its own history, not a promise. Not financial advice.

How accurate is our Nasdaq 100 forecast?

We replay the daily version of the Kumocast range model on the last 30 finished days, using only data that was available before each day. A good one-standard-deviation range should catch the next close about 68% of the time.

67%Next-day range hit rate20 of 30 days closed inside the range (target ≈68%)
63%7-day range hit rate19 of 30 weekly ranges held
±0.91%Average daily rangehow wide the next-day range was on average – narrower means a calmer market

Last 30 days

  1. 2026-10-02: inside range
  2. 2026-10-03: inside range
  3. 2026-10-04: inside range
  4. 2026-10-05: inside range
  5. 2026-10-06: inside range
  6. 2026-10-07: inside range
  7. 2026-10-08: outside range
  8. 2026-10-09: inside range
  9. 2026-10-10: inside range
  10. 2026-10-11: inside range
  11. 2026-10-12: outside range
  12. 2026-10-13: inside range
  13. 2026-10-14: outside range
  14. 2026-10-15: inside range
  15. 2026-10-16: outside range
  16. 2026-10-17: inside range
  17. 2026-10-18: outside range
  18. 2026-10-19: inside range
  19. 2026-10-20: inside range
  20. 2026-10-21: inside range
  21. 2026-10-22: outside range
  22. 2026-10-23: inside range
  23. 2026-10-24: inside range
  24. 2026-10-25: inside range
  25. 2026-10-26: outside range
  26. 2026-10-27: outside range
  27. 2026-10-28: inside range
  28. 2026-10-29: outside range
  29. 2026-10-30: outside range
  30. 2026-10-31: inside range

close inside the rangeclose outside

Verdict: over the last month the Nasdaq 100 ranges were well calibrated. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. How we score ourselves

Why is Nasdaq 100 moving? News and events

The forecast is pure maths, but prices react to news. Here are the latest Nasdaq 100 headlines and the scheduled economic releases that could move it this week.

Latest headlines

Headlines via Google News. Kumocast does not write or endorse them.

Nasdaq 100 live update log

Every 30 minutes Kumo checks the sky again. Newest first.

z z

Market closed – next update when Wall Street (NYSE) opens

TODAY6

  1. $28,506.00+0.01%Quiet half hour: Nasdaq 100 held near $28,506.00
  2. $28,502.00+0.12%Nasdaq 100 edged higher to $28,502.00 (+0.12%)
  3. $28,469.00+0.01%Nasdaq 100 drifted sideways around $28,469.00
  4. $28,465.00−0.05%Quiet half hour: Nasdaq 100 held near $28,465.00
  5. $28,478.00−0.04%Calm skies: Nasdaq 100 stayed close to $28,478.00
  6. $28,489.00−0.01%Nasdaq 100 drifted sideways around $28,489.00
Show all 16 updates
  1. $28,493.00−0.19%Sellers pushed Nasdaq 100 down to $28,493.00 (−0.19%)
  2. $28,548.00−0.03%Calm skies: Nasdaq 100 stayed close to $28,548.00
  3. $28,557.00+0.02%Nasdaq 100 drifted sideways around $28,557.00
  4. $28,551.00+0.01%Quiet half hour: Nasdaq 100 held near $28,551.00
  5. $28,549.00+0.02%Calm skies: Nasdaq 100 stayed close to $28,549.00
  6. $28,544.00−0.01%Nasdaq 100 drifted sideways around $28,544.00
  7. $28,546.00+0.02%Quiet half hour: Nasdaq 100 held near $28,546.00
  8. $28,539.00−0.05%Calm skies: Nasdaq 100 stayed close to $28,539.00
  9. $28,552.00+0.01%Nasdaq 100 drifted sideways around $28,552.00
  10. $28,548.00+0.03%Quiet half hour: Nasdaq 100 held near $28,548.00

Nasdaq 100 prediction FAQ

What is the Nasdaq 100 price prediction for today?

For today we expect Nasdaq 100 to trade mostly between $28,242.68 and $28,704.22. The outlook is rainy (bearish), with a 33% chance of the sunny scenario playing out first. This range is updated every 30 minutes.

What is the Nasdaq 100 prediction for tomorrow?

For Monday our model points to a range of $28,181.90 to $28,765.37, centred near $28,472.14 (−0.12% from now).

Is Nasdaq 100 going up or down?

Right now the signals are bearish: 1 indicators lean up and 4 lean down. Nasdaq 100 is down 1.67% over the past week.

What are the Nasdaq 100 support and resistance levels?

The nearest resistance (ceiling) is $28,592.00 and the nearest support (floor) is $28,429.00. Today's classic pivot point is $28,463.00, with R1 at $28,497.00 and S1 at $28,420.00.

What is the Nasdaq 100 forecast for this week?

Over the next 7 days we expect Nasdaq 100 to stay roughly between $27,634.77 and $29,174.43. Weekly ranges are wider because uncertainty grows with time.

Is Nasdaq 100 a buy or a sell today?

No signal here is a trade recommendation. The current read for NDX is 1 bullish / 2 neutral / 4 bearish across our seven indicators.

How volatile is Nasdaq 100 right now?

Nasdaq 100 has a typical daily move of about 1.02% based on the last 60 days. In the last 24 hours it moved between $28,442.00 and $28,592.00.

How accurate is this Nasdaq 100 prediction?

Our ranges are statistical: about two out of three times, price is expected to stay inside the 24-hour range. Markets can and do break out of any range, especially around news.

How often is this Nasdaq 100 analysis updated?

Roughly every half hour. If the main market is closed we keep showing the latest available price and say so at the top.

Where does the Nasdaq 100 price data come from?

Prices come from public exchange data (from a single public venue). See our methodology page for details.

What is the Nasdaq 100 price prediction for 2030?

Our statistical base case for the end of 2030 is about $35,555.30, with a wide 80% range from $20,486.20 (bear case) to $61,708.84 (bull case). It is built from Nasdaq 100's own volatility and a heavily shrunk version of its past-year trend, so treat it as a scenario, not a target.

Where could Nasdaq 100 be at the end of 2027?

For the end of 2027 the model's base case is $30,318.76 (+6.36% from today), with a bear case near $22,658.78 and a bull case near $40,568.26. The range is refreshed every 30 minutes as new prices arrive.

Alex Wu, Independent market analyst

About the analyst

Alex Wu

Independent market analyst

Independent market analyst focused on crypto, DeFi, perps and FX. Driven by data. Alex designed the Kumocast weather model and reviews its methodology.

The numbers on this page are produced automatically every 30 minutes by the Kumocast engine – there are no hand-picked calls. Alex sets the rules, checks the accuracy tracker and updates the methodology when the model changes.

Follow @OnchainUalexwu@kumocast.io

How we make this forecast

Every 30 minutes Kumocast reads public price data and runs it through seven classic indicators, support and resistance detection and a volatility model. The weather word sums up the combined mood score, from −100 (rainy) to +100 (sunny). Ranges are statistical estimates, not promises. Read the full methodology

Data: Hyperliquid (trade.xyz)

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