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EUR/JPY Forecast & Prediction Today – November 1, 2026

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Alex Wu, Independent market analystModel by · auto-updated
Forex market closed · opens in 40 min – showing the 24/7 Hyperliquid (trade.xyz), calculated cross rate price

Euro / Japanese Yen price: 175.536

−0.12% 24h

Rainy

bearish · confidence 78%

Euro / Japanese Yen analysis today

It is raining on Euro / Japanese Yen: sellers are in control. Euro / Japanese Yen is trading at 175.536, down 0.12% over the last 24 hours, after moving between 175.505 and 175.946.

Our model's mood score is -71 out of 100 (bearish). The nearest ceiling (resistance) is 176.040 and the nearest floor (support) is 175.254. Over the next 24 hours, the most likely range is 174.815 to 176.042.

If buyers push through 176.040, the next stop is around 176.292. A drop below 175.254 would put 175.159 in focus. Euro / Japanese Yen in brief – A popular risk-sentiment cross; it rises when markets are calm and the yen is weak, and falls in risk-off moves.

Zooming out, Euro / Japanese Yen is down 0.21% over seven days and down 1.23% over thirty days. With an average daily swing of 0.34%, the 0.29% gap to the ceiling and the 0.16% gap to the floor are both within reach today.

See all forex forecasts today →Related: Nikkei 225 prediction

Euro / Japanese Yen chart: last 48 hours and next 24

Real EUR/JPY price (solid line) and the 24-hour forecast range (shaded). The cone widens because uncertainty grows with time.

NowCeiling176.040Floor175.25400:0012:0000:0012:0000:0012:00UTC

Forecast ranges: 4 hours, 24 hours, 7 days

Three trips, three balloons: the further ahead we look, the wider the likely range for Euro / Japanese Yen.

Now 175.536175.743175.242Next 4 hours176.042174.815Next 24 hours176.840173.687Next 7 days
  • Next 4 hours: 175.242 – 175.743
  • Next 24 hours: 174.815 – 176.042
  • Next 7 days: 173.687 – 176.840

Buyers vs sellers

Who pulled harder in the last 24 hours? We compare the value traded in rising and falling 30-minute candles.

Sellers 52%Buyers 48%

Buyers 48% · Sellers 52% (last 24h)

Sunny vs rainy: what happens next?

Sunny if buyers break the ceiling, rainy if sellers break the floor.

Sunny scenario

If 175.536 breaks above 176.040 → 176.292

29%

Rainy scenario

If it breaks below 175.254 → 175.159

71%

Mood dials

What the technical indicators say right now for EUR/JPY.

  • RSI (14, daily)

    37

    Bearish

    sellers have the upper hand

  • MACD (4h)

    Below signal

    Bearish

    momentum is pointing down

  • Trend (EMA 20/50, 4h)

    Downtrend

    Bearish

    short trend is below the medium trend

  • Long trend (EMA 200, daily)

    Price below

    Bearish

    long-term trend is down

  • Stochastic (4h)

    45

    Bearish

    turning down

  • Trend strength (ADX)

    41

    Neutral

    a strong trend is in place

  • Bollinger position (daily)

    20%

    Neutral

    inside the normal band

  • What the dials say

    0 of 7 indicators lean bullish and 5 lean bearish. RSI (14, daily): sellers have the upper hand; MACD (4h): momentum is pointing down; Trend (EMA 20/50, 4h): short trend is below the medium trend.

Hour-by-hour weather

The last 12 hours of Euro / Japanese Yen, hour by hour.

  1. 09:00Cloudy0.00%
  2. 10:00Cloudy+0.01%
  3. 11:00Cloudy−0.01%
  4. 12:00Light rain−0.05%
  5. 13:00Cloudy−0.01%
  6. 14:00Cloudy−0.00%
  7. 15:00Partly sunny+0.07%
  8. 16:00Cloudy+0.01%
  9. 17:00Cloudy−0.00%
  10. 18:00Cloudy+0.00%
  11. 19:00Rainy−0.11%
  12. 20:00Light rain−0.09%

Today in one line: 1 of the last 12 hours were bright for Euro / Japanese Yen; the day is net negative so far.

The sun's path: trading sessions

The sun's path through today's sessions: Asia, London and New York.

AsiaLondonNew York

  • Asia

    Done

    High 175.894 · Low 175.664

    −0.02%

  • London

    Done

    High 175.925 · Low 175.569

    −0.04%

  • New York

    Done

    High 175.946 · Low 175.582

    +0.00%

Euro / Japanese Yen 7-day forecast

Day-by-day ranges for the coming week. Bars get wider as uncertainty grows.

likely rangeprice now▲ / ▼ change of the range middle vs now

  1. MondayNov 2

    Rainy – likely between 174.856 and 176.049

    ▼ 0.05%
  2. TuesdayNov 3

    Rainy – likely between 174.526 and 176.212

    ▼ 0.10%
  3. WednesdayNov 4

    Light rain – likely between 174.253 and 176.318

    ▼ 0.14%
  4. ThursdayNov 5

    Light rain – likely between 174.010 and 176.393

    ▼ 0.19%
  5. FridayNov 6

    Light rain – likely between 173.787 and 176.450

    ▼ 0.24%
  6. SaturdayNov 7

    Light rain – likely between 173.577 and 176.493

    ▼ 0.29%
  7. SundayNov 8

    Light rain – likely between 173.377 and 176.525

    ▼ 0.34%

EUR/JPY forecast 2026–2030

Long-term scenarios from pure statistics: Euro / Japanese Yen's yearly volatility is about 7% and its trend was −6.99% over the past year. The base case keeps only a small, capped part of that trend; the bear and bull cases show the 10% and 90% edges of the likely spread.

Year endBear caseBase caseBull case
2026169.016174.919−0.35%181.029
2027156.118171.156−2.50%187.643
2028147.709167.463−4.60%189.860
2029140.786163.861−6.65%190.716
2030134.715160.335−8.66%190.828

Price today: 175.536 (black line). Nobody can know where Euro / Japanese Yen will trade in five years – these ranges show how far it could plausibly travel given its own history, not a promise. Not financial advice.

How accurate is our Euro / Japanese Yen forecast?

We replay the daily version of the Kumocast range model on the last 30 finished days, using only data that was available before each day. A good one-standard-deviation range should catch the next close about 68% of the time.

87%Next-day range hit rate26 of 30 days closed inside the range (target ≈68%)
87%7-day range hit rate26 of 30 weekly ranges held
±0.39%Average daily rangehow wide the next-day range was on average – narrower means a calmer market

Last 30 days

  1. 2026-10-02: inside range
  2. 2026-10-03: inside range
  3. 2026-10-04: inside range
  4. 2026-10-05: inside range
  5. 2026-10-06: outside range
  6. 2026-10-07: outside range
  7. 2026-10-08: inside range
  8. 2026-10-09: inside range
  9. 2026-10-10: inside range
  10. 2026-10-11: inside range
  11. 2026-10-12: inside range
  12. 2026-10-13: inside range
  13. 2026-10-14: inside range
  14. 2026-10-15: inside range
  15. 2026-10-16: inside range
  16. 2026-10-17: inside range
  17. 2026-10-18: inside range
  18. 2026-10-19: inside range
  19. 2026-10-20: inside range
  20. 2026-10-21: inside range
  21. 2026-10-22: outside range
  22. 2026-10-23: inside range
  23. 2026-10-24: inside range
  24. 2026-10-25: inside range
  25. 2026-10-26: inside range
  26. 2026-10-27: inside range
  27. 2026-10-28: inside range
  28. 2026-10-29: inside range
  29. 2026-10-30: outside range
  30. 2026-10-31: inside range

close inside the rangeclose outside

Verdict: over the last month the Euro / Japanese Yen ranges were a little too cautious (ranges wider than needed). Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. How we score ourselves

Why is Euro / Japanese Yen moving? News and events

The forecast is pure maths, but prices react to news. Here are the latest Euro / Japanese Yen headlines and the scheduled economic releases that could move it this week.

Latest headlines

Headlines via Google News. Kumocast does not write or endorse them.

Euro / Japanese Yen live update log

Every 30 minutes Kumo checks the sky again. Newest first.

z z

Market closed – next update when Forex market opens

TODAY6

  1. 175.536−0.09%Dipped to a new 24h low of 175.505, closed at 175.536
  2. 175.694+0.03%Calm skies: Euro / Japanese Yen stayed close to 175.694
  3. 175.638−0.05%Euro / Japanese Yen slipped to 175.638 (−0.05%)
  4. 175.733−0.05%Quiet half hour: Euro / Japanese Yen held near 175.733
  5. 175.820−0.03%Calm skies: Euro / Japanese Yen stayed close to 175.820
  6. 175.8670.00%Hit a new 24h high of 175.946, closed at 175.867
Show all 16 updates
  1. 175.8670.00%Quiet half hour: Euro / Japanese Yen held near 175.867
  2. 175.867+0.02%Calm skies: Euro / Japanese Yen stayed close to 175.867
  3. 175.840−0.00%Euro / Japanese Yen drifted sideways around 175.840
  4. 175.847+0.01%Quiet half hour: Euro / Japanese Yen held near 175.847
  5. 175.831+0.05%Calm skies: Euro / Japanese Yen stayed close to 175.831
  6. 175.748+0.03%Euro / Japanese Yen drifted sideways around 175.748
  7. 175.700−0.03%Quiet half hour: Euro / Japanese Yen held near 175.700
  8. 175.759+0.04%Calm skies: Euro / Japanese Yen stayed close to 175.759
  9. 175.685−0.01%Euro / Japanese Yen drifted sideways around 175.685
  10. 175.698+0.05%Euro / Japanese Yen ticked up to 175.698 (+0.05%)

Euro / Japanese Yen prediction FAQ

What is the Euro / Japanese Yen price prediction for today?

For today we expect Euro / Japanese Yen to trade mostly between 174.815 and 176.042. The outlook is rainy (bearish), with a 29% chance of the sunny scenario playing out first. This range is updated every 30 minutes.

What is the Euro / Japanese Yen prediction for tomorrow?

For Monday our model points to a range of 174.856 to 176.049, centred near 175.452 (−0.05% from now).

Is Euro / Japanese Yen going up or down?

Right now the signals are bearish: 0 indicators lean up and 5 lean down. Euro / Japanese Yen is down 0.21% over the past week.

What are the Euro / Japanese Yen support and resistance levels?

The nearest resistance (ceiling) is 176.040 and the nearest support (floor) is 175.254. Today's classic pivot point is 175.725, with R1 at 176.040 and S1 at 175.473.

What is the Euro / Japanese Yen forecast for this week?

Over the next 7 days we expect Euro / Japanese Yen to stay roughly between 173.687 and 176.840. Weekly ranges are wider because uncertainty grows with time.

Is Euro / Japanese Yen a buy or a sell today?

We don't tell anyone to buy or sell Euro / Japanese Yen. Right now 0 indicators read bullish, 2 neutral and 5 bearish – use that as one input, together with your own plan and a stop-loss.

How volatile is Euro / Japanese Yen right now?

Euro / Japanese Yen has a typical daily move of about 0.34% based on the last 60 days. In the last 24 hours it moved between 175.505 and 175.946.

How accurate is this Euro / Japanese Yen prediction?

Our ranges are statistical: about two out of three times, price is expected to stay inside the 24-hour range. Markets can and do break out of any range, especially around news.

How often is this Euro / Japanese Yen analysis updated?

Every 30 minutes while the market is trading. The time of the last update is shown at the top of the page.

Where does the Euro / Japanese Yen price data come from?

Prices come from public exchange data (from a single public venue). See our methodology page for details.

What is the Euro / Japanese Yen price prediction for 2030?

Our statistical base case for the end of 2030 is about 160.335, with a wide 80% range from 134.715 (bear case) to 190.828 (bull case). It is built from Euro / Japanese Yen's own volatility and a heavily shrunk version of its past-year trend, so treat it as a scenario, not a target.

Where could Euro / Japanese Yen be at the end of 2027?

For the end of 2027 the model's base case is 171.156 (−2.50% from today), with a bear case near 156.118 and a bull case near 187.643. The range is refreshed every 30 minutes as new prices arrive.

Alex Wu, Independent market analyst

About the analyst

Alex Wu

Independent market analyst

Independent market analyst focused on crypto, DeFi, perps and FX. Driven by data. Alex designed the Kumocast weather model and reviews its methodology.

The numbers on this page are produced automatically every 30 minutes by the Kumocast engine – there are no hand-picked calls. Alex sets the rules, checks the accuracy tracker and updates the methodology when the model changes.

Follow @OnchainUalexwu@kumocast.io

How we make this forecast

Every 30 minutes Kumocast reads public price data and runs it through seven classic indicators, support and resistance detection and a volatility model. The weather word sums up the combined mood score, from −100 (rainy) to +100 (sunny). Ranges are statistical estimates, not promises. Read the full methodology

Data: Hyperliquid (trade.xyz), calculated cross rate

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