kumocast

XRP (XRP) Price Prediction Today – November 1, 2026

LIVE · next update ~
Alex Wu, Independent market analystModel by · auto-updated
Crypto market (24/7)

XRP price: $1.2493

−0.24% 24h

Rainy

bearish · confidence 65%

XRP analysis today

XRP is in a rainy spell – trend and momentum both point down. XRP is trading at $1.2493, down 0.24% over the last 24 hours, after moving between $1.2429 and $1.26.

Our model's mood score is -53 out of 100 (bearish). The nearest ceiling (resistance) is $1.2554 and the nearest floor (support) is $1.2468. For the next 24 hours we expect XRP to stay roughly between $1.2194 and $1.2727.

A break above $1.2554 would open the way towards $1.2554. If $1.2468 gives way, XRP could slide towards $1.2421. XRP in brief – The token of the XRP Ledger, popular with retail traders; it often moves on legal and regulatory headlines and on payment-partnership news.

Over the past week XRP has lost 3.62%, and over the past month it has lost 15.86%. Price is 0.49% under resistance and 0.20% over support; for comparison, XRP usually moves around 2.82% a day.

See all crypto price predictions today →Related: Stellar price prediction

XRP chart: last 48 hours and next 24

Real XRP price (solid line) and the 24-hour forecast range (shaded). The cone widens because uncertainty grows with time.

NowCeiling$1.2554Floor$1.246800:0012:0000:0012:0000:0012:00UTC

Forecast ranges: 4 hours, 24 hours, 7 days

Balloon height = likely range. About two times out of three, XRP should stay inside each balloon.

Now $1.2493$1.2588$1.237Next 4 hours$1.2727$1.2194Next 24 hours$1.333$1.1479Next 7 days
  • Next 4 hours: $1.237 – $1.2588
  • Next 24 hours: $1.2194 – $1.2727
  • Next 7 days: $1.1479 – $1.333

Buyers vs sellers

Who pulled harder in the last 24 hours? We compare the value traded in rising and falling 30-minute candles.

Sellers 47%Buyers 53%

Buyers 53% · Sellers 47% (last 24h)

Order-book mountains

Where are the big orders? Bids on the left, asks on the right, the largest walls flagged.

$1.2462$1.2431$1.2493Buy orders$1.2493$1.2524$1.2555Sell orders

Long vs short accounts

Share of trader accounts holding long versus short positions on Binance Futures.

Long 71%Short 29%

71% of accounts are long

Liquidation magnets

Estimated price zones where leveraged positions would be liquidated. Price is often pulled towards big clusters.

estimatedPrice $1.249310×$1.1334 (−9.3%)10×$1.3713 (+9.8%)25×$1.2085 (−3.3%)25×$1.2962 (+3.8%)50×$1.2335 (−1.3%)50×$1.2711 (+1.7%)Shorts liquidated aboveLongs liquidated below

Sunny vs rainy: what happens next?

Sunny if buyers break the ceiling, rainy if sellers break the floor.

Sunny scenario

If $1.2493 breaks above $1.2554 → $1.2554

34%

Rainy scenario

If it breaks below $1.2468 → $1.2421

66%

Mood dials

Seven classic indicators, each read as bullish, neutral or bearish.

  • RSI (14, daily)

    37

    Bearish

    sellers have the upper hand

  • MACD (4h)

    Above signal

    Bullish

    momentum is pointing up

  • Trend (EMA 20/50, 4h)

    Downtrend

    Bearish

    short trend is below the medium trend

  • Long trend (EMA 200, daily)

    Price below

    Bearish

    long-term trend is down

  • Stochastic (4h)

    54

    Bearish

    turning down

  • Trend strength (ADX)

    19

    Neutral

    no strong trend – range trading

  • Bollinger position (daily)

    10%

    Neutral

    inside the normal band

  • What the dials say

    1 of 7 indicators lean bullish and 4 lean bearish. RSI (14, daily): sellers have the upper hand; MACD (4h): momentum is pointing up; Trend (EMA 20/50, 4h): short trend is below the medium trend.

Hour-by-hour weather

Hour-by-hour weather so far: sun for rising hours, rain for falling ones.

  1. 09:00Partly sunny+0.59%
  2. 10:00Cloudy−0.17%
  3. 11:00Light rain−0.52%
  4. 12:00Partly sunny+0.26%
  5. 13:00Cloudy0.00%
  6. 14:00Cloudy−0.02%
  7. 15:00Cloudy−0.06%
  8. 16:00Cloudy+0.03%
  9. 17:00Cloudy−0.16%
  10. 18:00Cloudy−0.13%
  11. 19:00Cloudy+0.12%
  12. 20:00Cloudy−0.02%

Today in one line: 2 of the last 12 hours were bright for XRP; the day is net negative so far.

The sun's path: trading sessions

Today's trading split into the Asian, London and New York sessions.

AsiaLondonNew York
  • Asia

    Done

    High $1.2577 · Low $1.2478

    +0.18%

  • London

    Done

    High $1.26 · Low $1.246

    −0.38%

  • New York

    Done

    High $1.2548 · Low $1.2429

    +0.02%

XRP 7-day forecast

The week ahead, one row per day, with the expected range and direction.

likely rangeprice now▲ / ▼ change of the range middle vs now

  1. MondayNov 2

    Rainy – likely between $1.2109 and $1.2812

    ▼ 0.30%
  2. TuesdayNov 3

    Light rain – likely between $1.1932 and $1.2924

    ▼ 0.60%
  3. WednesdayNov 4

    Light rain – likely between $1.179 and $1.3002

    ▼ 0.89%
  4. ThursdayNov 5

    Light rain – likely between $1.1666 and $1.3062

    ▼ 1.19%
  5. FridayNov 6

    Light rain – likely between $1.1554 and $1.311

    ▼ 1.49%
  6. SaturdayNov 7

    Light rain – likely between $1.145 and $1.315

    ▼ 1.78%
  7. SundayNov 8

    Light rain – likely between $1.1353 and $1.3183

    ▼ 2.07%

XRP price prediction 2026–2030

Long-term scenarios from pure statistics: XRP's yearly volatility is about 57% and its trend was −18.29% over the past year. The base case keeps only a small, capped part of that trend; the bear and bull cases show the 10% and 90% edges of the likely spread.

Year endBear caseBase caseBull case
2026$0.9215$1.2371−0.98%$1.6608
2027$0.52902$1.1644−6.80%$2.5627
2028$0.37329$1.0957−12.30%$3.2161
2029$0.28051$1.0313−17.45%$3.7914
2030$0.21798$0.97062−22.31%$4.3221

Price today: $1.2493 (black line). Nobody can know where XRP will trade in five years – these ranges show how far it could plausibly travel given its own history, not a promise. Not financial advice.

How accurate is our XRP forecast?

We replay the daily version of the Kumocast range model on the last 30 finished days, using only data that was available before each day. A good one-standard-deviation range should catch the next close about 68% of the time.

87%Next-day range hit rate26 of 30 days closed inside the range (target ≈68%)
97%7-day range hit rate29 of 30 weekly ranges held
±3.5%Average daily rangehow wide the next-day range was on average – narrower means a calmer market

Last 30 days

  1. 2026-10-02: inside range
  2. 2026-10-03: inside range
  3. 2026-10-04: inside range
  4. 2026-10-05: inside range
  5. 2026-10-06: inside range
  6. 2026-10-07: outside range
  7. 2026-10-08: inside range
  8. 2026-10-09: inside range
  9. 2026-10-10: inside range
  10. 2026-10-11: inside range
  11. 2026-10-12: outside range
  12. 2026-10-13: inside range
  13. 2026-10-14: inside range
  14. 2026-10-15: inside range
  15. 2026-10-16: inside range
  16. 2026-10-17: inside range
  17. 2026-10-18: inside range
  18. 2026-10-19: inside range
  19. 2026-10-20: inside range
  20. 2026-10-21: inside range
  21. 2026-10-22: outside range
  22. 2026-10-23: inside range
  23. 2026-10-24: inside range
  24. 2026-10-25: inside range
  25. 2026-10-26: inside range
  26. 2026-10-27: inside range
  27. 2026-10-28: inside range
  28. 2026-10-29: outside range
  29. 2026-10-30: inside range
  30. 2026-10-31: inside range

close inside the rangeclose outside

Verdict: over the last month the XRP ranges were a little too cautious (ranges wider than needed). Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. How we score ourselves

Why is XRP moving? News and events

The forecast is pure maths, but prices react to news. Here are the latest XRP headlines and the scheduled economic releases that could move it this week.

Upcoming economic events

  • USD · ISM Manufacturing PMI · forecast 54.7 · previous 54.5
    Medium
  • USD · JOLTS Job Openings · forecast 7.11M · previous 7.08M
    Medium
  • USD · Congressional Elections
    High
  • USD · ISM Services PMI · forecast 54.9 · previous 54.9
    Medium
  • USD · Unemployment Claims · forecast 197K · previous 194K
    Medium
  • USD · Average Hourly Earnings m/m · forecast 0.3% · previous 0.1%
    High

Calendar data: ForexFactory. Volatility often jumps around high-impact releases.

XRP live update log

Every 30 minutes Kumo checks the sky again. Newest first.

TODAY6

  1. $1.2493−0.03%Quiet half hour: XRP held near $1.2493
  2. $1.2497+0.02%Calm skies: XRP stayed close to $1.2497
  3. $1.2495+0.22%Buyers lifted XRP to $1.2495 (+0.22%)
  4. $1.2467−0.11%Sellers pushed XRP down to $1.2467 (−0.11%)
  5. $1.2481−0.05%Dipped to a new 24h low of $1.2429, closed at $1.2481
  6. $1.2487−0.08%XRP slipped to $1.2487 (−0.08%)
Show all 16 updates
  1. $1.2497−0.04%Quiet half hour: XRP held near $1.2497
  2. $1.2502−0.12%XRP eased lower to $1.2502 (−0.12%)
  3. $1.2517+0.10%Buyers lifted XRP to $1.2517 (+0.10%)
  4. $1.2504−0.07%Sellers pushed XRP down to $1.2504 (−0.07%)
  5. $1.2513+0.11%XRP edged higher to $1.2513 (+0.11%)
  6. $1.2499−0.18%XRP slipped to $1.2499 (−0.18%)
  7. $1.2522−0.11%Sellers pushed XRP down to $1.2522 (−0.11%)
  8. $1.2536+0.10%XRP edged higher to $1.2536 (+0.10%)
  9. $1.2524−0.10%XRP slipped to $1.2524 (−0.10%)
  10. $1.2536+0.10%XRP ticked up to $1.2536 (+0.10%)

XRP prediction FAQ

What is the XRP price prediction for today?

For today we expect XRP to trade mostly between $1.2194 and $1.2727. The outlook is rainy (bearish), with a 34% chance of the sunny scenario playing out first. This range is updated every 30 minutes.

What is the XRP prediction for tomorrow?

For Monday our model points to a range of $1.2109 to $1.2812, centred near $1.2456 (−0.30% from now).

Is XRP going up or down?

Right now the signals are bearish: 1 indicators lean up and 4 lean down. XRP is down 3.62% over the past week.

What are the XRP support and resistance levels?

The nearest resistance (ceiling) is $1.2554 and the nearest support (floor) is $1.2468. Today's classic pivot point is $1.2522, with R1 at $1.262 and S1 at $1.2421.

What is the XRP forecast for this week?

Over the next 7 days we expect XRP to stay roughly between $1.1479 and $1.333. Weekly ranges are wider because uncertainty grows with time.

Is XRP a buy or a sell today?

Kumocast does not give buy or sell advice. Our indicators currently read 1 bullish, 2 neutral and 4 bearish. Always use your own judgement and risk management.

How volatile is XRP right now?

XRP has a typical daily move of about 2.82% based on the last 60 days. In the last 24 hours it moved between $1.2429 and $1.26.

How accurate is this XRP prediction?

Think of it like a weather forecast: the 24-hour range for XRP is built to hold about 68% of the time. It is a probability, not a promise.

How often is this XRP analysis updated?

Roughly every half hour. If the main market is closed we keep showing the latest available price and say so at the top.

Where does the XRP price data come from?

Prices come from public exchange data (with automatic backup sources). See our methodology page for details.

What is the XRP price prediction for 2030?

Our statistical base case for the end of 2030 is about $0.97062, with a wide 80% range from $0.21798 (bear case) to $4.3221 (bull case). It is built from XRP's own volatility and a heavily shrunk version of its past-year trend, so treat it as a scenario, not a target.

Where could XRP be at the end of 2027?

For the end of 2027 the model's base case is $1.1644 (−6.80% from today), with a bear case near $0.52902 and a bull case near $2.5627. The range is refreshed every 30 minutes as new prices arrive.

Alex Wu, Independent market analyst

About the analyst

Alex Wu

Independent market analyst

Independent market analyst focused on crypto, DeFi, perps and FX. Driven by data. Alex designed the Kumocast weather model and reviews its methodology.

The numbers on this page are produced automatically every 30 minutes by the Kumocast engine – there are no hand-picked calls. Alex sets the rules, checks the accuracy tracker and updates the methodology when the model changes.

How we make this forecast

Every 30 minutes Kumocast reads public price data and runs it through seven classic indicators, support and resistance detection and a volatility model. The weather word sums up the combined mood score, from −100 (rainy) to +100 (sunny). Ranges are statistical estimates, not promises. Read the full methodology

Data: Binance

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