kumocast

Nikkei 225 Prediction Today (JP225) – November 1, 2026

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Alex Wu, Independent market analystModel by · auto-updated
Tokyo Stock Exchange closed · opens in 2 h 40 min – showing the 24/7 Hyperliquid (trade.xyz) price

Nikkei 225 price: $62,603.00

+0.74% 24h

Light rain

slightly bearish · confidence 62%

Nikkei 225 analysis today

Nikkei 225 leans lower today, though the selling is not heavy. Nikkei 225 is trading at $62,603.00, up 0.74% over the last 24 hours, after moving between $62,143.00 and $62,868.00.

Our model's mood score is -44 out of 100 (slightly bearish). The nearest ceiling (resistance) is $62,921.25 and the nearest floor (support) is $62,349.33. For the next 24 hours we expect Nikkei 225 to stay roughly between $61,763.21 and $63,284.59.

If buyers push through $62,921.25, the next stop is around $63,063.00. A drop below $62,349.33 would put $62,088.00 in focus. Nikkei 225 in brief – Japan’s main stock index; it is sensitive to the yen, Bank of Japan policy and exporters’ earnings.

Over the past week Nikkei 225 has gained 0.46%, and over the past month it has lost 10.31%. Price is 0.51% under resistance and 0.41% over support; for comparison, Nikkei 225 usually moves around 1.40% a day.

See all stock index predictions today →Related: USD/JPY forecast

Nikkei 225 chart: last 48 hours and next 24

The line shows the real Nikkei 225 price for the last 48 hours; the shaded cone is where our model expects it to stay over the next 24 hours.

NowCeiling$62,921.25Floor$62,349.3300:0012:0000:0012:0000:0012:00UTC

Forecast ranges: 4 hours, 24 hours, 7 days

Each balloon stretches from the expected low to the expected high. Longer trips need bigger balloons.

Now $62,603.00$62,880.37$62,258.79Next 4 hours$63,284.59$61,763.21Next 24 hours$64,701.89$60,080.44Next 7 days
  • Next 4 hours: $62,258.79 – $62,880.37
  • Next 24 hours: $61,763.21 – $63,284.59
  • Next 7 days: $60,080.44 – $64,701.89

Buyers vs sellers

A simple tug of war: money flowing through green candles against money flowing through red ones.

Sellers 55%Buyers 45%

Buyers 45% · Sellers 55% (last 24h)

Order-book mountains

Where are the big orders? Bids on the left, asks on the right, the largest walls flagged.

$62,133.48$62,603.00$62,289.99Buy orders$62,916.02$63,072.52$62,759.51Sell orders

Sunny vs rainy: what happens next?

Two ways the next move could go, with the chance our model gives each.

Sunny scenario

If $62,603.00 breaks above $62,921.25 → $63,063.00

37%

Rainy scenario

If it breaks below $62,349.33 → $62,088.00

63%

Mood dials

Our indicator dashboard: trend, momentum and stretch at a glance.

  • RSI (14, daily)

    40

    Bearish

    sellers have the upper hand

  • MACD (4h)

    Above signal

    Bullish

    momentum is pointing up

  • Trend (EMA 20/50, 4h)

    Downtrend

    Bearish

    short trend is below the medium trend

  • Long trend (EMA 200, daily)

    Price below

    Bearish

    long-term trend is down

  • Stochastic (4h)

    74

    Bullish

    turning up

  • Trend strength (ADX)

    21

    Neutral

    no strong trend – range trading

  • Bollinger position (daily)

    29%

    Neutral

    inside the normal band

  • What the dials say

    2 of 7 indicators lean bullish and 3 lean bearish. RSI (14, daily): sellers have the upper hand; MACD (4h): momentum is pointing up; Trend (EMA 20/50, 4h): short trend is below the medium trend.

Hour-by-hour weather

Hour-by-hour weather so far: sun for rising hours, rain for falling ones.

  1. 09:00Cloudy+0.00%
  2. 10:00Cloudy−0.10%
  3. 11:00Cloudy−0.10%
  4. 12:00Sunny+0.44%
  5. 13:00Partly sunny+0.28%
  6. 14:00Partly sunny+0.15%
  7. 15:00Partly sunny+0.20%
  8. 16:00Cloudy−0.04%
  9. 17:00Cloudy−0.07%
  10. 18:00Cloudy−0.10%
  11. 19:00Partly sunny+0.17%
  12. 20:00Light rain−0.15%

Today in one line: 5 of the last 12 hours were bright for Nikkei 225; the day is net positive so far.

Nikkei 225 7-day forecast

Day-by-day ranges for the coming week. Bars get wider as uncertainty grows.

likely rangeprice now▲ / ▼ change of the range middle vs now

  1. MondayNov 2

    Light rain – likely between $61,656.34 and $63,407.71

    ▼ 0.12%
  2. TuesdayNov 3

    Light rain – likely between $61,224.21 and $63,698.05

    ▼ 0.25%
  3. WednesdayNov 4

    Light rain – likely between $60,877.22 and $63,903.42

    ▼ 0.37%
  4. ThursdayNov 5

    Light rain – likely between $60,574.51 and $64,064.67

    ▼ 0.49%
  5. FridayNov 6

    Light rain – likely between $60,300.21 and $64,197.65

    ▼ 0.61%
  6. SaturdayNov 7

    Light rain – likely between $60,046.20 and $64,310.51

    ▼ 0.74%
  7. SundayNov 8

    Cloudy – likely between $59,807.63 and $64,408.09

    ▼ 0.86%

Nikkei 225 prediction 2026–2030

Long-term scenarios from pure statistics: Nikkei 225's yearly volatility is about 29% and its trend was +20.01% over the past year. The base case keeps only a small, capped part of that trend; the bear and bull cases show the 10% and 90% edges of the likely spread.

Year endBear caseBase caseBull case
2026$54,399.76$63,160.15+0.89%$73,331.29
2027$44,720.67$66,711.98+6.56%$99,517.49
2028$40,827.31$70,474.11+12.57%$121,648.99
2029$38,471.10$74,437.25+18.90%$144,027.71
2030$36,873.10$78,623.25+25.59%$167,645.67

Price today: $62,603.00 (black line). Nobody can know where Nikkei 225 will trade in five years – these ranges show how far it could plausibly travel given its own history, not a promise. Not financial advice.

How accurate is our Nikkei 225 forecast?

We replay the daily version of the Kumocast range model on the last 30 finished days, using only data that was available before each day. A good one-standard-deviation range should catch the next close about 68% of the time.

63%Next-day range hit rate19 of 30 days closed inside the range (target ≈68%)
50%7-day range hit rate15 of 30 weekly ranges held
±1.4%Average daily rangehow wide the next-day range was on average – narrower means a calmer market

Last 30 days

  1. 2026-10-02: outside range
  2. 2026-10-03: inside range
  3. 2026-10-04: inside range
  4. 2026-10-05: inside range
  5. 2026-10-06: inside range
  6. 2026-10-07: outside range
  7. 2026-10-08: outside range
  8. 2026-10-09: inside range
  9. 2026-10-10: inside range
  10. 2026-10-11: inside range
  11. 2026-10-12: outside range
  12. 2026-10-13: inside range
  13. 2026-10-14: outside range
  14. 2026-10-15: inside range
  15. 2026-10-16: outside range
  16. 2026-10-17: inside range
  17. 2026-10-18: inside range
  18. 2026-10-19: inside range
  19. 2026-10-20: inside range
  20. 2026-10-21: outside range
  21. 2026-10-22: outside range
  22. 2026-10-23: inside range
  23. 2026-10-24: inside range
  24. 2026-10-25: inside range
  25. 2026-10-26: outside range
  26. 2026-10-27: outside range
  27. 2026-10-28: inside range
  28. 2026-10-29: inside range
  29. 2026-10-30: outside range
  30. 2026-10-31: inside range

close inside the rangeclose outside

Verdict: over the last month the Nikkei 225 ranges were well calibrated. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. How we score ourselves

Why is Nikkei 225 moving? News and events

The forecast is pure maths, but prices react to news. Here are the latest Nikkei 225 headlines and the scheduled economic releases that could move it this week.

Latest headlines

Headlines via Google News. Kumocast does not write or endorse them.

Nikkei 225 live update log

Every 30 minutes Kumo checks the sky again. Newest first.

z z

Market closed – next update when Tokyo Stock Exchange opens

TODAY6

  1. $62,603.00−0.15%Sellers pushed Nikkei 225 down to $62,603.00 (−0.15%)
  2. $62,700.000.00%Calm skies: Nikkei 225 stayed close to $62,700.00
  3. $62,700.00+0.17%Buyers lifted Nikkei 225 to $62,700.00 (+0.17%)
  4. $62,595.000.00%Quiet half hour: Nikkei 225 held near $62,595.00
  5. $62,595.00−0.12%Nikkei 225 eased lower to $62,595.00 (−0.12%)
  6. $62,673.00+0.02%Nikkei 225 drifted sideways around $62,673.00
Show all 16 updates
  1. $62,658.000.00%Quiet half hour: Nikkei 225 held near $62,658.00
  2. $62,658.00−0.04%Calm skies: Nikkei 225 stayed close to $62,658.00
  3. $62,682.000.00%Nikkei 225 drifted sideways around $62,682.00
  4. $62,682.000.00%Quiet half hour: Nikkei 225 held near $62,682.00
  5. $62,682.00−0.19%Nikkei 225 eased lower to $62,682.00 (−0.19%)
  6. $62,801.00−0.03%Nikkei 225 drifted sideways around $62,801.00
  7. $62,818.00+0.29%Nikkei 225 ticked up to $62,818.00 (+0.29%)
  8. $62,636.00−0.14%Nikkei 225 eased lower to $62,636.00 (−0.14%)
  9. $62,725.00+0.44%Buyers lifted Nikkei 225 to $62,725.00 (+0.44%)
  10. $62,450.00−0.16%Hit a new 24h high of $62,868.00, closed at $62,450.00

Nikkei 225 prediction FAQ

What is the Nikkei 225 price prediction for today?

For today we expect Nikkei 225 to trade mostly between $61,763.21 and $63,284.59. The outlook is light rain (slightly bearish), with a 37% chance of the sunny scenario playing out first. This range is updated every 30 minutes.

What is the Nikkei 225 prediction for tomorrow?

For Monday our model points to a range of $61,656.34 to $63,407.71, centred near $62,525.89 (−0.12% from now).

Is Nikkei 225 going up or down?

Right now the signals are slightly bearish: 2 indicators lean up and 3 lean down. Nikkei 225 is up 0.46% over the past week.

What are the Nikkei 225 support and resistance levels?

The nearest resistance (ceiling) is $62,921.25 and the nearest support (floor) is $62,349.33. Today's classic pivot point is $62,226.67, with R1 at $62,349.33 and S1 at $62,032.33.

What is the Nikkei 225 forecast for this week?

Over the next 7 days we expect Nikkei 225 to stay roughly between $60,080.44 and $64,701.89. Weekly ranges are wider because uncertainty grows with time.

Is Nikkei 225 a buy or a sell today?

We don't tell anyone to buy or sell Nikkei 225. Right now 2 indicators read bullish, 2 neutral and 3 bearish – use that as one input, together with your own plan and a stop-loss.

How volatile is Nikkei 225 right now?

Nikkei 225 has a typical daily move of about 1.40% based on the last 60 days. In the last 24 hours it moved between $62,143.00 and $62,868.00.

How accurate is this Nikkei 225 prediction?

Think of it like a weather forecast: the 24-hour range for Nikkei 225 is built to hold about 68% of the time. It is a probability, not a promise.

How often is this Nikkei 225 analysis updated?

Every 30 minutes while the market is trading. The time of the last update is shown at the top of the page.

Where does the Nikkei 225 price data come from?

Prices come from public exchange data (from a single public venue). See our methodology page for details.

What is the Nikkei 225 price prediction for 2030?

Our statistical base case for the end of 2030 is about $78,623.25, with a wide 80% range from $36,873.10 (bear case) to $167,645.67 (bull case). It is built from Nikkei 225's own volatility and a heavily shrunk version of its past-year trend, so treat it as a scenario, not a target.

Where could Nikkei 225 be at the end of 2027?

For the end of 2027 the model's base case is $66,711.98 (+6.56% from today), with a bear case near $44,720.67 and a bull case near $99,517.49. The range is refreshed every 30 minutes as new prices arrive.

Alex Wu, Independent market analyst

About the analyst

Alex Wu

Independent market analyst

Independent market analyst focused on crypto, DeFi, perps and FX. Driven by data. Alex designed the Kumocast weather model and reviews its methodology.

The numbers on this page are produced automatically every 30 minutes by the Kumocast engine – there are no hand-picked calls. Alex sets the rules, checks the accuracy tracker and updates the methodology when the model changes.

Follow @OnchainUalexwu@kumocast.io

How we make this forecast

Every 30 minutes Kumocast reads public price data and runs it through seven classic indicators, support and resistance detection and a volatility model. The weather word sums up the combined mood score, from −100 (rainy) to +100 (sunny). Ranges are statistical estimates, not promises. Read the full methodology

Data: Hyperliquid (trade.xyz)

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