kumocast

Cardano (ADA) Price Prediction Today – November 1, 2026

LIVE · next update ~
Alex Wu, Independent market analystModel by · auto-updated
Crypto market (24/7)

Cardano price: $0.1919

−0.67% 24h

Rainy

bearish · confidence 72%

Cardano analysis today

Stormy for Cardano: most signals lean lower. Cardano is trading at $0.1919, down 0.67% over the last 24 hours, after moving between $0.1906 and $0.1945.

Our model's mood score is -63 out of 100 (bearish). The nearest ceiling (resistance) is $0.19435 and the nearest floor (support) is $0.191. For the next 24 hours we expect Cardano to stay roughly between $0.18553 and $0.19668.

A break above $0.19435 would open the way towards $0.1956. If $0.191 gives way, Cardano could slide towards $0.18985. Cardano in brief – A proof-of-stake blockchain with a large, long-term holder base; ADA tends to follow the wider altcoin market.

The bigger picture: −6.02% in 7 days and −21.48% in 30 days for Cardano. With an average daily swing of 3.53%, the 1.28% gap to the ceiling and the 0.47% gap to the floor are both within reach today.

See all crypto price predictions today →

Cardano chart: last 48 hours and next 24

Past 48 hours of Cardano on the left, the forecast cone for the next 24 hours on the right. Dashed lines mark the ceiling and the floor.

NowCeiling$0.19435Floor$0.19100:0012:0000:0012:0000:0012:00UTC

Forecast ranges: 4 hours, 24 hours, 7 days

Three trips, three balloons: the further ahead we look, the wider the likely range for Cardano.

Now $0.1919$0.19384$0.18927Next 4 hours$0.19668$0.18553Next 24 hours$0.20763$0.17222Next 7 days
  • Next 4 hours: $0.18927 – $0.19384
  • Next 24 hours: $0.18553 – $0.19668
  • Next 7 days: $0.17222 – $0.20763

Buyers vs sellers

A simple tug of war: money flowing through green candles against money flowing through red ones.

Sellers 55%Buyers 45%

Buyers 45% · Sellers 55% (last 24h)

Order-book mountains

Where are the big orders? Bids on the left, asks on the right, the largest walls flagged.

$0.19142$0.1919$0.18998Buy orders$0.19238$0.19286$0.19334Sell orders

Long vs short accounts

Share of trader accounts holding long versus short positions on Binance Futures.

Long 65%Short 35%

65% of accounts are long

Liquidation magnets

Estimated price zones where leveraged positions would be liquidated. Price is often pulled towards big clusters.

estimatedPrice $0.191910×$0.17468 (−9.0%)10×$0.21136 (+10.1%)25×$0.18626 (−2.9%)25×$0.19978 (+4.1%)50×$0.19013 (−0.9%)50×$0.19592 (+2.1%)Shorts liquidated aboveLongs liquidated below

Sunny vs rainy: what happens next?

Sunny if buyers break the ceiling, rainy if sellers break the floor.

Sunny scenario

If $0.1919 breaks above $0.19435 → $0.1956

31%

Rainy scenario

If it breaks below $0.191 → $0.18985

69%

Mood dials

What the technical indicators say right now for ADA.

  • RSI (14, daily)

    32

    Bearish

    sellers have the upper hand

  • MACD (4h)

    Above signal

    Bullish

    momentum is pointing up

  • Trend (EMA 20/50, 4h)

    Downtrend

    Bearish

    short trend is below the medium trend

  • Long trend (EMA 200, daily)

    Price below

    Bearish

    long-term trend is down

  • Stochastic (4h)

    27

    Bearish

    turning down

  • Trend strength (ADX)

    30

    Neutral

    a strong trend is in place

  • Bollinger position (daily)

    11%

    Neutral

    inside the normal band

  • What the dials say

    1 of 7 indicators lean bullish and 4 lean bearish. RSI (14, daily): sellers have the upper hand; MACD (4h): momentum is pointing up; Trend (EMA 20/50, 4h): short trend is below the medium trend.

Hour-by-hour weather

How each of the last twelve hours went for ADA.

  1. 09:00Partly sunny+0.52%
  2. 10:00Light rain−0.36%
  3. 11:00Light rain−0.46%
  4. 12:00Partly sunny+0.52%
  5. 13:00Cloudy−0.21%
  6. 14:00Cloudy0.00%
  7. 15:00Cloudy−0.05%
  8. 16:00Cloudy+0.05%
  9. 17:00Light rain−0.36%
  10. 18:00Light rain−0.52%
  11. 19:00Cloudy+0.21%
  12. 20:00Cloudy+0.05%

Today in one line: 2 of the last 12 hours were bright for Cardano; the day is net negative so far.

The sun's path: trading sessions

How Cardano behaved in each of today's three main sessions.

AsiaLondonNew York

  • Asia

    Done

    High $0.1942 · Low $0.1919

    +0.16%

  • London

    Done

    High $0.1945 · Low $0.1922

    −0.26%

  • New York

    Done

    High $0.1941 · Low $0.1906

    −0.41%

Cardano 7-day forecast

Day-by-day ranges for the coming week. Bars get wider as uncertainty grows.

likely rangeprice now▲ / ▼ change of the range middle vs now

  1. MondayNov 2

    Rainy – likely between $0.18441 and $0.19792

    ▼ 0.44%
  2. TuesdayNov 3

    Rainy – likely between $0.18093 and $0.19995

    ▼ 0.89%
  3. WednesdayNov 4

    Light rain – likely between $0.17811 and $0.20131

    ▼ 1.33%
  4. ThursdayNov 5

    Light rain – likely between $0.17565 and $0.20232

    ▼ 1.77%
  5. FridayNov 6

    Light rain – likely between $0.17342 and $0.20311

    ▼ 2.20%
  6. SaturdayNov 7

    Light rain – likely between $0.17135 and $0.20373

    ▼ 2.64%
  7. SundayNov 8

    Light rain – likely between $0.16941 and $0.20424

    ▼ 3.07%

Cardano price prediction 2026–2030

Long-term scenarios from pure statistics: Cardano's yearly volatility is about 71% and its trend was −47.31% over the past year. The base case keeps only a small, capped part of that trend; the bear and bull cases show the 10% and 90% edges of the likely spread.

Year endBear caseBase caseBull case
2026$0.13033$0.18821−1.92%$0.27178
2027$0.06238$0.16692−13.01%$0.44667
2028$0.03862$0.148−22.88%$0.56718
2029$0.02586$0.13126−31.60%$0.66622
2030$0.01806$0.11642−39.33%$0.75045

Price today: $0.1919 (black line). Nobody can know where Cardano will trade in five years – these ranges show how far it could plausibly travel given its own history, not a promise. Not financial advice.

How accurate is our Cardano forecast?

We replay the daily version of the Kumocast range model on the last 30 finished days, using only data that was available before each day. A good one-standard-deviation range should catch the next close about 68% of the time.

73%Next-day range hit rate22 of 30 days closed inside the range (target ≈68%)
80%7-day range hit rate24 of 30 weekly ranges held
±4.1%Average daily rangehow wide the next-day range was on average – narrower means a calmer market

Last 30 days

  1. 2026-10-02: inside range
  2. 2026-10-03: inside range
  3. 2026-10-04: outside range
  4. 2026-10-05: outside range
  5. 2026-10-06: inside range
  6. 2026-10-07: outside range
  7. 2026-10-08: outside range
  8. 2026-10-09: outside range
  9. 2026-10-10: inside range
  10. 2026-10-11: inside range
  11. 2026-10-12: outside range
  12. 2026-10-13: inside range
  13. 2026-10-14: inside range
  14. 2026-10-15: inside range
  15. 2026-10-16: inside range
  16. 2026-10-17: inside range
  17. 2026-10-18: inside range
  18. 2026-10-19: inside range
  19. 2026-10-20: inside range
  20. 2026-10-21: inside range
  21. 2026-10-22: outside range
  22. 2026-10-23: inside range
  23. 2026-10-24: inside range
  24. 2026-10-25: inside range
  25. 2026-10-26: inside range
  26. 2026-10-27: inside range
  27. 2026-10-28: inside range
  28. 2026-10-29: outside range
  29. 2026-10-30: inside range
  30. 2026-10-31: inside range

close inside the rangeclose outside

Verdict: over the last month the Cardano ranges were well calibrated. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. How we score ourselves

Why is Cardano moving? News and events

The forecast is pure maths, but prices react to news. Here are the latest Cardano headlines and the scheduled economic releases that could move it this week.

Latest headlines

Headlines via Google News. Kumocast does not write or endorse them.

Upcoming economic events

  • USD · ISM Manufacturing PMI · forecast 54.7 · previous 54.5
    Medium
  • USD · JOLTS Job Openings · forecast 7.11M · previous 7.08M
    Medium
  • USD · Congressional Elections
    High
  • USD · ISM Services PMI · forecast 54.9 · previous 54.9
    Medium
  • USD · Unemployment Claims · forecast 197K · previous 194K
    Medium
  • USD · Average Hourly Earnings m/m · forecast 0.3% · previous 0.1%
    High

Calendar data: ForexFactory. Volatility often jumps around high-impact releases.

Cardano live update log

Every 30 minutes Kumo checks the sky again. Newest first.

TODAY6

  1. $0.1919−0.10%Sellers pushed Cardano down to $0.1919 (−0.10%)
  2. $0.1921+0.16%Cardano edged higher to $0.1921 (+0.16%)
  3. $0.1918+0.10%Buyers lifted Cardano to $0.1918 (+0.10%)
  4. $0.1916+0.10%Cardano ticked up to $0.1916 (+0.10%)
  5. $0.1914−0.31%Dipped to a new 24h low of $0.1906, closed at $0.1914
  6. $0.192−0.21%Dipped to a new 24h low of $0.1919, closed at $0.192
Show all 16 updates
  1. $0.1924−0.05%Sellers pushed Cardano down to $0.1924 (−0.05%)
  2. $0.1925−0.31%Cardano eased lower to $0.1925 (−0.31%)
  3. $0.19310.00%Cardano drifted sideways around $0.1931
  4. $0.1931+0.05%Cardano ticked up to $0.1931 (+0.05%)
  5. $0.1930.00%Calm skies: Cardano stayed close to $0.193
  6. $0.193−0.10%Cardano slipped to $0.193 (−0.10%)
  7. $0.1932−0.05%Sellers pushed Cardano down to $0.1932 (−0.05%)
  8. $0.1933+0.05%Cardano edged higher to $0.1933 (+0.05%)
  9. $0.1932−0.21%Cardano slipped to $0.1932 (−0.21%)
  10. $0.19360.00%Quiet half hour: Cardano held near $0.1936

Cardano prediction FAQ

What is the Cardano price prediction for today?

For today we expect Cardano to trade mostly between $0.18553 and $0.19668. The outlook is rainy (bearish), with a 31% chance of the sunny scenario playing out first. This range is updated every 30 minutes.

What is the Cardano prediction for tomorrow?

For Monday our model points to a range of $0.18441 to $0.19792, centred near $0.19105 (−0.44% from now).

Is Cardano going up or down?

Right now the signals are bearish: 1 indicators lean up and 4 lean down. Cardano is down 6.02% over the past week.

What are the Cardano support and resistance levels?

The nearest resistance (ceiling) is $0.19435 and the nearest support (floor) is $0.191. Today's classic pivot point is $0.194, with R1 at $0.196 and S1 at $0.191.

What is the Cardano forecast for this week?

Over the next 7 days we expect Cardano to stay roughly between $0.17222 and $0.20763. Weekly ranges are wider because uncertainty grows with time.

Is Cardano a buy or a sell today?

We don't tell anyone to buy or sell Cardano. Right now 1 indicators read bullish, 2 neutral and 4 bearish – use that as one input, together with your own plan and a stop-loss.

How volatile is Cardano right now?

Cardano has a typical daily move of about 3.53% based on the last 60 days. In the last 24 hours it moved between $0.1906 and $0.1945.

How accurate is this Cardano prediction?

Our ranges are statistical: about two out of three times, price is expected to stay inside the 24-hour range. Markets can and do break out of any range, especially around news.

How often is this Cardano analysis updated?

Roughly every half hour. If the main market is closed we keep showing the latest available price and say so at the top.

Where does the Cardano price data come from?

Prices come from public exchange data (with automatic backup sources). See our methodology page for details.

What is the Cardano price prediction for 2030?

Our statistical base case for the end of 2030 is about $0.11642, with a wide 80% range from $0.01806 (bear case) to $0.75045 (bull case). It is built from Cardano's own volatility and a heavily shrunk version of its past-year trend, so treat it as a scenario, not a target.

Where could Cardano be at the end of 2027?

For the end of 2027 the model's base case is $0.16692 (−13.01% from today), with a bear case near $0.06238 and a bull case near $0.44667. The range is refreshed every 30 minutes as new prices arrive.

Alex Wu, Independent market analyst

About the analyst

Alex Wu

Independent market analyst

Independent market analyst focused on crypto, DeFi, perps and FX. Driven by data. Alex designed the Kumocast weather model and reviews its methodology.

The numbers on this page are produced automatically every 30 minutes by the Kumocast engine – there are no hand-picked calls. Alex sets the rules, checks the accuracy tracker and updates the methodology when the model changes.

Follow @OnchainUalexwu@kumocast.io

How we make this forecast

Every 30 minutes Kumocast reads public price data and runs it through seven classic indicators, support and resistance detection and a volatility model. The weather word sums up the combined mood score, from −100 (rainy) to +100 (sunny). Ranges are statistical estimates, not promises. Read the full methodology

Data: Binance

More Crypto forecasts

Crypto Price Predictions