kumocast

GBP/USD Forecast & Prediction Today – November 1, 2026

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Alex Wu, Independent market analystModel by · auto-updated
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British Pound / US Dollar price: 1.33720

+0.08% 24h

Partly sunny

slightly bullish · confidence 56%

British Pound / US Dollar analysis today

British Pound / US Dollar is partly sunny: buyers are ahead, but not by much. British Pound / US Dollar is trading at 1.33720, up 0.08% over the last 24 hours, after moving between 1.33500 and 1.34200.

Our model's mood score is +33 out of 100 (slightly bullish). The nearest ceiling (resistance) is 1.34080 and the nearest floor (support) is 1.33307. Our 24-hour forecast range is 1.33122–1.34428, based on recent volatility.

If buyers push through 1.34080, the next stop is around 1.34127. A drop below 1.33307 would put 1.33233 in focus. British Pound / US Dollar in brief – Known as “cable”; it reacts to Bank of England decisions, UK inflation data and the US dollar.

Over the past week British Pound / US Dollar has lost 0.02%, and over the past month it has gained 0.65%. The ceiling sits 0.27% above the current price and the floor 0.31% below it, while a typical day moves about 0.28%.

See all forex forecasts today →

British Pound / US Dollar chart: last 48 hours and next 24

Real GBP/USD price (solid line) and the 24-hour forecast range (shaded). The cone widens because uncertainty grows with time.

NowCeiling1.34080Floor1.3330700:0012:0000:0012:0000:0012:00UTC

Forecast ranges: 4 hours, 24 hours, 7 days

Three trips, three balloons: the further ahead we look, the wider the likely range for British Pound / US Dollar.

Now 1.337201.340091.33476Next 4 hours1.344281.33122Next 24 hours1.347841.32825Next 7 days
  • Next 4 hours: 1.33476 – 1.34009
  • Next 24 hours: 1.33122 – 1.34428
  • Next 7 days: 1.32825 – 1.34784

Buyers vs sellers

Who pulled harder in the last 24 hours? We compare the value traded in rising and falling 30-minute candles.

Sellers 65%Buyers 35%

Buyers 35% · Sellers 65% (last 24h)

Order-book mountains

Order-book depth near the price: the bigger mountain shows which side has more orders waiting.

1.320491.330511.31714Buy orders1.357261.353921.36060Sell orders

Sunny vs rainy: what happens next?

Sunny if buyers break the ceiling, rainy if sellers break the floor.

Sunny scenario

If 1.33720 breaks above 1.34080 → 1.34127

60%

Rainy scenario

If it breaks below 1.33307 → 1.33233

40%

Mood dials

Our indicator dashboard: trend, momentum and stretch at a glance.

  • RSI (14, daily)

    55

    Neutral

    balanced

  • MACD (4h)

    Below signal

    Bearish

    momentum is pointing down

  • Trend (EMA 20/50, 4h)

    Uptrend

    Bullish

    short trend is above the medium trend

  • Long trend (EMA 200, daily)

    Not enough data

    Neutral

    less than 200 days of history

  • Stochastic (4h)

    41

    Bearish

    turning down

  • Trend strength (ADX)

    12

    Neutral

    no strong trend – range trading

  • Bollinger position (daily)

    67%

    Neutral

    inside the normal band

  • What the dials say

    1 of 7 indicators lean bullish and 2 lean bearish. RSI (14, daily): balanced; MACD (4h): momentum is pointing down; Trend (EMA 20/50, 4h): short trend is above the medium trend.

Hour-by-hour weather

Hour-by-hour weather so far: sun for rising hours, rain for falling ones.

  1. 09:00Cloudy0.00%
  2. 10:00Cloudy−0.01%
  3. 11:00Partly sunny+0.13%
  4. 12:00Light rain−0.13%
  5. 13:00Cloudy0.00%
  6. 14:00Cloudy0.00%
  7. 15:00Cloudy−0.04%
  8. 16:00Cloudy0.00%
  9. 17:00Sunny+0.28%
  10. 18:00Cloudy−0.04%
  11. 19:00Cloudy0.00%
  12. 20:00Rainy−0.18%

Today in one line: 2 of the last 12 hours were bright for British Pound / US Dollar; the day is net positive so far.

The sun's path: trading sessions

The sun's path through today's sessions: Asia, London and New York.

AsiaLondonNew York

  • Asia

    Done

    High 1.33900 · Low 1.33500

    +0.01%

  • London

    Done

    High 1.33820 · Low 1.33500

    +0.07%

  • New York

    Done

    High 1.34010 · Low 1.33620

    +0.25%

British Pound / US Dollar 7-day forecast

Day-by-day ranges for the coming week. Bars get wider as uncertainty grows.

likely rangeprice now▲ / ▼ change of the range middle vs now

  1. MondayNov 2

    Partly sunny – likely between 1.33375 and 1.34115

    ▲ 0.02%
  2. TuesdayNov 3

    Partly sunny – likely between 1.33247 and 1.34293

    ▲ 0.04%
  3. WednesdayNov 4

    Partly sunny – likely between 1.33154 and 1.34436

    ▲ 0.05%
  4. ThursdayNov 5

    Partly sunny – likely between 1.33079 and 1.34560

    ▲ 0.07%
  5. FridayNov 6

    Cloudy – likely between 1.33017 and 1.34672

    ▲ 0.09%
  6. SaturdayNov 7

    Cloudy – likely between 1.32963 and 1.34777

    ▲ 0.11%
  7. SundayNov 8

    Cloudy – likely between 1.32915 and 1.34874

    ▲ 0.13%

GBP/USD forecast 2026–2030

Long-term scenarios from pure statistics: British Pound / US Dollar's yearly volatility is about 6% and its trend was less than a year of history. The base case keeps only a small, capped part of that trend; the bear and bull cases show the 10% and 90% edges of the likely spread.

Year endBear caseBase caseBull case
20261.298981.33648−0.05%1.37506
20271.234271.33204−0.39%1.43756
20281.196411.32761−0.72%1.47320
20291.166771.32320−1.05%1.50061
20301.141561.31881−1.38%1.52357

Price today: 1.33720 (black line). Nobody can know where British Pound / US Dollar will trade in five years – these ranges show how far it could plausibly travel given its own history, not a promise. Not financial advice.

How accurate is our British Pound / US Dollar forecast?

We replay the daily version of the Kumocast range model on the last 30 finished days, using only data that was available before each day. A good one-standard-deviation range should catch the next close about 68% of the time.

63%Next-day range hit rate19 of 30 days closed inside the range (target ≈68%)
87%7-day range hit rate26 of 30 weekly ranges held
±0.29%Average daily rangehow wide the next-day range was on average – narrower means a calmer market

Last 30 days

  1. 2026-10-02: outside range
  2. 2026-10-03: outside range
  3. 2026-10-04: inside range
  4. 2026-10-05: inside range
  5. 2026-10-06: outside range
  6. 2026-10-07: outside range
  7. 2026-10-08: inside range
  8. 2026-10-09: inside range
  9. 2026-10-10: inside range
  10. 2026-10-11: inside range
  11. 2026-10-12: outside range
  12. 2026-10-13: outside range
  13. 2026-10-14: inside range
  14. 2026-10-15: outside range
  15. 2026-10-16: outside range
  16. 2026-10-17: inside range
  17. 2026-10-18: inside range
  18. 2026-10-19: outside range
  19. 2026-10-20: outside range
  20. 2026-10-21: inside range
  21. 2026-10-22: inside range
  22. 2026-10-23: inside range
  23. 2026-10-24: inside range
  24. 2026-10-25: inside range
  25. 2026-10-26: inside range
  26. 2026-10-27: inside range
  27. 2026-10-28: inside range
  28. 2026-10-29: outside range
  29. 2026-10-30: inside range
  30. 2026-10-31: inside range

close inside the rangeclose outside

Verdict: over the last month the British Pound / US Dollar ranges were well calibrated. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. How we score ourselves

Why is British Pound / US Dollar moving? News and events

The forecast is pure maths, but prices react to news. Here are the latest British Pound / US Dollar headlines and the scheduled economic releases that could move it this week.

Latest headlines

Headlines via Google News. Kumocast does not write or endorse them.

British Pound / US Dollar live update log

Every 30 minutes Kumo checks the sky again. Newest first.

z z

Market closed – next update when Forex market opens

TODAY6

  1. 1.33720−0.18%Sellers pushed British Pound / US Dollar down to 1.33720 (−0.18%)
  2. 1.339600.00%Calm skies: British Pound / US Dollar stayed close to 1.33960
  3. 1.339600.00%British Pound / US Dollar drifted sideways around 1.33960
  4. 1.339600.00%Quiet half hour: British Pound / US Dollar held near 1.33960
  5. 1.33960−0.04%Calm skies: British Pound / US Dollar stayed close to 1.33960
  6. 1.340100.00%British Pound / US Dollar drifted sideways around 1.34010
Show all 16 updates
  1. 1.34010+0.21%British Pound / US Dollar ticked up to 1.34010 (+0.21%)
  2. 1.33730+0.04%Calm skies: British Pound / US Dollar stayed close to 1.33730
  3. 1.336800.00%British Pound / US Dollar drifted sideways around 1.33680
  4. 1.336800.00%Quiet half hour: British Pound / US Dollar held near 1.33680
  5. 1.336800.00%Calm skies: British Pound / US Dollar stayed close to 1.33680
  6. 1.33680+0.04%British Pound / US Dollar drifted sideways around 1.33680
  7. 1.336200.00%Quiet half hour: British Pound / US Dollar held near 1.33620
  8. 1.336200.00%Calm skies: British Pound / US Dollar stayed close to 1.33620
  9. 1.336200.00%British Pound / US Dollar drifted sideways around 1.33620
  10. 1.336200.00%Quiet half hour: British Pound / US Dollar held near 1.33620

British Pound / US Dollar prediction FAQ

What is the British Pound / US Dollar price prediction for today?

For today we expect British Pound / US Dollar to trade mostly between 1.33122 and 1.34428. The outlook is partly sunny (slightly bullish), with a 60% chance of the sunny scenario playing out first. This range is updated every 30 minutes.

What is the British Pound / US Dollar prediction for tomorrow?

For Monday our model points to a range of 1.33375 to 1.34115, centred near 1.33744 (+0.02% from now).

Is British Pound / US Dollar going up or down?

Right now the signals are slightly bullish: 1 indicators lean up and 2 lean down. British Pound / US Dollar is down 0.02% over the past week.

What are the British Pound / US Dollar support and resistance levels?

The nearest resistance (ceiling) is 1.34080 and the nearest support (floor) is 1.33307. Today's classic pivot point is 1.33753, with R1 at 1.34127 and S1 at 1.33307.

What is the British Pound / US Dollar forecast for this week?

Over the next 7 days we expect British Pound / US Dollar to stay roughly between 1.32825 and 1.34784. Weekly ranges are wider because uncertainty grows with time.

Is British Pound / US Dollar a buy or a sell today?

Kumocast does not give buy or sell advice. Our indicators currently read 1 bullish, 4 neutral and 2 bearish. Always use your own judgement and risk management.

How volatile is British Pound / US Dollar right now?

British Pound / US Dollar has a typical daily move of about 0.28% based on the last 60 days. In the last 24 hours it moved between 1.33500 and 1.34200.

How accurate is this British Pound / US Dollar prediction?

Think of it like a weather forecast: the 24-hour range for British Pound / US Dollar is built to hold about 68% of the time. It is a probability, not a promise.

How often is this British Pound / US Dollar analysis updated?

The page rebuilds itself about every 30 minutes with fresh GBP/USD data. The "updated" badge at the top shows exactly when.

Where does the British Pound / US Dollar price data come from?

Prices come from public exchange data (from a single public venue). See our methodology page for details.

What is the British Pound / US Dollar price prediction for 2030?

Our statistical base case for the end of 2030 is about 1.31881, with a wide 80% range from 1.14156 (bear case) to 1.52357 (bull case). It is built from British Pound / US Dollar's own volatility and a heavily shrunk version of its past-year trend, so treat it as a scenario, not a target.

Where could British Pound / US Dollar be at the end of 2027?

For the end of 2027 the model's base case is 1.33204 (−0.39% from today), with a bear case near 1.23427 and a bull case near 1.43756. The range is refreshed every 30 minutes as new prices arrive.

Alex Wu, Independent market analyst

About the analyst

Alex Wu

Independent market analyst

Independent market analyst focused on crypto, DeFi, perps and FX. Driven by data. Alex designed the Kumocast weather model and reviews its methodology.

The numbers on this page are produced automatically every 30 minutes by the Kumocast engine – there are no hand-picked calls. Alex sets the rules, checks the accuracy tracker and updates the methodology when the model changes.

Follow @OnchainUalexwu@kumocast.io

How we make this forecast

Every 30 minutes Kumocast reads public price data and runs it through seven classic indicators, support and resistance detection and a volatility model. The weather word sums up the combined mood score, from −100 (rainy) to +100 (sunny). Ranges are statistical estimates, not promises. Read the full methodology

Data: Hyperliquid (trade.xyz)

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