kumocast

Tesla (TSLA) Stock Prediction Today – November 1, 2026

LIVE · next update ~
Alex Wu, Independent market analystModel by · auto-updated
Wall Street (NYSE) closed · opens in 17 h 10 min – showing the 24/7 Hyperliquid (trade.xyz) price

Tesla price: $399.07

−0.05% 24h

Partly sunny

slightly bullish · confidence 57%

Tesla analysis today

Mostly bright for Tesla, with a few clouds – a mild bullish lean. Tesla is trading at $399.07, down 0.05% over the last 24 hours, after moving between $398.41 and $400.97.

Our model's mood score is +17 out of 100 (slightly bullish). The nearest ceiling (resistance) is $400.26 and the nearest floor (support) is $398.18. Over the next 24 hours, the most likely range is $393.85 to $404.83.

A break above $400.26 would open the way towards $400.97. If $398.18 gives way, Tesla could slide towards $397.88. Tesla in brief – Electric cars, energy storage and robotaxi plans; Tesla is one of the most traded and most volatile large stocks.

Over the past week Tesla has gained 7.55%, and over the past month it has gained 7.43%. With an average daily swing of 1.99%, the 0.30% gap to the ceiling and the 0.22% gap to the floor are both within reach today.

See all stock predictions today →Related: Nasdaq 100 prediction

Tesla chart: last 48 hours and next 24

Real TSLA price (solid line) and the 24-hour forecast range (shaded). The cone widens because uncertainty grows with time.

NowCeiling$400.26Floor$398.1800:0012:0000:0012:0000:0012:00UTC

Forecast ranges: 4 hours, 24 hours, 7 days

Each balloon stretches from the expected low to the expected high. Longer trips need bigger balloons.

Now $399.07$401.41$396.93Next 4 hours$404.83$393.85Next 24 hours$421.57$379.47Next 7 days
  • Next 4 hours: $396.93 – $401.41
  • Next 24 hours: $393.85 – $404.83
  • Next 7 days: $379.47 – $421.57

Buyers vs sellers

Buyers versus sellers over the last day, measured by the value traded in up-candles and down-candles.

Sellers 53%Buyers 47%

Buyers 47% · Sellers 53% (last 24h)

Order-book mountains

Where are the big orders? Bids on the left, asks on the right, the largest walls flagged.

$398.07$397.07$399.07Buy orders$400.07$401.07$399.07Sell orders

Long vs short accounts

Share of trader accounts holding long versus short positions on Binance Futures.

Long 72%Short 28%

72% of accounts are long

Sunny vs rainy: what happens next?

The two scenarios to watch for Tesla today.

Sunny scenario

If $399.07 breaks above $400.26 → $400.97

55%

Rainy scenario

If it breaks below $398.18 → $397.88

45%

Mood dials

Our indicator dashboard: trend, momentum and stretch at a glance.

  • RSI (14, daily)

    63

    Bullish

    buyers have the upper hand

  • MACD (4h)

    Below signal

    Bearish

    momentum is pointing down

  • Trend (EMA 20/50, 4h)

    Uptrend

    Bullish

    short trend is above the medium trend

  • Long trend (EMA 200, daily)

    Price above

    Bullish

    long-term trend is up

  • Stochastic (4h)

    70

    Bearish

    turning down

  • Trend strength (ADX)

    33

    Neutral

    a strong trend is in place

  • Bollinger position (daily)

    80%

    Neutral

    inside the normal band

  • What the dials say

    3 of 7 indicators lean bullish and 2 lean bearish. RSI (14, daily): buyers have the upper hand; MACD (4h): momentum is pointing down; Trend (EMA 20/50, 4h): short trend is above the medium trend.

Hour-by-hour weather

The last 12 hours of Tesla, hour by hour.

  1. 09:00Light rain−0.16%
  2. 10:00Cloudy−0.05%
  3. 11:00Cloudy−0.05%
  4. 12:00Cloudy+0.01%
  5. 13:00Cloudy+0.01%
  6. 14:00Cloudy−0.01%
  7. 15:00Cloudy+0.02%
  8. 16:00Cloudy−0.01%
  9. 17:00Cloudy−0.02%
  10. 18:00Cloudy−0.13%
  11. 19:00Cloudy−0.12%
  12. 20:00Cloudy+0.07%

Today in one line: 0 of the last 12 hours were bright for Tesla; the day is net negative so far.

Tesla 7-day forecast

Day-by-day ranges for the coming week. Bars get wider as uncertainty grows.

likely rangeprice now▲ / ▼ change of the range middle vs now

  1. MondayNov 2

    Cloudy – likely between $391.48 and $407.36

    ▲ 0.07%
  2. TuesdayNov 3

    Cloudy – likely between $388.53 and $411.01

    ▲ 0.14%
  3. WednesdayNov 4

    Cloudy – likely between $386.34 and $413.89

    ▲ 0.20%
  4. ThursdayNov 5

    Cloudy – likely between $384.55 and $416.38

    ▲ 0.27%
  5. FridayNov 6

    Cloudy – likely between $383.01 and $418.63

    ▲ 0.34%
  6. SaturdayNov 7

    Cloudy – likely between $381.64 and $420.69

    ▲ 0.41%
  7. SundayNov 8

    Cloudy – likely between $380.41 and $422.62

    ▲ 0.47%

Tesla stock prediction 2026–2030

Long-term scenarios from pure statistics: Tesla's yearly volatility is about 44% and its trend was −5.64% over the past year. The base case keeps only a small, capped part of that trend; the bear and bull cases show the 10% and 90% edges of the likely spread.

Year endBear caseBase caseBull case
2026$317.24$397.95−0.28%$499.18
2027$213.11$391.08−2.00%$717.68
2028$167.81$384.32−3.70%$880.18
2029$138.67$377.68−5.36%$1,028.65
2030$117.60$371.17−6.99%$1,171.51

Price today: $399.07 (black line). Nobody can know where Tesla will trade in five years – these ranges show how far it could plausibly travel given its own history, not a promise. Not financial advice.

How accurate is our Tesla forecast?

We replay the daily version of the Kumocast range model on the last 30 finished days, using only data that was available before each day. A good one-standard-deviation range should catch the next close about 68% of the time.

70%Next-day range hit rate21 of 30 days closed inside the range (target ≈68%)
50%7-day range hit rate15 of 30 weekly ranges held
±2.1%Average daily rangehow wide the next-day range was on average – narrower means a calmer market

Last 30 days

  1. 2026-10-02: outside range
  2. 2026-10-03: inside range
  3. 2026-10-04: inside range
  4. 2026-10-05: inside range
  5. 2026-10-06: inside range
  6. 2026-10-07: inside range
  7. 2026-10-08: inside range
  8. 2026-10-09: outside range
  9. 2026-10-10: inside range
  10. 2026-10-11: inside range
  11. 2026-10-12: outside range
  12. 2026-10-13: inside range
  13. 2026-10-14: outside range
  14. 2026-10-15: inside range
  15. 2026-10-16: outside range
  16. 2026-10-17: inside range
  17. 2026-10-18: outside range
  18. 2026-10-19: inside range
  19. 2026-10-20: outside range
  20. 2026-10-21: inside range
  21. 2026-10-22: inside range
  22. 2026-10-23: inside range
  23. 2026-10-24: inside range
  24. 2026-10-25: inside range
  25. 2026-10-26: outside range
  26. 2026-10-27: outside range
  27. 2026-10-28: inside range
  28. 2026-10-29: inside range
  29. 2026-10-30: inside range
  30. 2026-10-31: inside range

close inside the rangeclose outside

Verdict: over the last month the Tesla ranges were well calibrated. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. How we score ourselves

Why is Tesla moving? News and events

The forecast is pure maths, but prices react to news. Here are the latest Tesla headlines and the scheduled economic releases that could move it this week.

Latest headlines

Headlines via Google News. Kumocast does not write or endorse them.

Tesla live update log

Every 30 minutes Kumo checks the sky again. Newest first.

z z

Market closed – next update when Wall Street (NYSE) opens

TODAY6

  1. $399.07+0.01%Quiet half hour: Tesla held near $399.07
  2. $399.03+0.06%Tesla edged higher to $399.03 (+0.06%)
  3. $398.79+0.01%Tesla drifted sideways around $398.79
  4. $398.74−0.16%Dipped to a new 24h low of $398.41, closed at $398.74
  5. $399.36−0.08%Tesla eased lower to $399.36 (−0.08%)
  6. $399.66−0.04%Tesla drifted sideways around $399.66
Show all 16 updates
  1. $399.83−0.02%Quiet half hour: Tesla held near $399.83
  2. $399.91+0.01%Calm skies: Tesla stayed close to $399.91
  3. $399.89−0.03%Tesla drifted sideways around $399.89
  4. $400.03+0.03%Quiet half hour: Tesla held near $400.03
  5. $399.91+0.04%Calm skies: Tesla stayed close to $399.91
  6. $399.77−0.01%Tesla drifted sideways around $399.77
  7. $399.79−0.00%Quiet half hour: Tesla held near $399.79
  8. $399.80−0.01%Calm skies: Tesla stayed close to $399.80
  9. $399.83+0.03%Tesla drifted sideways around $399.83
  10. $399.71−0.02%Quiet half hour: Tesla held near $399.71

Tesla prediction FAQ

What is the Tesla price prediction for today?

For today we expect Tesla to trade mostly between $393.85 and $404.83. The outlook is partly sunny (slightly bullish), with a 55% chance of the sunny scenario playing out first. This range is updated every 30 minutes.

What is the Tesla prediction for tomorrow?

For Monday our model points to a range of $391.48 to $407.36, centred near $399.34 (+0.07% from now).

Is Tesla going up or down?

Right now the signals are slightly bullish: 3 indicators lean up and 2 lean down. Tesla is up 7.55% over the past week.

What are the Tesla support and resistance levels?

The nearest resistance (ceiling) is $400.26 and the nearest support (floor) is $398.18. Today's classic pivot point is $399.35, with R1 at $400.26 and S1 at $398.18.

What is the Tesla forecast for this week?

Over the next 7 days we expect Tesla to stay roughly between $379.47 and $421.57. Weekly ranges are wider because uncertainty grows with time.

Is Tesla a buy or a sell today?

No signal here is a trade recommendation. The current read for TSLA is 3 bullish / 2 neutral / 2 bearish across our seven indicators.

How volatile is Tesla right now?

Tesla has a typical daily move of about 1.99% based on the last 60 days. In the last 24 hours it moved between $398.41 and $400.97.

How accurate is this Tesla prediction?

Our ranges are statistical: about two out of three times, price is expected to stay inside the 24-hour range. Markets can and do break out of any range, especially around news.

How often is this Tesla analysis updated?

Every 30 minutes while the market is trading. The time of the last update is shown at the top of the page.

Where does the Tesla price data come from?

Prices come from public exchange data (with automatic backup sources). See our methodology page for details.

What is the Tesla price prediction for 2030?

Our statistical base case for the end of 2030 is about $371.17, with a wide 80% range from $117.60 (bear case) to $1,171.51 (bull case). It is built from Tesla's own volatility and a heavily shrunk version of its past-year trend, so treat it as a scenario, not a target.

Where could Tesla be at the end of 2027?

For the end of 2027 the model's base case is $391.08 (−2.00% from today), with a bear case near $213.11 and a bull case near $717.68. The range is refreshed every 30 minutes as new prices arrive.

Alex Wu, Independent market analyst

About the analyst

Alex Wu

Independent market analyst

Independent market analyst focused on crypto, DeFi, perps and FX. Driven by data. Alex designed the Kumocast weather model and reviews its methodology.

The numbers on this page are produced automatically every 30 minutes by the Kumocast engine – there are no hand-picked calls. Alex sets the rules, checks the accuracy tracker and updates the methodology when the model changes.

Follow @OnchainUalexwu@kumocast.io

How we make this forecast

Every 30 minutes Kumocast reads public price data and runs it through seven classic indicators, support and resistance detection and a volatility model. The weather word sums up the combined mood score, from −100 (rainy) to +100 (sunny). Ranges are statistical estimates, not promises. Read the full methodology

Data: Hyperliquid (trade.xyz)

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