kumocast

Rivian (RIVN) Stock Prediction Today – November 1, 2026

LIVE · next update ~
Alex Wu, Independent market analystModel by · auto-updated
Wall Street (NYSE) closed · opens in 17 h 10 min – showing the 24/7 Hyperliquid (trade.xyz) price

Rivian price: $12.225

+0.23% 24h

Cloudy

neutral · confidence 53%

Rivian analysis today

Rivian is under cloudy skies: buyers and sellers are evenly matched. Rivian is trading at $12.225, up 0.23% over the last 24 hours, after moving between $12.172 and $12.245.

Our model's mood score is -2 out of 100 (neutral). The nearest ceiling (resistance) is $12.267 and the nearest floor (support) is $12.17. Over the next 24 hours, the most likely range is $11.8304 to $12.6286.

A break above $12.267 would open the way towards $12.37. If $12.17 gives way, Rivian could slide towards $12.155. Rivian in brief – An electric truck and van maker; Rivian moves on delivery numbers, cash burn and partnerships.

Over the past week Rivian has gained 2.78%, and over the past month it has lost 14.63%. Price is 0.34% under resistance and 0.45% over support; for comparison, Rivian usually moves around 1.85% a day.

See all stock predictions today →Related: Tesla stock prediction

Rivian chart: last 48 hours and next 24

Real RIVN price (solid line) and the 24-hour forecast range (shaded). The cone widens because uncertainty grows with time.

NowCeiling$12.267Floor$12.1700:0012:0000:0012:0000:0012:00UTC

Forecast ranges: 4 hours, 24 hours, 7 days

Balloon height = likely range. About two times out of three, Rivian should stay inside each balloon.

Now $12.225$12.3882$12.0623Next 4 hours$12.6286$11.8304Next 24 hours$12.8364$11.637Next 7 days
  • Next 4 hours: $12.0623 – $12.3882
  • Next 24 hours: $11.8304 – $12.6286
  • Next 7 days: $11.637 – $12.8364

Buyers vs sellers

Who pulled harder in the last 24 hours? We compare the value traded in rising and falling 30-minute candles.

Sellers 10%Buyers 90%

Buyers 90% · Sellers 10% (last 24h)

Order-book mountains

Resting buy and sell orders within 2% of the price, shown as two mountains. Flags mark the biggest walls.

$12.1639$12.1944$12.0722Buy orders$12.3778$12.4695$12.3167Sell orders

Sunny vs rainy: what happens next?

The two scenarios to watch for Rivian today.

Sunny scenario

If $12.225 breaks above $12.267 → $12.37

49%

Rainy scenario

If it breaks below $12.17 → $12.155

51%

Mood dials

Seven classic indicators, each read as bullish, neutral or bearish.

  • RSI (14, daily)

    40

    Bearish

    sellers have the upper hand

  • MACD (4h)

    Below signal

    Bearish

    momentum is pointing down

  • Trend (EMA 20/50, 4h)

    Uptrend

    Bullish

    short trend is above the medium trend

  • Long trend (EMA 200, daily)

    Price below

    Bearish

    long-term trend is down

  • Stochastic (4h)

    97

    Bearish

    stretched to the upside

  • Trend strength (ADX)

    37

    Neutral

    a strong trend is in place

  • Bollinger position (daily)

    49%

    Neutral

    inside the normal band

  • What the dials say

    1 of 7 indicators lean bullish and 4 lean bearish. RSI (14, daily): sellers have the upper hand; MACD (4h): momentum is pointing down; Trend (EMA 20/50, 4h): short trend is above the medium trend.

Hour-by-hour weather

Hour-by-hour weather so far: sun for rising hours, rain for falling ones.

  1. 09:00Partly sunny+0.41%
  2. 10:00Cloudy0.00%
  3. 11:00Cloudy+0.08%
  4. 12:00Cloudy−0.10%
  5. 13:00Cloudy0.00%
  6. 14:00Cloudy+0.06%
  7. 15:00Cloudy+0.13%
  8. 16:00Cloudy0.00%
  9. 17:00Cloudy−0.11%
  10. 18:00Cloudy+0.16%
  11. 19:00Cloudy−0.27%
  12. 20:00Cloudy+0.20%

Today in one line: 1 of the last 12 hours were bright for Rivian; the day is net positive so far.

Rivian 7-day forecast

Day-by-day ranges for the coming week. Bars get wider as uncertainty grows.

likely rangeprice now▲ / ▼ change of the range middle vs now

  1. MondayNov 2

    Cloudy – likely between $11.9996 and $12.4528

    ▼ 0.01%
  2. TuesdayNov 3

    Cloudy – likely between $11.9069 and $12.5479

    ▼ 0.01%
  3. WednesdayNov 4

    Cloudy – likely between $11.8361 and $12.6211

    ▼ 0.02%
  4. ThursdayNov 5

    Cloudy – likely between $11.7766 and $12.683

    ▼ 0.03%
  5. FridayNov 6

    Cloudy – likely between $11.7243 and $12.7377

    ▼ 0.04%
  6. SaturdayNov 7

    Cloudy – likely between $11.6771 and $12.7872

    ▼ 0.04%
  7. SundayNov 8

    Cloudy – likely between $11.6338 and $12.8329

    ▼ 0.05%

Rivian stock prediction 2026–2030

Long-term scenarios from pure statistics: Rivian's yearly volatility is about 51% and its trend was −27.65% over the past year. The base case keeps only a small, capped part of that trend; the bear and bull cases show the 10% and 90% edges of the likely spread.

Year endBear caseBase caseBull case
2026$9.2613$12.0342−1.56%$15.6374
2027$5.4146$10.9205−10.67%$22.0251
2028$3.8027$9.9072−18.96%$25.8111
2029$2.8246$8.9903−26.46%$28.6149
2030$2.1616$8.1583−33.27%$30.7903

Price today: $12.225 (black line). Nobody can know where Rivian will trade in five years – these ranges show how far it could plausibly travel given its own history, not a promise. Not financial advice.

How accurate is our Rivian forecast?

We replay the daily version of the Kumocast range model on the last 30 finished days, using only data that was available before each day. A good one-standard-deviation range should catch the next close about 68% of the time.

70%Next-day range hit rate21 of 30 days closed inside the range (target ≈68%)
47%7-day range hit rate14 of 30 weekly ranges held
±1.9%Average daily rangehow wide the next-day range was on average – narrower means a calmer market

Last 30 days

  1. 2026-10-02: outside range
  2. 2026-10-03: inside range
  3. 2026-10-04: inside range
  4. 2026-10-05: inside range
  5. 2026-10-06: inside range
  6. 2026-10-07: inside range
  7. 2026-10-08: inside range
  8. 2026-10-09: outside range
  9. 2026-10-10: inside range
  10. 2026-10-11: inside range
  11. 2026-10-12: outside range
  12. 2026-10-13: inside range
  13. 2026-10-14: outside range
  14. 2026-10-15: inside range
  15. 2026-10-16: outside range
  16. 2026-10-17: inside range
  17. 2026-10-18: inside range
  18. 2026-10-19: inside range
  19. 2026-10-20: inside range
  20. 2026-10-21: inside range
  21. 2026-10-22: outside range
  22. 2026-10-23: inside range
  23. 2026-10-24: inside range
  24. 2026-10-25: inside range
  25. 2026-10-26: outside range
  26. 2026-10-27: outside range
  27. 2026-10-28: inside range
  28. 2026-10-29: outside range
  29. 2026-10-30: inside range
  30. 2026-10-31: inside range

close inside the rangeclose outside

Verdict: over the last month the Rivian ranges were well calibrated. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. How we score ourselves

Why is Rivian moving? News and events

The forecast is pure maths, but prices react to news. Here are the latest Rivian headlines and the scheduled economic releases that could move it this week.

Latest headlines

Headlines via Google News. Kumocast does not write or endorse them.

Rivian live update log

Every 30 minutes Kumo checks the sky again. Newest first.

z z

Market closed – next update when Wall Street (NYSE) opens

TODAY6

  1. $12.225+0.20%Rivian ticked up to $12.225 (+0.20%)
  2. $12.200.00%Calm skies: Rivian stayed close to $12.20
  3. $12.20−0.27%Rivian slipped to $12.20 (−0.27%)
  4. $12.233−0.04%Quiet half hour: Rivian held near $12.233
  5. $12.238+0.07%Rivian edged higher to $12.238 (+0.07%)
  6. $12.229+0.20%Buyers lifted Rivian to $12.229 (+0.20%)
Show all 16 updates
  1. $12.205−0.11%Sellers pushed Rivian down to $12.205 (−0.11%)
  2. $12.2190.00%Calm skies: Rivian stayed close to $12.219
  3. $12.2190.00%Rivian drifted sideways around $12.219
  4. $12.2190.00%Quiet half hour: Rivian held near $12.219
  5. $12.219+0.13%Rivian edged higher to $12.219 (+0.13%)
  6. $12.2030.00%Rivian drifted sideways around $12.203
  7. $12.203+0.06%Rivian ticked up to $12.203 (+0.06%)
  8. $12.1960.00%Calm skies: Rivian stayed close to $12.196
  9. $12.1960.00%Rivian drifted sideways around $12.196
  10. $12.196−0.13%Sellers pushed Rivian down to $12.196 (−0.13%)

Rivian prediction FAQ

What is the Rivian price prediction for today?

For today we expect Rivian to trade mostly between $11.8304 and $12.6286. The outlook is cloudy (neutral), with a 49% chance of the sunny scenario playing out first. This range is updated every 30 minutes.

What is the Rivian prediction for tomorrow?

For Monday our model points to a range of $11.9996 to $12.4528, centred near $12.2241 (−0.01% from now).

Is Rivian going up or down?

Right now the signals are neutral: 1 indicators lean up and 4 lean down. Rivian is up 2.78% over the past week.

What are the Rivian support and resistance levels?

The nearest resistance (ceiling) is $12.267 and the nearest support (floor) is $12.17. Today's classic pivot point is $12.171, with R1 at $12.221 and S1 at $12.125.

What is the Rivian forecast for this week?

Over the next 7 days we expect Rivian to stay roughly between $11.637 and $12.8364. Weekly ranges are wider because uncertainty grows with time.

Is Rivian a buy or a sell today?

No signal here is a trade recommendation. The current read for RIVN is 1 bullish / 2 neutral / 4 bearish across our seven indicators.

How volatile is Rivian right now?

Rivian has a typical daily move of about 1.85% based on the last 60 days. In the last 24 hours it moved between $12.172 and $12.245.

How accurate is this Rivian prediction?

The ranges come from recent volatility, so roughly two days in three Rivian should finish inside the 24-hour band. Surprise news, earnings or liquidations can push it outside.

How often is this Rivian analysis updated?

Roughly every half hour. If the main market is closed we keep showing the latest available price and say so at the top.

Where does the Rivian price data come from?

Prices come from public exchange data (with automatic backup sources). See our methodology page for details.

What is the Rivian price prediction for 2030?

Our statistical base case for the end of 2030 is about $8.1583, with a wide 80% range from $2.1616 (bear case) to $30.7903 (bull case). It is built from Rivian's own volatility and a heavily shrunk version of its past-year trend, so treat it as a scenario, not a target.

Where could Rivian be at the end of 2027?

For the end of 2027 the model's base case is $10.9205 (−10.67% from today), with a bear case near $5.4146 and a bull case near $22.0251. The range is refreshed every 30 minutes as new prices arrive.

Alex Wu, Independent market analyst

About the analyst

Alex Wu

Independent market analyst

Independent market analyst focused on crypto, DeFi, perps and FX. Driven by data. Alex designed the Kumocast weather model and reviews its methodology.

The numbers on this page are produced automatically every 30 minutes by the Kumocast engine – there are no hand-picked calls. Alex sets the rules, checks the accuracy tracker and updates the methodology when the model changes.

Follow @OnchainUalexwu@kumocast.io

How we make this forecast

Every 30 minutes Kumocast reads public price data and runs it through seven classic indicators, support and resistance detection and a volatility model. The weather word sums up the combined mood score, from −100 (rainy) to +100 (sunny). Ranges are statistical estimates, not promises. Read the full methodology

Data: Hyperliquid (trade.xyz)

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