kumocast

TSMC (TSM) Stock Prediction Today – November 1, 2026

LIVE · next update ~
Alex Wu, Independent market analystModel by · auto-updated
Wall Street (NYSE) closed · opens in 17 h 10 min – showing the 24/7 Hyperliquid (trade.xyz) price

TSMC price: $409.54

+0.12% 24h

Rainy

bearish · confidence 66%

TSMC analysis today

Stormy for TSMC: most signals lean lower. TSMC is trading at $409.54, up 0.12% over the last 24 hours, after moving between $407.87 and $410.94.

Our model's mood score is -53 out of 100 (bearish). The nearest ceiling (resistance) is $410.28 and the nearest floor (support) is $408.08. For the next 24 hours we expect TSMC to stay roughly between $403.06 and $414.58.

A break above $410.28 would open the way towards $410.53. If $408.08 gives way, TSMC could slide towards $407.91. TSMC in brief – The world’s largest contract chip manufacturer; TSMC moves on AI chip demand and Taiwan risk.

Over the past week TSMC has lost 2.22%, and over the past month it has lost 13.48%. With an average daily swing of 1.79%, the 0.18% gap to the ceiling and the 0.36% gap to the floor are both within reach today.

See all stock predictions today →Related: Nvidia stock prediction

TSMC chart: last 48 hours and next 24

Real TSM price (solid line) and the 24-hour forecast range (shaded). The cone widens because uncertainty grows with time.

NowCeiling$410.28Floor$408.0800:0012:0000:0012:0000:0012:00UTC

Forecast ranges: 4 hours, 24 hours, 7 days

Each balloon stretches from the expected low to the expected high. Longer trips need bigger balloons.

Now $409.54$411.59$406.88Next 4 hours$414.58$403.06Next 24 hours$426.72$388.15Next 7 days
  • Next 4 hours: $406.88 – $411.59
  • Next 24 hours: $403.06 – $414.58
  • Next 7 days: $388.15 – $426.72

Buyers vs sellers

Buyers versus sellers over the last day, measured by the value traded in up-candles and down-candles.

Sellers 59%Buyers 41%

Buyers 41% · Sellers 59% (last 24h)

Order-book mountains

Where are the big orders? Bids on the left, asks on the right, the largest walls flagged.

$408.52$407.49$409.54Buy orders$411.59$410.56$409.54Sell orders

Long vs short accounts

Share of trader accounts holding long versus short positions on Binance Futures.

Long 72%Short 28%

72% of accounts are long

Sunny vs rainy: what happens next?

The two scenarios to watch for TSMC today.

Sunny scenario

If $409.54 breaks above $410.28 → $410.53

34%

Rainy scenario

If it breaks below $408.08 → $407.91

66%

Mood dials

Seven classic indicators, each read as bullish, neutral or bearish.

  • RSI (14, daily)

    39

    Bearish

    sellers have the upper hand

  • MACD (4h)

    Above signal

    Bullish

    momentum is pointing up

  • Trend (EMA 20/50, 4h)

    Downtrend

    Bearish

    short trend is below the medium trend

  • Long trend (EMA 200, daily)

    Price below

    Bearish

    long-term trend is down

  • Stochastic (4h)

    86

    Bearish

    stretched to the upside

  • Trend strength (ADX)

    24

    Neutral

    no strong trend – range trading

  • Bollinger position (daily)

    21%

    Neutral

    inside the normal band

  • What the dials say

    1 of 7 indicators lean bullish and 4 lean bearish. RSI (14, daily): sellers have the upper hand; MACD (4h): momentum is pointing up; Trend (EMA 20/50, 4h): short trend is below the medium trend.

Hour-by-hour weather

Hour-by-hour weather so far: sun for rising hours, rain for falling ones.

  1. 09:00Cloudy+0.06%
  2. 10:00Cloudy−0.11%
  3. 11:00Cloudy−0.14%
  4. 12:00Cloudy−0.05%
  5. 13:00Cloudy+0.08%
  6. 14:00Cloudy−0.02%
  7. 15:00Cloudy+0.08%
  8. 16:00Cloudy−0.01%
  9. 17:00Cloudy−0.13%
  10. 18:00Cloudy+0.03%
  11. 19:00Cloudy+0.04%
  12. 20:00Cloudy−0.11%

Today in one line: 0 of the last 12 hours were bright for TSMC; the day is net positive so far.

TSMC 7-day forecast

Day-by-day ranges for the coming week. Bars get wider as uncertainty grows.

likely rangeprice now▲ / ▼ change of the range middle vs now

  1. MondayNov 2

    Rainy – likely between $401.51 and $416.15

    ▼ 0.19%
  2. TuesdayNov 3

    Light rain – likely between $397.79 and $418.45

    ▼ 0.38%
  3. WednesdayNov 4

    Light rain – likely between $394.78 and $420.04

    ▼ 0.57%
  4. ThursdayNov 5

    Light rain – likely between $392.15 and $421.26

    ▼ 0.76%
  5. FridayNov 6

    Light rain – likely between $389.76 and $422.24

    ▼ 0.94%
  6. SaturdayNov 7

    Light rain – likely between $387.53 and $423.05

    ▼ 1.13%
  7. SundayNov 8

    Light rain – likely between $385.44 and $423.74

    ▼ 1.32%

TSMC stock prediction 2026–2030

Long-term scenarios from pure statistics: TSMC's yearly volatility is about 39% and its trend was +9.14% over the past year. The base case keeps only a small, capped part of that trend; the bear and bull cases show the 10% and 90% edges of the likely spread.

Year endBear caseBase caseBull case
2026$335.94$411.28+0.43%$503.52
2027$245.56$422.22+3.10%$725.98
2028$206.86$433.47+5.84%$908.33
2029$181.92$445.00+8.66%$1,088.49
2030$163.73$456.83+11.55%$1,274.64

Price today: $409.54 (black line). Nobody can know where TSMC will trade in five years – these ranges show how far it could plausibly travel given its own history, not a promise. Not financial advice.

How accurate is our TSMC forecast?

We replay the daily version of the Kumocast range model on the last 30 finished days, using only data that was available before each day. A good one-standard-deviation range should catch the next close about 68% of the time.

53%Next-day range hit rate16 of 30 days closed inside the range (target ≈68%)
43%7-day range hit rate13 of 30 weekly ranges held
±1.6%Average daily rangehow wide the next-day range was on average – narrower means a calmer market

Last 30 days

  1. 2026-10-02: outside range
  2. 2026-10-03: inside range
  3. 2026-10-04: inside range
  4. 2026-10-05: outside range
  5. 2026-10-06: inside range
  6. 2026-10-07: outside range
  7. 2026-10-08: outside range
  8. 2026-10-09: inside range
  9. 2026-10-10: inside range
  10. 2026-10-11: inside range
  11. 2026-10-12: outside range
  12. 2026-10-13: inside range
  13. 2026-10-14: outside range
  14. 2026-10-15: inside range
  15. 2026-10-16: outside range
  16. 2026-10-17: inside range
  17. 2026-10-18: inside range
  18. 2026-10-19: inside range
  19. 2026-10-20: outside range
  20. 2026-10-21: inside range
  21. 2026-10-22: outside range
  22. 2026-10-23: outside range
  23. 2026-10-24: inside range
  24. 2026-10-25: inside range
  25. 2026-10-26: outside range
  26. 2026-10-27: outside range
  27. 2026-10-28: inside range
  28. 2026-10-29: outside range
  29. 2026-10-30: outside range
  30. 2026-10-31: inside range

close inside the rangeclose outside

Verdict: over the last month the TSMC ranges were too narrow lately – the market has been more jumpy than usual. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. How we score ourselves

Why is TSMC moving? News and events

The forecast is pure maths, but prices react to news. Here are the latest TSMC headlines and the scheduled economic releases that could move it this week.

Latest headlines

Headlines via Google News. Kumocast does not write or endorse them.

TSMC live update log

Every 30 minutes Kumo checks the sky again. Newest first.

z z

Market closed – next update when Wall Street (NYSE) opens

TODAY6

  1. $409.54−0.11%Sellers pushed TSMC down to $409.54 (−0.11%)
  2. $410.00+0.12%TSMC edged higher to $410.00 (+0.12%)
  3. $409.50+0.03%TSMC drifted sideways around $409.50
  4. $409.38−0.02%Quiet half hour: TSMC held near $409.38
  5. $409.46+0.03%Calm skies: TSMC stayed close to $409.46
  6. $409.34−0.01%TSMC drifted sideways around $409.34
Show all 16 updates
  1. $409.38−0.12%Sellers pushed TSMC down to $409.38 (−0.12%)
  2. $409.86−0.05%TSMC eased lower to $409.86 (−0.05%)
  3. $410.08+0.01%TSMC drifted sideways around $410.08
  4. $410.03−0.03%Quiet half hour: TSMC held near $410.03
  5. $410.14+0.10%TSMC edged higher to $410.14 (+0.10%)
  6. $409.75−0.02%TSMC drifted sideways around $409.75
  7. $409.82−0.03%Quiet half hour: TSMC held near $409.82
  8. $409.940.00%Calm skies: TSMC stayed close to $409.94
  9. $409.94+0.04%TSMC drifted sideways around $409.94
  10. $409.77+0.02%Quiet half hour: TSMC held near $409.77

TSMC prediction FAQ

What is the TSMC price prediction for today?

For today we expect TSMC to trade mostly between $403.06 and $414.58. The outlook is rainy (bearish), with a 34% chance of the sunny scenario playing out first. This range is updated every 30 minutes.

What is the TSMC prediction for tomorrow?

For Monday our model points to a range of $401.51 to $416.15, centred near $408.76 (−0.19% from now).

Is TSMC going up or down?

Right now the signals are bearish: 1 indicators lean up and 4 lean down. TSMC is down 2.22% over the past week.

What are the TSMC support and resistance levels?

The nearest resistance (ceiling) is $410.28 and the nearest support (floor) is $408.08. Today's classic pivot point is $408.90, with R1 at $409.71 and S1 at $408.08.

What is the TSMC forecast for this week?

Over the next 7 days we expect TSMC to stay roughly between $388.15 and $426.72. Weekly ranges are wider because uncertainty grows with time.

Is TSMC a buy or a sell today?

Kumocast does not give buy or sell advice. Our indicators currently read 1 bullish, 2 neutral and 4 bearish. Always use your own judgement and risk management.

How volatile is TSMC right now?

TSMC has a typical daily move of about 1.79% based on the last 60 days. In the last 24 hours it moved between $407.87 and $410.94.

How accurate is this TSMC prediction?

The ranges come from recent volatility, so roughly two days in three TSMC should finish inside the 24-hour band. Surprise news, earnings or liquidations can push it outside.

How often is this TSMC analysis updated?

Every 30 minutes while the market is trading. The time of the last update is shown at the top of the page.

Where does the TSMC price data come from?

Prices come from public exchange data (with automatic backup sources). See our methodology page for details.

What is the TSMC price prediction for 2030?

Our statistical base case for the end of 2030 is about $456.83, with a wide 80% range from $163.73 (bear case) to $1,274.64 (bull case). It is built from TSMC's own volatility and a heavily shrunk version of its past-year trend, so treat it as a scenario, not a target.

Where could TSMC be at the end of 2027?

For the end of 2027 the model's base case is $422.22 (+3.10% from today), with a bear case near $245.56 and a bull case near $725.98. The range is refreshed every 30 minutes as new prices arrive.

Alex Wu, Independent market analyst

About the analyst

Alex Wu

Independent market analyst

Independent market analyst focused on crypto, DeFi, perps and FX. Driven by data. Alex designed the Kumocast weather model and reviews its methodology.

The numbers on this page are produced automatically every 30 minutes by the Kumocast engine – there are no hand-picked calls. Alex sets the rules, checks the accuracy tracker and updates the methodology when the model changes.

Follow @OnchainUalexwu@kumocast.io

How we make this forecast

Every 30 minutes Kumocast reads public price data and runs it through seven classic indicators, support and resistance detection and a volatility model. The weather word sums up the combined mood score, from −100 (rainy) to +100 (sunny). Ranges are statistical estimates, not promises. Read the full methodology

Data: Hyperliquid (trade.xyz)

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