kumocast

ASML (ASML) Stock Prediction Today – November 1, 2026

LIVE · next update ~
Alex Wu, Independent market analystModel by · auto-updated
Wall Street (NYSE) closed · opens in 17 h 10 min – showing the 24/7 Hyperliquid (trade.xyz) price

ASML price: $1,575.90

−0.03% 24h

Rainy

bearish · confidence 71%

ASML analysis today

ASML is in a rainy spell – trend and momentum both point down. ASML is trading at $1,575.90, down 0.03% over the last 24 hours, after moving between $1,573.40 and $1,580.90.

Our model's mood score is -63 out of 100 (bearish). The nearest ceiling (resistance) is $1,580.90 and the nearest floor (support) is $1,571.13. For the next 24 hours we expect ASML to stay roughly between $1,547.76 and $1,596.71.

A break above $1,580.90 would open the way towards $1,581.27. If $1,571.13 gives way, ASML could slide towards $1,567.27. ASML in brief – The only maker of EUV lithography machines needed for advanced chips; ASML reacts to chip capex and export rules.

The bigger picture: −0.13% in 7 days and −15.62% in 30 days for ASML. The ceiling sits 0.32% above the current price and the floor 0.30% below it, while a typical day moves about 1.94%.

See all stock predictions today →Related: TSMC stock prediction

ASML chart: last 48 hours and next 24

The line shows the real ASML price for the last 48 hours; the shaded cone is where our model expects it to stay over the next 24 hours.

NowCeiling$1,580.90Floor$1,571.1300:0012:0000:0012:0000:0012:00UTC

Forecast ranges: 4 hours, 24 hours, 7 days

Three trips, three balloons: the further ahead we look, the wider the likely range for ASML.

Now $1,575.90$1,584.36$1,564.35Next 4 hours$1,596.71$1,547.76Next 24 hours$1,645.54$1,485.00Next 7 days
  • Next 4 hours: $1,564.35 – $1,584.36
  • Next 24 hours: $1,547.76 – $1,596.71
  • Next 7 days: $1,485.00 – $1,645.54

Buyers vs sellers

A simple tug of war: money flowing through green candles against money flowing through red ones.

Sellers 56%Buyers 44%

Buyers 44% · Sellers 56% (last 24h)

Order-book mountains

Resting buy and sell orders within 2% of the price, shown as two mountains. Flags mark the biggest walls.

$1,552.26$1,571.96$1,560.14Buy orders$1,579.84$1,587.72$1,583.78Sell orders

Sunny vs rainy: what happens next?

Two ways the next move could go, with the chance our model gives each.

Sunny scenario

If $1,575.90 breaks above $1,580.90 → $1,581.27

31%

Rainy scenario

If it breaks below $1,571.13 → $1,567.27

69%

Mood dials

Seven classic indicators, each read as bullish, neutral or bearish.

  • RSI (14, daily)

    37

    Bearish

    sellers have the upper hand

  • MACD (4h)

    Below signal

    Bearish

    momentum is pointing down

  • Trend (EMA 20/50, 4h)

    Downtrend

    Bearish

    short trend is below the medium trend

  • Long trend (EMA 200, daily)

    Not enough data

    Neutral

    less than 200 days of history

  • Stochastic (4h)

    89

    Bearish

    stretched to the upside

  • Trend strength (ADX)

    27

    Neutral

    a strong trend is in place

  • Bollinger position (daily)

    23%

    Neutral

    inside the normal band

  • What the dials say

    0 of 7 indicators lean bullish and 4 lean bearish. RSI (14, daily): sellers have the upper hand; MACD (4h): momentum is pointing down; Trend (EMA 20/50, 4h): short trend is below the medium trend.

Hour-by-hour weather

Hour-by-hour weather so far: sun for rising hours, rain for falling ones.

  1. 09:00Cloudy+0.05%
  2. 10:00Cloudy+0.01%
  3. 11:00Cloudy−0.12%
  4. 12:00Cloudy+0.05%
  5. 13:00Cloudy+0.01%
  6. 14:00Cloudy−0.08%
  7. 15:00Cloudy+0.04%
  8. 16:00Cloudy+0.03%
  9. 17:00Cloudy−0.13%
  10. 18:00Cloudy−0.08%
  11. 19:00Cloudy+0.10%
  12. 20:00Cloudy−0.03%

Today in one line: 0 of the last 12 hours were bright for ASML; the day is net negative so far.

ASML 7-day forecast

The week ahead, one row per day, with the expected range and direction.

likely rangeprice now▲ / ▼ change of the range middle vs now

  1. MondayNov 2

    Rainy – likely between $1,541.85 and $1,602.85

    ▼ 0.24%
  2. TuesdayNov 3

    Rainy – likely between $1,525.77 and $1,611.84

    ▼ 0.49%
  3. WednesdayNov 4

    Light rain – likely between $1,512.69 and $1,617.85

    ▼ 0.73%
  4. ThursdayNov 5

    Light rain – likely between $1,501.17 and $1,622.31

    ▼ 0.97%
  5. FridayNov 6

    Light rain – likely between $1,490.67 and $1,625.78

    ▼ 1.21%
  6. SaturdayNov 7

    Light rain – likely between $1,480.88 and $1,628.54

    ▼ 1.46%
  7. SundayNov 8

    Light rain – likely between $1,471.65 and $1,630.76

    ▼ 1.70%

ASML stock prediction 2026–2030

Long-term scenarios from pure statistics: ASML's yearly volatility is about 45% and its trend was less than a year of history. The base case keeps only a small, capped part of that trend; the bear and bull cases show the 10% and 90% edges of the likely spread.

Year endBear caseBase caseBull case
2026$1,246.44$1,572.30−0.23%$1,983.35
2027$832.22$1,550.27−1.63%$2,887.89
2028$653.89$1,528.49−3.01%$3,572.93
2029$539.84$1,507.08−4.37%$4,207.36
2030$457.63$1,485.96−5.71%$4,825.01

Price today: $1,575.90 (black line). Nobody can know where ASML will trade in five years – these ranges show how far it could plausibly travel given its own history, not a promise. Not financial advice.

How accurate is our ASML forecast?

We replay the daily version of the Kumocast range model on the last 30 finished days, using only data that was available before each day. A good one-standard-deviation range should catch the next close about 68% of the time.

73%Next-day range hit rate22 of 30 days closed inside the range (target ≈68%)
53%7-day range hit rate16 of 30 weekly ranges held
±1.9%Average daily rangehow wide the next-day range was on average – narrower means a calmer market

Last 30 days

  1. 2026-10-02: outside range
  2. 2026-10-03: inside range
  3. 2026-10-04: inside range
  4. 2026-10-05: inside range
  5. 2026-10-06: inside range
  6. 2026-10-07: inside range
  7. 2026-10-08: inside range
  8. 2026-10-09: inside range
  9. 2026-10-10: inside range
  10. 2026-10-11: inside range
  11. 2026-10-12: outside range
  12. 2026-10-13: outside range
  13. 2026-10-14: outside range
  14. 2026-10-15: inside range
  15. 2026-10-16: inside range
  16. 2026-10-17: inside range
  17. 2026-10-18: outside range
  18. 2026-10-19: inside range
  19. 2026-10-20: inside range
  20. 2026-10-21: inside range
  21. 2026-10-22: outside range
  22. 2026-10-23: inside range
  23. 2026-10-24: inside range
  24. 2026-10-25: inside range
  25. 2026-10-26: inside range
  26. 2026-10-27: outside range
  27. 2026-10-28: inside range
  28. 2026-10-29: inside range
  29. 2026-10-30: outside range
  30. 2026-10-31: inside range

close inside the rangeclose outside

Verdict: over the last month the ASML ranges were well calibrated. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. How we score ourselves

Why is ASML moving? News and events

The forecast is pure maths, but prices react to news. Here are the latest ASML headlines and the scheduled economic releases that could move it this week.

Latest headlines

Headlines via Google News. Kumocast does not write or endorse them.

ASML live update log

Every 30 minutes Kumo checks the sky again. Newest first.

z z

Market closed – next update when Wall Street (NYSE) opens

TODAY6

  1. $1,575.90−0.03%Quiet half hour: ASML held near $1,575.90
  2. $1,576.40−0.02%Calm skies: ASML stayed close to $1,576.40
  3. $1,576.70+0.03%ASML drifted sideways around $1,576.70
  4. $1,576.30+0.07%ASML ticked up to $1,576.30 (+0.07%)
  5. $1,575.20+0.01%Dipped to a new 24h low of $1,573.40, closed at $1,575.20
  6. $1,575.10−0.03%ASML drifted sideways around $1,575.10
Show all 16 updates
  1. $1,575.50−0.13%Sellers pushed ASML down to $1,575.50 (−0.13%)
  2. $1,577.60−0.02%Calm skies: ASML stayed close to $1,577.60
  3. $1,577.90+0.03%ASML drifted sideways around $1,577.90
  4. $1,577.50−0.03%Quiet half hour: ASML held near $1,577.50
  5. $1,577.90+0.04%Calm skies: ASML stayed close to $1,577.90
  6. $1,577.200.00%ASML drifted sideways around $1,577.20
  7. $1,577.20−0.11%Sellers pushed ASML down to $1,577.20 (−0.11%)
  8. $1,578.90+0.05%ASML edged higher to $1,578.90 (+0.05%)
  9. $1,578.10+0.04%ASML drifted sideways around $1,578.10
  10. $1,577.40−0.03%Quiet half hour: ASML held near $1,577.40

ASML prediction FAQ

What is the ASML price prediction for today?

For today we expect ASML to trade mostly between $1,547.76 and $1,596.71. The outlook is rainy (bearish), with a 31% chance of the sunny scenario playing out first. This range is updated every 30 minutes.

What is the ASML prediction for tomorrow?

For Monday our model points to a range of $1,541.85 to $1,602.85, centred near $1,572.05 (−0.24% from now).

Is ASML going up or down?

Right now the signals are bearish: 0 indicators lean up and 4 lean down. ASML is down 0.13% over the past week.

What are the ASML support and resistance levels?

The nearest resistance (ceiling) is $1,580.90 and the nearest support (floor) is $1,571.13. Today's classic pivot point is $1,574.27, with R1 at $1,578.13 and S1 at $1,571.13.

What is the ASML forecast for this week?

Over the next 7 days we expect ASML to stay roughly between $1,485.00 and $1,645.54. Weekly ranges are wider because uncertainty grows with time.

Is ASML a buy or a sell today?

Kumocast does not give buy or sell advice. Our indicators currently read 0 bullish, 3 neutral and 4 bearish. Always use your own judgement and risk management.

How volatile is ASML right now?

ASML has a typical daily move of about 1.94% based on the last 60 days. In the last 24 hours it moved between $1,573.40 and $1,580.90.

How accurate is this ASML prediction?

The ranges come from recent volatility, so roughly two days in three ASML should finish inside the 24-hour band. Surprise news, earnings or liquidations can push it outside.

How often is this ASML analysis updated?

The page rebuilds itself about every 30 minutes with fresh ASML data. The "updated" badge at the top shows exactly when.

Where does the ASML price data come from?

Prices come from public exchange data (with automatic backup sources). See our methodology page for details.

What is the ASML price prediction for 2030?

Our statistical base case for the end of 2030 is about $1,485.96, with a wide 80% range from $457.63 (bear case) to $4,825.01 (bull case). It is built from ASML's own volatility and a heavily shrunk version of its past-year trend, so treat it as a scenario, not a target.

Where could ASML be at the end of 2027?

For the end of 2027 the model's base case is $1,550.27 (−1.63% from today), with a bear case near $832.22 and a bull case near $2,887.89. The range is refreshed every 30 minutes as new prices arrive.

Alex Wu, Independent market analyst

About the analyst

Alex Wu

Independent market analyst

Independent market analyst focused on crypto, DeFi, perps and FX. Driven by data. Alex designed the Kumocast weather model and reviews its methodology.

The numbers on this page are produced automatically every 30 minutes by the Kumocast engine – there are no hand-picked calls. Alex sets the rules, checks the accuracy tracker and updates the methodology when the model changes.

Follow @OnchainUalexwu@kumocast.io

How we make this forecast

Every 30 minutes Kumocast reads public price data and runs it through seven classic indicators, support and resistance detection and a volatility model. The weather word sums up the combined mood score, from −100 (rainy) to +100 (sunny). Ranges are statistical estimates, not promises. Read the full methodology

Data: Hyperliquid (trade.xyz)

More Stocks forecasts

Related markets

Stock Predictions