kumocast

About Kumocast

Most price-prediction pages are either a wall of numbers or a guess written once and never updated. We wanted something different: a forecast you can understand in five seconds, that is honest about uncertainty, and that updates itself every 30 minutes.

Meet Kumo

Kumo is our mascot – a calm grey tabby whose head is a little cloud. Kumo (雲) is Japanese for "cloud", and it is also the name of the cloud in the Ichimoku indicator that many traders use to judge trend. Kumo never panics. When buyers are in charge Kumo puts on sunglasses; when the market drifts sideways Kumo waits under the clouds; when sellers take over Kumo opens an umbrella; and when a market is closed, Kumo sleeps until the opening bell.

Why weather?

Weather forecasts are something everyone already understands: "70% chance of rain" does not mean it will rain, and a forecast for next week is less certain than one for tomorrow. Markets work the same way. So we show:

  • The weather – a single mood (sunny, partly sunny, cloudy, light rain, rainy) built from trend and momentum indicators.
  • Ceilings and floors – resistance above and support below, found from recent swing highs and lows and daily pivot points.
  • Ranges, not single prices – the 4-hour, 24-hour and 7-day ranges where price is statistically most likely to stay, which widen the further ahead we look.
  • Plain words – every chart comes with a short explanation.

How it works

Every page is rebuilt automatically from public exchange data about every 30 minutes. The engine is pure maths: indicators such as RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR and Bollinger Bands, plus volatility-based ranges. There is no human picking targets and no AI writing guesses. If a data source fails, the engine switches to a backup source; if every source fails, the page keeps its last good analysis rather than showing wrong numbers. Read the full methodology.

What Kumocast is not

Kumocast does not give buy or sell advice, does not manage money and is not paid to promote any coin or stock. Ranges are probabilities, and markets can break out of any range – especially around news.

Alex Wu, Independent market analyst

The analyst behind Kumocast

Alex Wu

Independent market analyst

Independent market analyst focused on crypto, DeFi, perps and FX. Driven by data. Alex designed the Kumocast weather model and reviews its methodology.

The numbers on this page are produced automatically every 30 minutes by the Kumocast engine – there are no hand-picked calls. Alex sets the rules, checks the accuracy tracker and updates the methodology when the model changes.