kumocast

Microsoft (MSFT) Stock Prediction Today – November 1, 2026

LIVE · next update ~
Alex Wu, Independent market analystModel by · auto-updated
Wall Street (NYSE) closed · opens in 17 h 10 min – showing the 24/7 Hyperliquid (trade.xyz) price

Microsoft price: $524.06

+0.14% 24h

Cloudy

neutral · confidence 50%

Microsoft analysis today

Microsoft is moving sideways; neither side has taken control. Microsoft is trading at $524.06, up 0.14% over the last 24 hours, after moving between $523.18 and $525.40.

Our model's mood score is -1 out of 100 (neutral). The nearest ceiling (resistance) is $525.14 and the nearest floor (support) is $522.68. Our 24-hour forecast range is $515.15–$533.08, based on recent volatility.

If buyers push through $525.14, the next stop is around $525.39. A drop below $522.68 would put $522.50 in focus. Microsoft in brief – Cloud (Azure), Office and AI partnerships; Microsoft reacts to cloud growth and AI spending.

Zooming out, Microsoft is up 0.41% over seven days and up 1.37% over thirty days. With an average daily swing of 1.28%, the 0.21% gap to the ceiling and the 0.26% gap to the floor are both within reach today.

See all stock predictions today →Related: Nasdaq 100 prediction

Microsoft chart: last 48 hours and next 24

Real MSFT price (solid line) and the 24-hour forecast range (shaded). The cone widens because uncertainty grows with time.

NowCeiling$525.14Floor$522.6800:0012:0000:0012:0000:0012:00UTC

Forecast ranges: 4 hours, 24 hours, 7 days

Three trips, three balloons: the further ahead we look, the wider the likely range for Microsoft.

Now $524.06$527.72$520.41Next 4 hours$533.08$515.15Next 24 hours$542.02$506.61Next 7 days
  • Next 4 hours: $520.41 – $527.72
  • Next 24 hours: $515.15 – $533.08
  • Next 7 days: $506.61 – $542.02

Buyers vs sellers

Who pulled harder in the last 24 hours? We compare the value traded in rising and falling 30-minute candles.

Sellers 53%Buyers 47%

Buyers 47% · Sellers 53% (last 24h)

Order-book mountains

Where are the big orders? Bids on the left, asks on the right, the largest walls flagged.

$522.75$524.06Buy orders$525.37$526.68$524.06Sell orders

Long vs short accounts

The crowd's positioning: more accounts on one side tips the seesaw down on that side.

Long 43%Short 57%

43% of accounts are long

Sunny vs rainy: what happens next?

The two scenarios to watch for Microsoft today.

Sunny scenario

If $524.06 breaks above $525.14 → $525.39

50%

Rainy scenario

If it breaks below $522.68 → $522.50

50%

Mood dials

What the technical indicators say right now for MSFT.

  • RSI (14, daily)

    48

    Neutral

    balanced

  • MACD (4h)

    Above signal

    Bullish

    momentum is pointing up

  • Trend (EMA 20/50, 4h)

    Downtrend

    Bearish

    short trend is below the medium trend

  • Long trend (EMA 200, daily)

    Price above

    Bullish

    long-term trend is up

  • Stochastic (4h)

    81

    Bearish

    stretched to the upside

  • Trend strength (ADX)

    29

    Neutral

    a strong trend is in place

  • Bollinger position (daily)

    29%

    Neutral

    inside the normal band

  • What the dials say

    2 of 7 indicators lean bullish and 2 lean bearish. RSI (14, daily): balanced; MACD (4h): momentum is pointing up; Trend (EMA 20/50, 4h): short trend is below the medium trend.

Hour-by-hour weather

The last 12 hours of Microsoft, hour by hour.

  1. 09:00Cloudy+0.02%
  2. 10:00Cloudy−0.04%
  3. 11:00Cloudy−0.07%
  4. 12:00Cloudy−0.02%
  5. 13:00Cloudy+0.02%
  6. 14:00Cloudy−0.04%
  7. 15:00Cloudy−0.05%
  8. 16:00Cloudy+0.05%
  9. 17:00Cloudy+0.07%
  10. 18:00Cloudy−0.03%
  11. 19:00Cloudy−0.03%
  12. 20:00Cloudy−0.01%

Today in one line: 0 of the last 12 hours were bright for Microsoft; the day is net positive so far.

Microsoft 7-day forecast

The week ahead, one row per day, with the expected range and direction.

likely rangeprice now▲ / ▼ change of the range middle vs now

  1. MondayNov 2

    Cloudy – likely between $517.40 and $530.78

    ▼ 0.00%
  2. TuesdayNov 3

    Cloudy – likely between $514.66 and $533.58

    ▼ 0.01%
  3. WednesdayNov 4

    Cloudy – likely between $512.56 and $535.74

    ▼ 0.01%
  4. ThursdayNov 5

    Cloudy – likely between $510.79 and $537.56

    ▼ 0.01%
  5. FridayNov 6

    Cloudy – likely between $509.24 and $539.17

    ▼ 0.01%
  6. SaturdayNov 7

    Cloudy – likely between $507.84 and $540.63

    ▼ 0.02%
  7. SundayNov 8

    Cloudy – likely between $506.56 and $541.97

    ▼ 0.02%

Microsoft stock prediction 2026–2030

Long-term scenarios from pure statistics: Microsoft's yearly volatility is about 28% and its trend was +49.79% over the past year. The base case keeps only a small, capped part of that trend; the bear and bull cases show the 10% and 90% edges of the likely spread.

Year endBear caseBase caseBull case
2026$462.03$534.45+1.98%$618.22
2027$408.48$603.32+15.12%$891.10
2028$400.08$681.29+30.00%$1,160.16
2029$404.06$769.09+46.76%$1,463.88
2030$414.91$868.19+65.67%$1,816.70

Price today: $524.06 (black line). Nobody can know where Microsoft will trade in five years – these ranges show how far it could plausibly travel given its own history, not a promise. Not financial advice.

How accurate is our Microsoft forecast?

We replay the daily version of the Kumocast range model on the last 30 finished days, using only data that was available before each day. A good one-standard-deviation range should catch the next close about 68% of the time.

67%Next-day range hit rate20 of 30 days closed inside the range (target ≈68%)
87%7-day range hit rate26 of 30 weekly ranges held
±1.2%Average daily rangehow wide the next-day range was on average – narrower means a calmer market

Last 30 days

  1. 2026-10-02: inside range
  2. 2026-10-03: inside range
  3. 2026-10-04: inside range
  4. 2026-10-05: outside range
  5. 2026-10-06: inside range
  6. 2026-10-07: inside range
  7. 2026-10-08: outside range
  8. 2026-10-09: outside range
  9. 2026-10-10: inside range
  10. 2026-10-11: inside range
  11. 2026-10-12: inside range
  12. 2026-10-13: inside range
  13. 2026-10-14: outside range
  14. 2026-10-15: inside range
  15. 2026-10-16: outside range
  16. 2026-10-17: inside range
  17. 2026-10-18: outside range
  18. 2026-10-19: inside range
  19. 2026-10-20: inside range
  20. 2026-10-21: inside range
  21. 2026-10-22: outside range
  22. 2026-10-23: inside range
  23. 2026-10-24: inside range
  24. 2026-10-25: inside range
  25. 2026-10-26: outside range
  26. 2026-10-27: inside range
  27. 2026-10-28: outside range
  28. 2026-10-29: outside range
  29. 2026-10-30: inside range
  30. 2026-10-31: inside range

close inside the rangeclose outside

Verdict: over the last month the Microsoft ranges were well calibrated. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. How we score ourselves

Why is Microsoft moving? News and events

The forecast is pure maths, but prices react to news. Here are the latest Microsoft headlines and the scheduled economic releases that could move it this week.

Latest headlines

Headlines via Google News. Kumocast does not write or endorse them.

Microsoft live update log

Every 30 minutes Kumo checks the sky again. Newest first.

z z

Market closed – next update when Wall Street (NYSE) opens

TODAY6

  1. $524.06−0.02%Quiet half hour: Microsoft held near $524.06
  2. $524.16+0.01%Calm skies: Microsoft stayed close to $524.16
  3. $524.10−0.02%Microsoft drifted sideways around $524.10
  4. $524.23−0.00%Quiet half hour: Microsoft held near $524.23
  5. $524.24−0.04%Calm skies: Microsoft stayed close to $524.24
  6. $524.47−0.02%Microsoft drifted sideways around $524.47
Show all 16 updates
  1. $524.60+0.00%Quiet half hour: Microsoft held near $524.60
  2. $524.59+0.06%Microsoft edged higher to $524.59 (+0.06%)
  3. $524.25+0.08%Buyers lifted Microsoft to $524.25 (+0.08%)
  4. $523.83−0.03%Quiet half hour: Microsoft held near $523.83
  5. $523.98−0.03%Calm skies: Microsoft stayed close to $523.98
  6. $524.16+0.01%Microsoft drifted sideways around $524.16
  7. $524.11−0.02%Quiet half hour: Microsoft held near $524.11
  8. $524.24−0.03%Calm skies: Microsoft stayed close to $524.24
  9. $524.39+0.04%Microsoft drifted sideways around $524.39
  10. $524.20−0.02%Quiet half hour: Microsoft held near $524.20

Microsoft prediction FAQ

What is the Microsoft price prediction for today?

For today we expect Microsoft to trade mostly between $515.15 and $533.08. The outlook is cloudy (neutral), with a 50% chance of the sunny scenario playing out first. This range is updated every 30 minutes.

What is the Microsoft prediction for tomorrow?

For Monday our model points to a range of $517.40 to $530.78, centred near $524.05 (−0.00% from now).

Is Microsoft going up or down?

Right now the signals are neutral: 2 indicators lean up and 2 lean down. Microsoft is up 0.41% over the past week.

What are the Microsoft support and resistance levels?

The nearest resistance (ceiling) is $525.14 and the nearest support (floor) is $522.68. Today's classic pivot point is $523.59, with R1 at $524.48 and S1 at $522.68.

What is the Microsoft forecast for this week?

Over the next 7 days we expect Microsoft to stay roughly between $506.61 and $542.02. Weekly ranges are wider because uncertainty grows with time.

Is Microsoft a buy or a sell today?

Kumocast does not give buy or sell advice. Our indicators currently read 2 bullish, 3 neutral and 2 bearish. Always use your own judgement and risk management.

How volatile is Microsoft right now?

Microsoft has a typical daily move of about 1.28% based on the last 60 days. In the last 24 hours it moved between $523.18 and $525.40.

How accurate is this Microsoft prediction?

Think of it like a weather forecast: the 24-hour range for Microsoft is built to hold about 68% of the time. It is a probability, not a promise.

How often is this Microsoft analysis updated?

Every 30 minutes while the market is trading. The time of the last update is shown at the top of the page.

Where does the Microsoft price data come from?

Prices come from public exchange data (with automatic backup sources). See our methodology page for details.

What is the Microsoft price prediction for 2030?

Our statistical base case for the end of 2030 is about $868.19, with a wide 80% range from $414.91 (bear case) to $1,816.70 (bull case). It is built from Microsoft's own volatility and a heavily shrunk version of its past-year trend, so treat it as a scenario, not a target.

Where could Microsoft be at the end of 2027?

For the end of 2027 the model's base case is $603.32 (+15.12% from today), with a bear case near $408.48 and a bull case near $891.10. The range is refreshed every 30 minutes as new prices arrive.

Alex Wu, Independent market analyst

About the analyst

Alex Wu

Independent market analyst

Independent market analyst focused on crypto, DeFi, perps and FX. Driven by data. Alex designed the Kumocast weather model and reviews its methodology.

The numbers on this page are produced automatically every 30 minutes by the Kumocast engine – there are no hand-picked calls. Alex sets the rules, checks the accuracy tracker and updates the methodology when the model changes.

Follow @OnchainUalexwu@kumocast.io

How we make this forecast

Every 30 minutes Kumocast reads public price data and runs it through seven classic indicators, support and resistance detection and a volatility model. The weather word sums up the combined mood score, from −100 (rainy) to +100 (sunny). Ranges are statistical estimates, not promises. Read the full methodology

Data: Hyperliquid (trade.xyz)

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