kumocast

EUR/GBP Forecast & Prediction Today – November 1, 2026

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Alex Wu, Independent market analystModel by · auto-updated
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Euro / British Pound price: 0.83368

−0.20% 24h

Rainy

bearish · confidence 72%

Euro / British Pound analysis today

Stormy for Euro / British Pound: most signals lean lower. Euro / British Pound is trading at 0.83368, down 0.20% over the last 24 hours, after moving between 0.83212 and 0.83670.

Our model's mood score is -47 out of 100 (bearish). The nearest ceiling (resistance) is 0.83541 and the nearest floor (support) is 0.83235. For the next 24 hours we expect Euro / British Pound to stay roughly between 0.82913 and 0.83729.

If buyers push through 0.83541, the next stop is around 0.83746. A drop below 0.83235 would put 0.82956 in focus. Euro / British Pound in brief – A slow-moving cross driven by the difference between ECB and Bank of England policy.

The bigger picture: −0.61% in 7 days and −1.57% in 30 days for Euro / British Pound. With an average daily swing of 0.21%, the 0.21% gap to the ceiling and the 0.16% gap to the floor leave room for a normal day of trading.

See all forex forecasts today →

Euro / British Pound chart: last 48 hours and next 24

Past 48 hours of Euro / British Pound on the left, the forecast cone for the next 24 hours on the right. Dashed lines mark the ceiling and the floor.

NowCeiling0.83541Floor0.8323500:0012:0000:0012:0000:0012:00UTC

Forecast ranges: 4 hours, 24 hours, 7 days

Three trips, three balloons: the further ahead we look, the wider the likely range for Euro / British Pound.

Now 0.833680.835150.83182Next 4 hours0.837290.82913Next 24 hours0.837700.82862Next 7 days
  • Next 4 hours: 0.83182 – 0.83515
  • Next 24 hours: 0.82913 – 0.83729
  • Next 7 days: 0.82862 – 0.83770

Buyers vs sellers

Who pulled harder in the last 24 hours? We compare the value traded in rising and falling 30-minute candles.

Sellers 48%Buyers 52%

Buyers 52% · Sellers 48% (last 24h)

Sunny vs rainy: what happens next?

Sunny if buyers break the ceiling, rainy if sellers break the floor.

Sunny scenario

If 0.83368 breaks above 0.83541 → 0.83746

36%

Rainy scenario

If it breaks below 0.83235 → 0.82956

64%

Mood dials

Seven classic indicators, each read as bullish, neutral or bearish.

  • RSI (14, daily)

    29

    Bullish

    oversold – bounces are common

  • MACD (4h)

    Above signal

    Bullish

    momentum is pointing up

  • Trend (EMA 20/50, 4h)

    Downtrend

    Bearish

    short trend is below the medium trend

  • Long trend (EMA 200, daily)

    Not enough data

    Neutral

    less than 200 days of history

  • Stochastic (4h)

    37

    Bearish

    turning down

  • Trend strength (ADX)

    47

    Neutral

    a strong trend is in place

  • Bollinger position (daily)

    11%

    Neutral

    inside the normal band

  • What the dials say

    2 of 7 indicators lean bullish and 2 lean bearish. RSI (14, daily): oversold – bounces are common; MACD (4h): momentum is pointing up; Trend (EMA 20/50, 4h): short trend is below the medium trend.

Hour-by-hour weather

Hour-by-hour weather so far: sun for rising hours, rain for falling ones.

  1. 09:00Cloudy0.00%
  2. 10:00Cloudy+0.02%
  3. 11:00Light rain−0.13%
  4. 12:00Partly sunny+0.12%
  5. 13:00Cloudy0.00%
  6. 14:00Cloudy−0.04%
  7. 15:00Partly sunny+0.12%
  8. 16:00Cloudy+0.03%
  9. 17:00Rainy−0.29%
  10. 18:00Cloudy+0.01%
  11. 19:00Light rain−0.11%
  12. 20:00Partly sunny+0.09%

Today in one line: 3 of the last 12 hours were bright for Euro / British Pound; the day is net negative so far.

The sun's path: trading sessions

How Euro / British Pound behaved in each of today's three main sessions.

AsiaLondonNew York

  • Asia

    Done

    High 0.83670 · Low 0.83368

    −0.03%

  • London

    Done

    High 0.83596 · Low 0.83388

    −0.12%

  • New York

    Done

    High 0.83583 · Low 0.83256

    −0.27%

Euro / British Pound 7-day forecast

The week ahead, one row per day, with the expected range and direction.

likely rangeprice now▲ / ▼ change of the range middle vs now

  1. MondayNov 2

    Light rain – likely between 0.83181 and 0.83524

    ▼ 0.02%
  2. TuesdayNov 3

    Light rain – likely between 0.83094 and 0.83579

    ▼ 0.04%
  3. WednesdayNov 4

    Light rain – likely between 0.83023 and 0.83617

    ▼ 0.06%
  4. ThursdayNov 5

    Light rain – likely between 0.82962 and 0.83647

    ▼ 0.08%
  5. FridayNov 6

    Light rain – likely between 0.82905 and 0.83672

    ▼ 0.10%
  6. SaturdayNov 7

    Light rain – likely between 0.82853 and 0.83692

    ▼ 0.12%
  7. SundayNov 8

    Light rain – likely between 0.82803 and 0.83710

    ▼ 0.14%

EUR/GBP forecast 2026–2030

Long-term scenarios from pure statistics: Euro / British Pound's yearly volatility is about 4% and its trend was less than a year of history. The base case keeps only a small, capped part of that trend; the bear and bull cases show the 10% and 90% edges of the likely spread.

Year endBear caseBase caseBull case
20260.812380.83016−0.42%0.84833
20270.763140.80871−3.00%0.85700
20280.727810.78776−5.51%0.85265
20290.697370.76741−7.95%0.84449
20300.669850.74759−10.33%0.83434

Price today: 0.83368 (black line). Nobody can know where Euro / British Pound will trade in five years – these ranges show how far it could plausibly travel given its own history, not a promise. Not financial advice.

How accurate is our Euro / British Pound forecast?

We replay the daily version of the Kumocast range model on the last 30 finished days, using only data that was available before each day. A good one-standard-deviation range should catch the next close about 68% of the time.

80%Next-day range hit rate24 of 30 days closed inside the range (target ≈68%)
63%7-day range hit rate19 of 30 weekly ranges held
±0.23%Average daily rangehow wide the next-day range was on average – narrower means a calmer market

Last 30 days

  1. 2026-10-02: outside range
  2. 2026-10-03: outside range
  3. 2026-10-04: inside range
  4. 2026-10-05: inside range
  5. 2026-10-06: inside range
  6. 2026-10-07: inside range
  7. 2026-10-08: inside range
  8. 2026-10-09: inside range
  9. 2026-10-10: inside range
  10. 2026-10-11: inside range
  11. 2026-10-12: inside range
  12. 2026-10-13: inside range
  13. 2026-10-14: inside range
  14. 2026-10-15: inside range
  15. 2026-10-16: inside range
  16. 2026-10-17: inside range
  17. 2026-10-18: inside range
  18. 2026-10-19: inside range
  19. 2026-10-20: outside range
  20. 2026-10-21: inside range
  21. 2026-10-22: outside range
  22. 2026-10-23: inside range
  23. 2026-10-24: outside range
  24. 2026-10-25: inside range
  25. 2026-10-26: inside range
  26. 2026-10-27: inside range
  27. 2026-10-28: inside range
  28. 2026-10-29: outside range
  29. 2026-10-30: inside range
  30. 2026-10-31: inside range

close inside the rangeclose outside

Verdict: over the last month the Euro / British Pound ranges were well calibrated. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. How we score ourselves

Why is Euro / British Pound moving? News and events

The forecast is pure maths, but prices react to news. Here are the latest Euro / British Pound headlines and the scheduled economic releases that could move it this week.

Latest headlines

Headlines via Google News. Kumocast does not write or endorse them.

Euro / British Pound live update log

Every 30 minutes Kumo checks the sky again. Newest first.

z z

Market closed – next update when Forex market opens

TODAY6

  1. 0.83368+0.09%Euro / British Pound ticked up to 0.83368 (+0.09%)
  2. 0.832940.00%Calm skies: Euro / British Pound stayed close to 0.83294
  3. 0.83294−0.05%Euro / British Pound slipped to 0.83294 (−0.05%)
  4. 0.83338−0.02%Quiet half hour: Euro / British Pound held near 0.83338
  5. 0.83353+0.01%Calm skies: Euro / British Pound stayed close to 0.83353
  6. 0.833450.00%Euro / British Pound drifted sideways around 0.83345
Show all 16 updates
  1. 0.83345−0.21%Sellers pushed Euro / British Pound down to 0.83345 (−0.21%)
  2. 0.83519−0.03%Calm skies: Euro / British Pound stayed close to 0.83519
  3. 0.83543+0.01%Euro / British Pound drifted sideways around 0.83543
  4. 0.83535+0.01%Quiet half hour: Euro / British Pound held near 0.83535
  5. 0.83528+0.05%Euro / British Pound edged higher to 0.83528 (+0.05%)
  6. 0.83483−0.02%Euro / British Pound drifted sideways around 0.83483
  7. 0.83498−0.03%Quiet half hour: Euro / British Pound held near 0.83498
  8. 0.83520−0.01%Calm skies: Euro / British Pound stayed close to 0.83520
  9. 0.83528+0.02%Euro / British Pound drifted sideways around 0.83528
  10. 0.835130.00%Quiet half hour: Euro / British Pound held near 0.83513

Euro / British Pound prediction FAQ

What is the Euro / British Pound price prediction for today?

For today we expect Euro / British Pound to trade mostly between 0.82913 and 0.83729. The outlook is rainy (bearish), with a 36% chance of the sunny scenario playing out first. This range is updated every 30 minutes.

What is the Euro / British Pound prediction for tomorrow?

For Monday our model points to a range of 0.83181 to 0.83524, centred near 0.83352 (−0.02% from now).

Is Euro / British Pound going up or down?

Right now the signals are bearish: 2 indicators lean up and 2 lean down. Euro / British Pound is down 0.61% over the past week.

What are the Euro / British Pound support and resistance levels?

The nearest resistance (ceiling) is 0.83541 and the nearest support (floor) is 0.83235. Today's classic pivot point is 0.83468, with R1 at 0.83746 and S1 at 0.83235.

What is the Euro / British Pound forecast for this week?

Over the next 7 days we expect Euro / British Pound to stay roughly between 0.82862 and 0.83770. Weekly ranges are wider because uncertainty grows with time.

Is Euro / British Pound a buy or a sell today?

No signal here is a trade recommendation. The current read for EUR/GBP is 2 bullish / 3 neutral / 2 bearish across our seven indicators.

How volatile is Euro / British Pound right now?

Euro / British Pound has a typical daily move of about 0.21% based on the last 60 days. In the last 24 hours it moved between 0.83212 and 0.83670.

How accurate is this Euro / British Pound prediction?

Our ranges are statistical: about two out of three times, price is expected to stay inside the 24-hour range. Markets can and do break out of any range, especially around news.

How often is this Euro / British Pound analysis updated?

The page rebuilds itself about every 30 minutes with fresh EUR/GBP data. The "updated" badge at the top shows exactly when.

Where does the Euro / British Pound price data come from?

Prices come from public exchange data (from a single public venue). See our methodology page for details.

What is the Euro / British Pound price prediction for 2030?

Our statistical base case for the end of 2030 is about 0.74759, with a wide 80% range from 0.66985 (bear case) to 0.83434 (bull case). It is built from Euro / British Pound's own volatility and a heavily shrunk version of its past-year trend, so treat it as a scenario, not a target.

Where could Euro / British Pound be at the end of 2027?

For the end of 2027 the model's base case is 0.80871 (−3.00% from today), with a bear case near 0.76314 and a bull case near 0.85700. The range is refreshed every 30 minutes as new prices arrive.

Alex Wu, Independent market analyst

About the analyst

Alex Wu

Independent market analyst

Independent market analyst focused on crypto, DeFi, perps and FX. Driven by data. Alex designed the Kumocast weather model and reviews its methodology.

The numbers on this page are produced automatically every 30 minutes by the Kumocast engine – there are no hand-picked calls. Alex sets the rules, checks the accuracy tracker and updates the methodology when the model changes.

Follow @OnchainUalexwu@kumocast.io

How we make this forecast

Every 30 minutes Kumocast reads public price data and runs it through seven classic indicators, support and resistance detection and a volatility model. The weather word sums up the combined mood score, from −100 (rainy) to +100 (sunny). Ranges are statistical estimates, not promises. Read the full methodology

Data: Hyperliquid (trade.xyz), calculated cross rate

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