kumocast

Arm Holdings (ARM) Stock Prediction Today – November 1, 2026

LIVE · next update ~
Alex Wu, Independent market analystModel by · auto-updated
Wall Street (NYSE) closed · opens in 17 h 10 min – showing the 24/7 Hyperliquid (trade.xyz) price

Arm Holdings price: $207.85

+0.35% 24h

Rainy

bearish · confidence 66%

Arm Holdings analysis today

Arm Holdings is in a rainy spell – trend and momentum both point down. Arm Holdings is trading at $207.85, up 0.35% over the last 24 hours, after moving between $206.96 and $208.47.

Our model's mood score is -47 out of 100 (bearish). The nearest ceiling (resistance) is $208.33 and the nearest floor (support) is $206.38. Our 24-hour forecast range is $201.93–$212.65, based on recent volatility.

If buyers push through $208.33, the next stop is around $209.62. A drop below $206.38 would put $206.19 in focus. Arm Holdings in brief – Chip designs used in almost every smartphone and in more and more servers; Arm is a high-volatility AI stock.

Over the past week Arm Holdings has lost 1.37%, and over the past month it has lost 32.49%. Price is 0.23% under resistance and 0.71% over support; for comparison, Arm Holdings usually moves around 4.17% a day.

See all stock predictions today →

Arm Holdings chart: last 48 hours and next 24

Real ARM price (solid line) and the 24-hour forecast range (shaded). The cone widens because uncertainty grows with time.

NowCeiling$208.33Floor$206.3800:0012:0000:0012:0000:0012:00UTC

Forecast ranges: 4 hours, 24 hours, 7 days

Balloon height = likely range. About two times out of three, Arm Holdings should stay inside each balloon.

Now $207.85$209.79$205.41Next 4 hours$212.65$201.93Next 24 hours$229.10$183.75Next 7 days
  • Next 4 hours: $205.41 – $209.79
  • Next 24 hours: $201.93 – $212.65
  • Next 7 days: $183.75 – $229.10

Buyers vs sellers

Buyers versus sellers over the last day, measured by the value traded in up-candles and down-candles.

Sellers 49%Buyers 51%

Buyers 51% · Sellers 49% (last 24h)

Order-book mountains

Order-book depth near the price: the bigger mountain shows which side has more orders waiting.

$207.33$204.21$206.81Buy orders$208.89$208.37$209.93Sell orders

Sunny vs rainy: what happens next?

The two scenarios to watch for Arm Holdings today.

Sunny scenario

If $207.85 breaks above $208.33 → $209.62

36%

Rainy scenario

If it breaks below $206.38 → $206.19

64%

Mood dials

What the technical indicators say right now for ARM.

  • RSI (14, daily)

    34

    Bearish

    sellers have the upper hand

  • MACD (4h)

    Above signal

    Bullish

    momentum is pointing up

  • Trend (EMA 20/50, 4h)

    Downtrend

    Bearish

    short trend is below the medium trend

  • Long trend (EMA 200, daily)

    Not enough data

    Neutral

    less than 200 days of history

  • Stochastic (4h)

    93

    Bearish

    stretched to the upside

  • Trend strength (ADX)

    29

    Neutral

    a strong trend is in place

  • Bollinger position (daily)

    22%

    Neutral

    inside the normal band

  • What the dials say

    1 of 7 indicators lean bullish and 3 lean bearish. RSI (14, daily): sellers have the upper hand; MACD (4h): momentum is pointing up; Trend (EMA 20/50, 4h): short trend is below the medium trend.

Hour-by-hour weather

The last 12 hours of Arm Holdings, hour by hour.

  1. 09:00Cloudy+0.08%
  2. 10:00Cloudy−0.03%
  3. 11:00Cloudy−0.07%
  4. 12:00Cloudy+0.25%
  5. 13:00Cloudy−0.01%
  6. 14:00Cloudy−0.03%
  7. 15:00Cloudy+0.08%
  8. 16:00Cloudy−0.05%
  9. 17:00Cloudy−0.17%
  10. 18:00Cloudy−0.01%
  11. 19:00Cloudy+0.07%
  12. 20:00Cloudy+0.21%

Today in one line: 0 of the last 12 hours were bright for Arm Holdings; the day is net positive so far.

Arm Holdings 7-day forecast

Our 7-day outlook for Arm Holdings: a likely range and a mood for each day.

likely rangeprice now▲ / ▼ change of the range middle vs now

  1. MondayNov 2

    Light rain – likely between $198.58 and $215.85

    ▼ 0.39%
  2. TuesdayNov 3

    Light rain – likely between $194.42 and $218.75

    ▼ 0.78%
  3. WednesdayNov 4

    Light rain – likely between $191.11 and $220.80

    ▼ 1.17%
  4. ThursdayNov 5

    Light rain – likely between $188.25 and $222.41

    ▼ 1.56%
  5. FridayNov 6

    Light rain – likely between $185.68 and $223.73

    ▼ 1.94%
  6. SaturdayNov 7

    Light rain – likely between $183.31 and $224.85

    ▼ 2.32%
  7. SundayNov 8

    Light rain – likely between $181.11 and $225.81

    ▼ 2.71%

Arm Holdings stock prediction 2026–2030

Long-term scenarios from pure statistics: Arm Holdings's yearly volatility is about 90% and its trend was less than a year of history. The base case keeps only a small, capped part of that trend; the bear and bull cases show the 10% and 90% edges of the likely spread.

Year endBear caseBase caseBull case
2026$128.15$203.85−1.92%$324.28
2027$52.1408$180.80−13.01%$626.92
2028$29.3672$160.30−22.88%$875.01
2029$18.2647$142.17−31.60%$1,106.70
2030$11.9769$126.10−39.33%$1,327.60

Price today: $207.85 (black line). Nobody can know where Arm Holdings will trade in five years – these ranges show how far it could plausibly travel given its own history, not a promise. Not financial advice.

How accurate is our Arm Holdings forecast?

We replay the daily version of the Kumocast range model on the last 30 finished days, using only data that was available before each day. A good one-standard-deviation range should catch the next close about 68% of the time.

70%Next-day range hit rate21 of 30 days closed inside the range (target ≈68%)
60%7-day range hit rate18 of 30 weekly ranges held
±4.4%Average daily rangehow wide the next-day range was on average – narrower means a calmer market

Last 30 days

  1. 2026-10-02: outside range
  2. 2026-10-03: inside range
  3. 2026-10-04: inside range
  4. 2026-10-05: inside range
  5. 2026-10-06: inside range
  6. 2026-10-07: inside range
  7. 2026-10-08: outside range
  8. 2026-10-09: inside range
  9. 2026-10-10: inside range
  10. 2026-10-11: inside range
  11. 2026-10-12: outside range
  12. 2026-10-13: inside range
  13. 2026-10-14: outside range
  14. 2026-10-15: outside range
  15. 2026-10-16: outside range
  16. 2026-10-17: inside range
  17. 2026-10-18: inside range
  18. 2026-10-19: inside range
  19. 2026-10-20: inside range
  20. 2026-10-21: inside range
  21. 2026-10-22: outside range
  22. 2026-10-23: inside range
  23. 2026-10-24: inside range
  24. 2026-10-25: inside range
  25. 2026-10-26: outside range
  26. 2026-10-27: inside range
  27. 2026-10-28: inside range
  28. 2026-10-29: outside range
  29. 2026-10-30: inside range
  30. 2026-10-31: inside range

close inside the rangeclose outside

Verdict: over the last month the Arm Holdings ranges were well calibrated. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. How we score ourselves

Why is Arm Holdings moving? News and events

The forecast is pure maths, but prices react to news. Here are the latest Arm Holdings headlines and the scheduled economic releases that could move it this week.

Latest headlines

Headlines via Google News. Kumocast does not write or endorse them.

Arm Holdings live update log

Every 30 minutes Kumo checks the sky again. Newest first.

z z

Market closed – next update when Wall Street (NYSE) opens

TODAY6

  1. $207.85−0.06%Sellers pushed Arm Holdings down to $207.85 (−0.06%)
  2. $207.97+0.17%Arm Holdings edged higher to $207.97 (+0.17%)
  3. $207.61+0.07%Buyers lifted Arm Holdings to $207.61 (+0.07%)
  4. $207.46−0.06%Sellers pushed Arm Holdings down to $207.46 (−0.06%)
  5. $207.59+0.01%Calm skies: Arm Holdings stayed close to $207.59
  6. $207.56−0.06%Arm Holdings slipped to $207.56 (−0.06%)
Show all 16 updates
  1. $207.69−0.14%Sellers pushed Arm Holdings down to $207.69 (−0.14%)
  2. $207.98−0.01%Calm skies: Arm Holdings stayed close to $207.98
  3. $208.01−0.02%Arm Holdings drifted sideways around $208.01
  4. $208.05−0.07%Sellers pushed Arm Holdings down to $208.05 (−0.07%)
  5. $208.19+0.08%Arm Holdings edged higher to $208.19 (+0.08%)
  6. $208.030.00%Arm Holdings drifted sideways around $208.03
  7. $208.03−0.02%Quiet half hour: Arm Holdings held near $208.03
  8. $208.08−0.12%Arm Holdings eased lower to $208.08 (−0.12%)
  9. $208.34+0.02%Arm Holdings drifted sideways around $208.34
  10. $208.29−0.07%Sellers pushed Arm Holdings down to $208.29 (−0.07%)

Arm Holdings prediction FAQ

What is the Arm Holdings price prediction for today?

For today we expect Arm Holdings to trade mostly between $201.93 and $212.65. The outlook is rainy (bearish), with a 36% chance of the sunny scenario playing out first. This range is updated every 30 minutes.

What is the Arm Holdings prediction for tomorrow?

For Monday our model points to a range of $198.58 to $215.85, centred near $207.04 (−0.39% from now).

Is Arm Holdings going up or down?

Right now the signals are bearish: 1 indicators lean up and 3 lean down. Arm Holdings is down 1.37% over the past week.

What are the Arm Holdings support and resistance levels?

The nearest resistance (ceiling) is $208.33 and the nearest support (floor) is $206.38. Today's classic pivot point is $206.90, with R1 at $207.61 and S1 at $206.38.

What is the Arm Holdings forecast for this week?

Over the next 7 days we expect Arm Holdings to stay roughly between $183.75 and $229.10. Weekly ranges are wider because uncertainty grows with time.

Is Arm Holdings a buy or a sell today?

Kumocast does not give buy or sell advice. Our indicators currently read 1 bullish, 3 neutral and 3 bearish. Always use your own judgement and risk management.

How volatile is Arm Holdings right now?

Arm Holdings has a typical daily move of about 4.17% based on the last 60 days. In the last 24 hours it moved between $206.96 and $208.47.

How accurate is this Arm Holdings prediction?

The ranges come from recent volatility, so roughly two days in three Arm Holdings should finish inside the 24-hour band. Surprise news, earnings or liquidations can push it outside.

How often is this Arm Holdings analysis updated?

Roughly every half hour. If the main market is closed we keep showing the latest available price and say so at the top.

Where does the Arm Holdings price data come from?

Prices come from public exchange data (with automatic backup sources). See our methodology page for details.

What is the Arm Holdings price prediction for 2030?

Our statistical base case for the end of 2030 is about $126.10, with a wide 80% range from $11.9769 (bear case) to $1,327.60 (bull case). It is built from Arm Holdings's own volatility and a heavily shrunk version of its past-year trend, so treat it as a scenario, not a target.

Where could Arm Holdings be at the end of 2027?

For the end of 2027 the model's base case is $180.80 (−13.01% from today), with a bear case near $52.1408 and a bull case near $626.92. The range is refreshed every 30 minutes as new prices arrive.

Alex Wu, Independent market analyst

About the analyst

Alex Wu

Independent market analyst

Independent market analyst focused on crypto, DeFi, perps and FX. Driven by data. Alex designed the Kumocast weather model and reviews its methodology.

The numbers on this page are produced automatically every 30 minutes by the Kumocast engine – there are no hand-picked calls. Alex sets the rules, checks the accuracy tracker and updates the methodology when the model changes.

Follow @OnchainUalexwu@kumocast.io

How we make this forecast

Every 30 minutes Kumocast reads public price data and runs it through seven classic indicators, support and resistance detection and a volatility model. The weather word sums up the combined mood score, from −100 (rainy) to +100 (sunny). Ranges are statistical estimates, not promises. Read the full methodology

Data: Hyperliquid (trade.xyz)

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