kumocast

Polkadot (DOT) Price Prediction Today – November 1, 2026

LIVE · next update ~
Alex Wu, Independent market analystModel by · auto-updated
Crypto market (24/7)

Polkadot price: $0.947

−0.21% 24h

Rainy

bearish · confidence 67%

Polkadot analysis today

It is raining on Polkadot: sellers are in control. Polkadot is trading at $0.947, down 0.21% over the last 24 hours, after moving between $0.939 and $0.959.

Our model's mood score is -56 out of 100 (bearish). The nearest ceiling (resistance) is $0.963 and the nearest floor (support) is $0.934. Our 24-hour forecast range is $0.90856–$0.97707, based on recent volatility.

A break above $0.963 would open the way towards $0.97167. If $0.934 gives way, Polkadot could slide towards $0.93367. Polkadot in brief – A network of connected blockchains; DOT follows the altcoin market and Polkadot ecosystem updates.

Zooming out, Polkadot is down 7.97% over seven days and down 18.01% over thirty days. Price is 1.69% under resistance and 1.37% over support; for comparison, Polkadot usually moves around 4.78% a day.

See all crypto price predictions today →

Polkadot chart: last 48 hours and next 24

Past 48 hours of Polkadot on the left, the forecast cone for the next 24 hours on the right. Dashed lines mark the ceiling and the floor.

NowCeiling$0.963Floor$0.93400:0012:0000:0012:0000:0012:00UTC

Forecast ranges: 4 hours, 24 hours, 7 days

Balloon height = likely range. About two times out of three, Polkadot should stay inside each balloon.

Now $0.947$0.95916$0.93111Next 4 hours$0.97707$0.90856Next 24 hours$1.0559$0.81974Next 7 days
  • Next 4 hours: $0.93111 – $0.95916
  • Next 24 hours: $0.90856 – $0.97707
  • Next 7 days: $0.81974 – $1.0559

Buyers vs sellers

Who pulled harder in the last 24 hours? We compare the value traded in rising and falling 30-minute candles.

Sellers 56%Buyers 44%

Buyers 44% · Sellers 56% (last 24h)

Order-book mountains

Where are the big orders? Bids on the left, asks on the right, the largest walls flagged.

$0.94463$0.947$0.9399Buy orders$0.94937$0.95173$0.9541Sell orders

Long vs short accounts

Share of trader accounts holding long versus short positions on Binance Futures.

Long 58%Short 42%

58% of accounts are long

Liquidation magnets

Rough liquidation zones for 10×, 25× and 50× leverage, based on the last day's average price.

estimatedPrice $0.94710×$0.85903 (−9.3%)10×$1.0394 (+9.8%)25×$0.91598 (−3.3%)25×$0.98243 (+3.7%)50×$0.93497 (−1.3%)50×$0.96344 (+1.7%)Shorts liquidated aboveLongs liquidated below

Sunny vs rainy: what happens next?

The two scenarios to watch for Polkadot today.

Sunny scenario

If $0.947 breaks above $0.963 → $0.97167

33%

Rainy scenario

If it breaks below $0.934 → $0.93367

67%

Mood dials

Our indicator dashboard: trend, momentum and stretch at a glance.

  • RSI (14, daily)

    36

    Bearish

    sellers have the upper hand

  • MACD (4h)

    Above signal

    Bullish

    momentum is pointing up

  • Trend (EMA 20/50, 4h)

    Downtrend

    Bearish

    short trend is below the medium trend

  • Long trend (EMA 200, daily)

    Price below

    Bearish

    long-term trend is down

  • Stochastic (4h)

    18

    Bullish

    stretched to the downside

  • Trend strength (ADX)

    21

    Neutral

    no strong trend – range trading

  • Bollinger position (daily)

    13%

    Neutral

    inside the normal band

  • What the dials say

    2 of 7 indicators lean bullish and 3 lean bearish. RSI (14, daily): sellers have the upper hand; MACD (4h): momentum is pointing up; Trend (EMA 20/50, 4h): short trend is below the medium trend.

Hour-by-hour weather

The last 12 hours of Polkadot, hour by hour.

  1. 09:00Cloudy+0.11%
  2. 10:00Cloudy−0.21%
  3. 11:00Light rain−0.84%
  4. 12:00Partly sunny+0.74%
  5. 13:00Cloudy−0.11%
  6. 14:00Cloudy+0.21%
  7. 15:00Cloudy−0.11%
  8. 16:00Partly sunny+0.42%
  9. 17:00Cloudy+0.10%
  10. 18:00Light rain−1.05%
  11. 19:00Cloudy+0.21%
  12. 20:00Cloudy0.00%

Today in one line: 2 of the last 12 hours were bright for Polkadot; the day is net negative so far.

The sun's path: trading sessions

The sun's path through today's sessions: Asia, London and New York.

AsiaLondonNew York

  • Asia

    Done

    High $0.955 · Low $0.944

    +0.11%

  • London

    Done

    High $0.956 · Low $0.939

    −0.21%

  • New York

    Done

    High $0.959 · Low $0.942

    +0.21%

Polkadot 7-day forecast

Our 7-day outlook for Polkadot: a likely range and a mood for each day.

likely rangeprice now▲ / ▼ change of the range middle vs now

  1. MondayNov 2

    Rainy – likely between $0.89793 and $0.9881

    ▼ 0.53%
  2. TuesdayNov 3

    Light rain – likely between $0.87561 and $1.0025

    ▼ 1.07%
  3. WednesdayNov 4

    Light rain – likely between $0.85778 and $1.0124

    ▼ 1.59%
  4. ThursdayNov 5

    Light rain – likely between $0.84233 and $1.02

    ▼ 2.12%
  5. FridayNov 6

    Light rain – likely between $0.82842 and $1.0261

    ▼ 2.64%
  6. SaturdayNov 7

    Light rain – likely between $0.81562 and $1.0311

    ▼ 3.16%
  7. SundayNov 8

    Light rain – likely between $0.80368 and $1.0352

    ▼ 3.68%

Polkadot price prediction 2026–2030

Long-term scenarios from pure statistics: Polkadot's yearly volatility is about 78% and its trend was −56.19% over the past year. The base case keeps only a small, capped part of that trend; the bear and bull cases show the 10% and 90% edges of the likely spread.

Year endBear caseBase caseBull case
2026$0.62075$0.92877−1.92%$1.3896
2027$0.27994$0.82375−13.01%$2.424
2028$0.1674$0.73036−22.88%$3.1865
2029$0.10911$0.64777−31.60%$3.8459
2030$0.07445$0.57452−39.33%$4.4332

Price today: $0.947 (black line). Nobody can know where Polkadot will trade in five years – these ranges show how far it could plausibly travel given its own history, not a promise. Not financial advice.

How accurate is our Polkadot forecast?

We replay the daily version of the Kumocast range model on the last 30 finished days, using only data that was available before each day. A good one-standard-deviation range should catch the next close about 68% of the time.

80%Next-day range hit rate24 of 30 days closed inside the range (target ≈68%)
87%7-day range hit rate26 of 30 weekly ranges held
±4.9%Average daily rangehow wide the next-day range was on average – narrower means a calmer market

Last 30 days

  1. 2026-10-02: inside range
  2. 2026-10-03: inside range
  3. 2026-10-04: inside range
  4. 2026-10-05: inside range
  5. 2026-10-06: inside range
  6. 2026-10-07: outside range
  7. 2026-10-08: inside range
  8. 2026-10-09: outside range
  9. 2026-10-10: inside range
  10. 2026-10-11: inside range
  11. 2026-10-12: outside range
  12. 2026-10-13: inside range
  13. 2026-10-14: inside range
  14. 2026-10-15: inside range
  15. 2026-10-16: inside range
  16. 2026-10-17: outside range
  17. 2026-10-18: inside range
  18. 2026-10-19: inside range
  19. 2026-10-20: inside range
  20. 2026-10-21: inside range
  21. 2026-10-22: inside range
  22. 2026-10-23: inside range
  23. 2026-10-24: inside range
  24. 2026-10-25: inside range
  25. 2026-10-26: inside range
  26. 2026-10-27: inside range
  27. 2026-10-28: inside range
  28. 2026-10-29: outside range
  29. 2026-10-30: outside range
  30. 2026-10-31: inside range

close inside the rangeclose outside

Verdict: over the last month the Polkadot ranges were well calibrated. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. How we score ourselves

Why is Polkadot moving? News and events

The forecast is pure maths, but prices react to news. Here are the latest Polkadot headlines and the scheduled economic releases that could move it this week.

Latest headlines

Headlines via Google News. Kumocast does not write or endorse them.

Polkadot live update log

Every 30 minutes Kumo checks the sky again. Newest first.

TODAY6

  1. $0.947−0.32%Sellers pushed Polkadot down to $0.947 (−0.32%)
  2. $0.95+0.32%Polkadot edged higher to $0.95 (+0.32%)
  3. $0.947−0.11%Polkadot slipped to $0.947 (−0.11%)
  4. $0.948+0.32%Polkadot ticked up to $0.948 (+0.32%)
  5. $0.945−0.53%Polkadot eased lower to $0.945 (−0.53%)
  6. $0.95−0.52%Polkadot slipped to $0.95 (−0.52%)
Show all 16 updates
  1. $0.955+0.21%Polkadot ticked up to $0.955 (+0.21%)
  2. $0.953−0.10%Hit a new 24h high of $0.959, closed at $0.953
  3. $0.954+0.42%Buyers lifted Polkadot to $0.954 (+0.42%)
  4. $0.95+0.11%Polkadot ticked up to $0.95 (+0.11%)
  5. $0.949+0.21%Polkadot edged higher to $0.949 (+0.21%)
  6. $0.947−0.42%Polkadot slipped to $0.947 (−0.42%)
  7. $0.951−0.21%Sellers pushed Polkadot down to $0.951 (−0.21%)
  8. $0.953+0.42%Polkadot edged higher to $0.953 (+0.42%)
  9. $0.949−0.21%Polkadot slipped to $0.949 (−0.21%)
  10. $0.951+0.11%Polkadot ticked up to $0.951 (+0.11%)

Polkadot prediction FAQ

What is the Polkadot price prediction for today?

For today we expect Polkadot to trade mostly between $0.90856 and $0.97707. The outlook is rainy (bearish), with a 33% chance of the sunny scenario playing out first. This range is updated every 30 minutes.

What is the Polkadot prediction for tomorrow?

For Monday our model points to a range of $0.89793 to $0.9881, centred near $0.94194 (−0.53% from now).

Is Polkadot going up or down?

Right now the signals are bearish: 2 indicators lean up and 3 lean down. Polkadot is down 7.97% over the past week.

What are the Polkadot support and resistance levels?

The nearest resistance (ceiling) is $0.963 and the nearest support (floor) is $0.934. Today's classic pivot point is $0.95833, with R1 at $0.97167 and S1 at $0.93367.

What is the Polkadot forecast for this week?

Over the next 7 days we expect Polkadot to stay roughly between $0.81974 and $1.0559. Weekly ranges are wider because uncertainty grows with time.

Is Polkadot a buy or a sell today?

Kumocast does not give buy or sell advice. Our indicators currently read 2 bullish, 2 neutral and 3 bearish. Always use your own judgement and risk management.

How volatile is Polkadot right now?

Polkadot has a typical daily move of about 4.78% based on the last 60 days. In the last 24 hours it moved between $0.939 and $0.959.

How accurate is this Polkadot prediction?

The ranges come from recent volatility, so roughly two days in three Polkadot should finish inside the 24-hour band. Surprise news, earnings or liquidations can push it outside.

How often is this Polkadot analysis updated?

The page rebuilds itself about every 30 minutes with fresh DOT data. The "updated" badge at the top shows exactly when.

Where does the Polkadot price data come from?

Prices come from public exchange data (with automatic backup sources). See our methodology page for details.

What is the Polkadot price prediction for 2030?

Our statistical base case for the end of 2030 is about $0.57452, with a wide 80% range from $0.07445 (bear case) to $4.4332 (bull case). It is built from Polkadot's own volatility and a heavily shrunk version of its past-year trend, so treat it as a scenario, not a target.

Where could Polkadot be at the end of 2027?

For the end of 2027 the model's base case is $0.82375 (−13.01% from today), with a bear case near $0.27994 and a bull case near $2.424. The range is refreshed every 30 minutes as new prices arrive.

Alex Wu, Independent market analyst

About the analyst

Alex Wu

Independent market analyst

Independent market analyst focused on crypto, DeFi, perps and FX. Driven by data. Alex designed the Kumocast weather model and reviews its methodology.

The numbers on this page are produced automatically every 30 minutes by the Kumocast engine – there are no hand-picked calls. Alex sets the rules, checks the accuracy tracker and updates the methodology when the model changes.

Follow @OnchainUalexwu@kumocast.io

How we make this forecast

Every 30 minutes Kumocast reads public price data and runs it through seven classic indicators, support and resistance detection and a volatility model. The weather word sums up the combined mood score, from −100 (rainy) to +100 (sunny). Ranges are statistical estimates, not promises. Read the full methodology

Data: Binance

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