kumocast

Ethena (ENA) Price Prediction Today – November 1, 2026

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Alex Wu, Independent market analystModel by · auto-updated
Crypto market (24/7)

Ethena price: $0.1813

−4.07% 24h

Rainy

bearish · confidence 70%

Ethena analysis today

Stormy for Ethena: most signals lean lower. Ethena is trading at $0.1813, down 4.07% over the last 24 hours, after moving between $0.1788 and $0.1918.

Our model's mood score is -68 out of 100 (bearish). The nearest ceiling (resistance) is $0.1825 and the nearest floor (support) is $0.18. Over the next 24 hours, the most likely range is $0.16907 to $0.19051.

If buyers push through $0.1825, the next stop is around $0.1825. A drop below $0.18 would put $0.1744 in focus. Ethena in brief – The token of the Ethena synthetic-dollar protocol; ENA reacts to funding rates and USDe supply.

Over the past week Ethena has lost 12.37%, and over the past month it has lost 21.99%. Price is 0.66% under resistance and 0.72% over support; for comparison, Ethena usually moves around 6.55% a day.

See all crypto price predictions today →

Ethena chart: last 48 hours and next 24

Real ENA price (solid line) and the 24-hour forecast range (shaded). The cone widens because uncertainty grows with time.

NowCeiling$0.1825Floor$0.1800:0012:0000:0012:0000:0012:00UTC

Forecast ranges: 4 hours, 24 hours, 7 days

Balloon height = likely range. About two times out of three, Ethena should stay inside each balloon.

Now $0.1813$0.185$0.1762Next 4 hours$0.19051$0.16907Next 24 hours$0.20935$0.14802Next 7 days
  • Next 4 hours: $0.1762 – $0.185
  • Next 24 hours: $0.16907 – $0.19051
  • Next 7 days: $0.14802 – $0.20935

Buyers vs sellers

Buyers versus sellers over the last day, measured by the value traded in up-candles and down-candles.

Sellers 56%Buyers 44%

Buyers 44% · Sellers 56% (last 24h)

Order-book mountains

Where are the big orders? Bids on the left, asks on the right, the largest walls flagged.

$0.18085$0.18039$0.17858Buy orders$0.18493$0.18221$0.18311Sell orders

Long vs short accounts

The crowd's positioning: more accounts on one side tips the seesaw down on that side.

Long 56%Short 44%

56% of accounts are long

Liquidation magnets

Rough liquidation zones for 10×, 25× and 50× leverage, based on the last day's average price.

estimatedPrice $0.181310×$0.16866 (−7.0%)10×$0.20407 (+12.6%)25×$0.17984 (−0.8%)25×$0.19289 (+6.4%)50×$0.18357 (+1.3%)50×$0.18916 (+4.3%)Shorts liquidated aboveLongs liquidated below

Sunny vs rainy: what happens next?

Two ways the next move could go, with the chance our model gives each.

Sunny scenario

If $0.1813 breaks above $0.1825 → $0.1825

30%

Rainy scenario

If it breaks below $0.18 → $0.1744

70%

Mood dials

What the technical indicators say right now for ENA.

  • RSI (14, daily)

    42

    Bearish

    sellers have the upper hand

  • MACD (4h)

    Below signal

    Bearish

    momentum is pointing down

  • Trend (EMA 20/50, 4h)

    Downtrend

    Bearish

    short trend is below the medium trend

  • Long trend (EMA 200, daily)

    Price above

    Bullish

    long-term trend is up

  • Stochastic (4h)

    14

    Bullish

    stretched to the downside

  • Trend strength (ADX)

    18

    Neutral

    no strong trend – range trading

  • Bollinger position (daily)

    10%

    Neutral

    inside the normal band

  • What the dials say

    2 of 7 indicators lean bullish and 3 lean bearish. RSI (14, daily): sellers have the upper hand; MACD (4h): momentum is pointing down; Trend (EMA 20/50, 4h): short trend is below the medium trend.

Hour-by-hour weather

The last 12 hours of Ethena, hour by hour.

  1. 09:00Light rain−0.79%
  2. 10:00Cloudy+0.16%
  3. 11:00Light rain−1.38%
  4. 12:00Partly sunny+0.65%
  5. 13:00Cloudy−0.43%
  6. 14:00Cloudy+0.54%
  7. 15:00Light rain−1.02%
  8. 16:00Cloudy−0.27%
  9. 17:00Light rain−0.71%
  10. 18:00Light rain−1.20%
  11. 19:00Cloudy+0.44%
  12. 20:00Cloudy−0.06%

Today in one line: 1 of the last 12 hours were bright for Ethena; the day is net negative so far.

The sun's path: trading sessions

Today's trading split into the Asian, London and New York sessions.

AsiaLondonNew York

  • Asia

    Done

    High $0.191 · Low $0.1861

    −0.32%

  • London

    Done

    High $0.1902 · Low $0.1844

    −1.17%

  • New York

    Done

    High $0.1871 · Low $0.1788

    −2.20%

Ethena 7-day forecast

Our 7-day outlook for Ethena: a likely range and a mood for each day.

likely rangeprice now▲ / ▼ change of the range middle vs now

  1. MondayNov 2

    Rainy – likely between $0.1683 and $0.19186

    ▼ 0.89%
  2. TuesdayNov 3

    Rainy – likely between $0.16234 and $0.19539

    ▼ 1.77%
  3. WednesdayNov 4

    Light rain – likely between $0.15758 and $0.19773

    ▼ 2.64%
  4. ThursdayNov 5

    Light rain – likely between $0.15347 and $0.19945

    ▼ 3.50%
  5. FridayNov 6

    Light rain – likely between $0.14977 and $0.20076

    ▼ 4.36%
  6. SaturdayNov 7

    Light rain – likely between $0.14638 and $0.20178

    ▼ 5.21%
  7. SundayNov 8

    Light rain – likely between $0.14323 and $0.20258

    ▼ 6.05%

Ethena price prediction 2026–2030

Long-term scenarios from pure statistics: Ethena's yearly volatility is about 121% and its trend was +109.69% over the past year. The base case keeps only a small, capped part of that trend; the bear and bull cases show the 10% and 90% edges of the likely spread.

Year endBear caseBase caseBull case
2026$0.10017$0.18727+3.29%$0.35008
2027$0.04281$0.22873+26.16%$1.2221
2028$0.02838$0.27952+54.18%$2.7528
2029$0.02149$0.34141+88.31%$5.4246
2030$0.01747$0.417+130.01%$9.9537

Price today: $0.1813 (black line). Nobody can know where Ethena will trade in five years – these ranges show how far it could plausibly travel given its own history, not a promise. Not financial advice.

How accurate is our Ethena forecast?

We replay the daily version of the Kumocast range model on the last 30 finished days, using only data that was available before each day. A good one-standard-deviation range should catch the next close about 68% of the time.

77%Next-day range hit rate23 of 30 days closed inside the range (target ≈68%)
93%7-day range hit rate28 of 30 weekly ranges held
±7.3%Average daily rangehow wide the next-day range was on average – narrower means a calmer market

Last 30 days

  1. 2026-10-02: inside range
  2. 2026-10-03: inside range
  3. 2026-10-04: inside range
  4. 2026-10-05: inside range
  5. 2026-10-06: inside range
  6. 2026-10-07: inside range
  7. 2026-10-08: outside range
  8. 2026-10-09: inside range
  9. 2026-10-10: inside range
  10. 2026-10-11: outside range
  11. 2026-10-12: outside range
  12. 2026-10-13: inside range
  13. 2026-10-14: inside range
  14. 2026-10-15: inside range
  15. 2026-10-16: inside range
  16. 2026-10-17: inside range
  17. 2026-10-18: inside range
  18. 2026-10-19: inside range
  19. 2026-10-20: inside range
  20. 2026-10-21: outside range
  21. 2026-10-22: outside range
  22. 2026-10-23: inside range
  23. 2026-10-24: inside range
  24. 2026-10-25: inside range
  25. 2026-10-26: inside range
  26. 2026-10-27: inside range
  27. 2026-10-28: inside range
  28. 2026-10-29: outside range
  29. 2026-10-30: outside range
  30. 2026-10-31: inside range

close inside the rangeclose outside

Verdict: over the last month the Ethena ranges were well calibrated. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. How we score ourselves

Why is Ethena moving? News and events

The forecast is pure maths, but prices react to news. Here are the latest Ethena headlines and the scheduled economic releases that could move it this week.

Latest headlines

Headlines via Google News. Kumocast does not write or endorse them.

Ethena live update log

Every 30 minutes Kumo checks the sky again. Newest first.

TODAY6

  1. $0.1813−0.44%Sellers pushed Ethena down to $0.1813 (−0.44%)
  2. $0.1821+0.39%Ethena edged higher to $0.1821 (+0.39%)
  3. $0.1814+0.33%Buyers lifted Ethena to $0.1814 (+0.33%)
  4. $0.1808+0.11%Ethena ticked up to $0.1808 (+0.11%)
  5. $0.18060.00%Dipped to a new 24h low of $0.1788, closed at $0.1806
  6. $0.1806−1.20%Dipped to a new 24h low of $0.1805, closed at $0.1806
Show all 16 updates
  1. $0.1828−0.27%Dipped to a new 24h low of $0.1823, closed at $0.1828
  2. $0.1833−0.43%Dipped to a new 24h low of $0.1831, closed at $0.1833
  3. $0.1841−0.43%Dipped to a new 24h low of $0.1836, closed at $0.1841
  4. $0.1849+0.16%Dipped to a new 24h low of $0.1836, closed at $0.1849
  5. $0.1846−0.32%Dipped to a new 24h low of $0.1844, closed at $0.1846
  6. $0.1852−0.75%Ethena slipped to $0.1852 (−0.75%)
  7. $0.1866+0.38%Ethena ticked up to $0.1866 (+0.38%)
  8. $0.1859+0.16%Ethena edged higher to $0.1859 (+0.16%)
  9. $0.1856−0.38%Ethena slipped to $0.1856 (−0.38%)
  10. $0.1863−0.11%Sellers pushed Ethena down to $0.1863 (−0.11%)

Ethena prediction FAQ

What is the Ethena price prediction for today?

For today we expect Ethena to trade mostly between $0.16907 and $0.19051. The outlook is rainy (bearish), with a 30% chance of the sunny scenario playing out first. This range is updated every 30 minutes.

What is the Ethena prediction for tomorrow?

For Monday our model points to a range of $0.1683 to $0.19186, centred near $0.17969 (−0.89% from now).

Is Ethena going up or down?

Right now the signals are bearish: 2 indicators lean up and 3 lean down. Ethena is down 12.37% over the past week.

What are the Ethena support and resistance levels?

The nearest resistance (ceiling) is $0.1825 and the nearest support (floor) is $0.18. Today's classic pivot point is $0.1911, with R1 at $0.1943 and S1 at $0.1857.

What is the Ethena forecast for this week?

Over the next 7 days we expect Ethena to stay roughly between $0.14802 and $0.20935. Weekly ranges are wider because uncertainty grows with time.

Is Ethena a buy or a sell today?

We don't tell anyone to buy or sell Ethena. Right now 2 indicators read bullish, 2 neutral and 3 bearish – use that as one input, together with your own plan and a stop-loss.

How volatile is Ethena right now?

Ethena has a typical daily move of about 6.55% based on the last 60 days. In the last 24 hours it moved between $0.1788 and $0.1918.

How accurate is this Ethena prediction?

Think of it like a weather forecast: the 24-hour range for Ethena is built to hold about 68% of the time. It is a probability, not a promise.

How often is this Ethena analysis updated?

Every 30 minutes while the market is trading. The time of the last update is shown at the top of the page.

Where does the Ethena price data come from?

Prices come from public exchange data (with automatic backup sources). See our methodology page for details.

What is the Ethena price prediction for 2030?

Our statistical base case for the end of 2030 is about $0.417, with a wide 80% range from $0.01747 (bear case) to $9.9537 (bull case). It is built from Ethena's own volatility and a heavily shrunk version of its past-year trend, so treat it as a scenario, not a target.

Where could Ethena be at the end of 2027?

For the end of 2027 the model's base case is $0.22873 (+26.16% from today), with a bear case near $0.04281 and a bull case near $1.2221. The range is refreshed every 30 minutes as new prices arrive.

Alex Wu, Independent market analyst

About the analyst

Alex Wu

Independent market analyst

Independent market analyst focused on crypto, DeFi, perps and FX. Driven by data. Alex designed the Kumocast weather model and reviews its methodology.

The numbers on this page are produced automatically every 30 minutes by the Kumocast engine – there are no hand-picked calls. Alex sets the rules, checks the accuracy tracker and updates the methodology when the model changes.

Follow @OnchainUalexwu@kumocast.io

How we make this forecast

Every 30 minutes Kumocast reads public price data and runs it through seven classic indicators, support and resistance detection and a volatility model. The weather word sums up the combined mood score, from −100 (rainy) to +100 (sunny). Ranges are statistical estimates, not promises. Read the full methodology

Data: Binance

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