kumocast

Avalanche (AVAX) Price Prediction Today – November 1, 2026

LIVE · next update ~
Alex Wu, Independent market analystModel by · auto-updated
Crypto market (24/7)

Avalanche price: $8.668

+0.94% 24h

Light rain

slightly bearish · confidence 58%

Avalanche analysis today

A light drizzle over Avalanche: sellers have a small edge. Avalanche is trading at $8.668, up 0.94% over the last 24 hours, after moving between $8.524 and $9.06.

Our model's mood score is -28 out of 100 (slightly bearish). The nearest ceiling (resistance) is $8.6903 and the nearest floor (support) is $8.559. Our 24-hour forecast range is $8.3359–$8.9674, based on recent volatility.

If buyers push through $8.6903, the next stop is around $8.7545. A drop below $8.559 would put $8.4373 in focus. Avalanche in brief – A layer-1 blockchain focused on subnets and tokenised assets; AVAX tends to follow the altcoin market.

The bigger picture: −2.92% in 7 days and −19.74% in 30 days for Avalanche. With an average daily swing of 4.29%, the 0.26% gap to the ceiling and the 1.26% gap to the floor are both within reach today.

See all crypto price predictions today →

Avalanche chart: last 48 hours and next 24

Past 48 hours of Avalanche on the left, the forecast cone for the next 24 hours on the right. Dashed lines mark the ceiling and the floor.

NowCeiling$8.6903Floor$8.55900:0012:0000:0012:0000:0012:00UTC

Forecast ranges: 4 hours, 24 hours, 7 days

Three trips, three balloons: the further ahead we look, the wider the likely range for Avalanche.

Now $8.668$8.789$8.5309Next 4 hours$8.9674$8.3359Next 24 hours$9.6342$7.6757Next 7 days
  • Next 4 hours: $8.5309 – $8.789
  • Next 24 hours: $8.3359 – $8.9674
  • Next 7 days: $7.6757 – $9.6342

Buyers vs sellers

Who pulled harder in the last 24 hours? We compare the value traded in rising and falling 30-minute candles.

Sellers 39%Buyers 61%

Buyers 61% · Sellers 39% (last 24h)

Order-book mountains

Order-book depth near the price: the bigger mountain shows which side has more orders waiting.

$8.6463$8.668$8.603Buy orders$8.6897$8.668$8.7113Sell orders

Long vs short accounts

Share of trader accounts holding long versus short positions on Binance Futures.

Long 64%Short 36%

64% of accounts are long

Liquidation magnets

Estimated price zones where leveraged positions would be liquidated. Price is often pulled towards big clusters.

estimatedPrice $8.66810×$7.9553 (−8.2%)10×$9.6254 (+11.0%)25×$8.4827 (−2.1%)25×$9.098 (+5.0%)50×$8.6585 (−0.1%)50×$8.9222 (+2.9%)Shorts liquidated aboveLongs liquidated below

Sunny vs rainy: what happens next?

The two scenarios to watch for Avalanche today.

Sunny scenario

If $8.668 breaks above $8.6903 → $8.7545

42%

Rainy scenario

If it breaks below $8.559 → $8.4373

58%

Mood dials

Seven classic indicators, each read as bullish, neutral or bearish.

  • RSI (14, daily)

    38

    Bearish

    sellers have the upper hand

  • MACD (4h)

    Above signal

    Bullish

    momentum is pointing up

  • Trend (EMA 20/50, 4h)

    Downtrend

    Bearish

    short trend is below the medium trend

  • Long trend (EMA 200, daily)

    Price below

    Bearish

    long-term trend is down

  • Stochastic (4h)

    47

    Bearish

    turning down

  • Trend strength (ADX)

    25

    Neutral

    a strong trend is in place

  • Bollinger position (daily)

    22%

    Neutral

    inside the normal band

  • What the dials say

    1 of 7 indicators lean bullish and 4 lean bearish. RSI (14, daily): sellers have the upper hand; MACD (4h): momentum is pointing up; Trend (EMA 20/50, 4h): short trend is below the medium trend.

Hour-by-hour weather

How each of the last twelve hours went for AVAX.

  1. 09:00Cloudy+0.22%
  2. 10:00Light rain−0.53%
  3. 11:00Light rain−0.83%
  4. 12:00Partly sunny+0.79%
  5. 13:00Light rain−0.54%
  6. 14:00Partly sunny+0.78%
  7. 15:00Light rain−0.41%
  8. 16:00Cloudy−0.18%
  9. 17:00Light rain−0.63%
  10. 18:00Cloudy−0.06%
  11. 19:00Cloudy−0.12%
  12. 20:00Cloudy−0.05%

Today in one line: 2 of the last 12 hours were bright for Avalanche; the day is net positive so far.

The sun's path: trading sessions

How Avalanche behaved in each of today's three main sessions.

AsiaLondonNew York

  • Asia

    Done

    High $9.06 · Low $8.524

    +4.01%

  • London

    Done

    High $8.983 · Low $8.678

    −1.87%

  • New York

    Done

    High $8.809 · Low $8.623

    −0.75%

Avalanche 7-day forecast

The week ahead, one row per day, with the expected range and direction.

likely rangeprice now▲ / ▼ change of the range middle vs now

  1. MondayNov 2

    Light rain – likely between $8.2837 and $9.0267

    ▼ 0.24%
  2. TuesdayNov 3

    Light rain – likely between $8.118 and $9.1666

    ▼ 0.48%
  3. WednesdayNov 4

    Light rain – likely between $7.9887 and $9.2703

    ▼ 0.72%
  4. ThursdayNov 5

    Cloudy – likely between $7.8784 and $9.355

    ▼ 0.96%
  5. FridayNov 6

    Cloudy – likely between $7.7802 and $9.4277

    ▼ 1.20%
  6. SaturdayNov 7

    Cloudy – likely between $7.6907 and $9.4916

    ▼ 1.43%
  7. SundayNov 8

    Cloudy – likely between $7.6078 and $9.549

    ▼ 1.67%

Avalanche price prediction 2026–2030

Long-term scenarios from pure statistics: Avalanche's yearly volatility is about 74% and its trend was −12.71% over the past year. The base case keeps only a small, capped part of that trend; the bear and bull cases show the 10% and 90% edges of the likely spread.

Year endBear caseBase caseBull case
2026$5.8747$8.611−0.66%$12.6217
2027$2.9684$8.267−4.63%$23.0235
2028$1.9609$7.9358−8.45%$32.1173
2029$1.4053$7.6188−12.10%$41.3045
2030$1.052$7.3144−15.62%$50.8542

Price today: $8.668 (black line). Nobody can know where Avalanche will trade in five years – these ranges show how far it could plausibly travel given its own history, not a promise. Not financial advice.

How accurate is our Avalanche forecast?

We replay the daily version of the Kumocast range model on the last 30 finished days, using only data that was available before each day. A good one-standard-deviation range should catch the next close about 68% of the time.

83%Next-day range hit rate25 of 30 days closed inside the range (target ≈68%)
97%7-day range hit rate29 of 30 weekly ranges held
±4.8%Average daily rangehow wide the next-day range was on average – narrower means a calmer market

Last 30 days

  1. 2026-10-02: inside range
  2. 2026-10-03: inside range
  3. 2026-10-04: inside range
  4. 2026-10-05: inside range
  5. 2026-10-06: inside range
  6. 2026-10-07: inside range
  7. 2026-10-08: outside range
  8. 2026-10-09: inside range
  9. 2026-10-10: inside range
  10. 2026-10-11: outside range
  11. 2026-10-12: outside range
  12. 2026-10-13: inside range
  13. 2026-10-14: inside range
  14. 2026-10-15: inside range
  15. 2026-10-16: inside range
  16. 2026-10-17: inside range
  17. 2026-10-18: inside range
  18. 2026-10-19: inside range
  19. 2026-10-20: inside range
  20. 2026-10-21: inside range
  21. 2026-10-22: outside range
  22. 2026-10-23: inside range
  23. 2026-10-24: inside range
  24. 2026-10-25: inside range
  25. 2026-10-26: inside range
  26. 2026-10-27: inside range
  27. 2026-10-28: inside range
  28. 2026-10-29: outside range
  29. 2026-10-30: inside range
  30. 2026-10-31: inside range

close inside the rangeclose outside

Verdict: over the last month the Avalanche ranges were a little too cautious (ranges wider than needed). Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. How we score ourselves

Why is Avalanche moving? News and events

The forecast is pure maths, but prices react to news. Here are the latest Avalanche headlines and the scheduled economic releases that could move it this week.

Latest headlines

Headlines via Google News. Kumocast does not write or endorse them.

Avalanche live update log

Every 30 minutes Kumo checks the sky again. Newest first.

TODAY6

  1. $8.668−0.24%Sellers pushed Avalanche down to $8.668 (−0.24%)
  2. $8.689+0.18%Avalanche edged higher to $8.689 (+0.18%)
  3. $8.673+0.25%Buyers lifted Avalanche to $8.673 (+0.25%)
  4. $8.651−0.37%Sellers pushed Avalanche down to $8.651 (−0.37%)
  5. $8.683+0.36%Avalanche edged higher to $8.683 (+0.36%)
  6. $8.652−0.43%Avalanche slipped to $8.652 (−0.43%)
Show all 16 updates
  1. $8.689−0.23%Sellers pushed Avalanche down to $8.689 (−0.23%)
  2. $8.709−0.40%Avalanche eased lower to $8.709 (−0.40%)
  3. $8.744−0.08%Avalanche slipped to $8.744 (−0.08%)
  4. $8.751−0.10%Sellers pushed Avalanche down to $8.751 (−0.10%)
  5. $8.76−0.02%Calm skies: Avalanche stayed close to $8.76
  6. $8.762−0.41%Avalanche slipped to $8.762 (−0.41%)
  7. $8.798+0.32%Avalanche ticked up to $8.798 (+0.32%)
  8. $8.77+0.46%Avalanche edged higher to $8.77 (+0.46%)
  9. $8.73−0.49%Avalanche slipped to $8.73 (−0.49%)
  10. $8.773−0.03%Quiet half hour: Avalanche held near $8.773

Avalanche prediction FAQ

What is the Avalanche price prediction for today?

For today we expect Avalanche to trade mostly between $8.3359 and $8.9674. The outlook is light rain (slightly bearish), with a 42% chance of the sunny scenario playing out first. This range is updated every 30 minutes.

What is the Avalanche prediction for tomorrow?

For Monday our model points to a range of $8.2837 to $9.0267, centred near $8.6472 (−0.24% from now).

Is Avalanche going up or down?

Right now the signals are slightly bearish: 1 indicators lean up and 4 lean down. Avalanche is down 2.92% over the past week.

What are the Avalanche support and resistance levels?

The nearest resistance (ceiling) is $8.6903 and the nearest support (floor) is $8.559. Today's classic pivot point is $8.5487, with R1 at $8.6903 and S1 at $8.4373.

What is the Avalanche forecast for this week?

Over the next 7 days we expect Avalanche to stay roughly between $7.6757 and $9.6342. Weekly ranges are wider because uncertainty grows with time.

Is Avalanche a buy or a sell today?

No signal here is a trade recommendation. The current read for AVAX is 1 bullish / 2 neutral / 4 bearish across our seven indicators.

How volatile is Avalanche right now?

Avalanche has a typical daily move of about 4.29% based on the last 60 days. In the last 24 hours it moved between $8.524 and $9.06.

How accurate is this Avalanche prediction?

Our ranges are statistical: about two out of three times, price is expected to stay inside the 24-hour range. Markets can and do break out of any range, especially around news.

How often is this Avalanche analysis updated?

The page rebuilds itself about every 30 minutes with fresh AVAX data. The "updated" badge at the top shows exactly when.

Where does the Avalanche price data come from?

Prices come from public exchange data (with automatic backup sources). See our methodology page for details.

What is the Avalanche price prediction for 2030?

Our statistical base case for the end of 2030 is about $7.3144, with a wide 80% range from $1.052 (bear case) to $50.8542 (bull case). It is built from Avalanche's own volatility and a heavily shrunk version of its past-year trend, so treat it as a scenario, not a target.

Where could Avalanche be at the end of 2027?

For the end of 2027 the model's base case is $8.267 (−4.63% from today), with a bear case near $2.9684 and a bull case near $23.0235. The range is refreshed every 30 minutes as new prices arrive.

Alex Wu, Independent market analyst

About the analyst

Alex Wu

Independent market analyst

Independent market analyst focused on crypto, DeFi, perps and FX. Driven by data. Alex designed the Kumocast weather model and reviews its methodology.

The numbers on this page are produced automatically every 30 minutes by the Kumocast engine – there are no hand-picked calls. Alex sets the rules, checks the accuracy tracker and updates the methodology when the model changes.

Follow @OnchainUalexwu@kumocast.io

How we make this forecast

Every 30 minutes Kumocast reads public price data and runs it through seven classic indicators, support and resistance detection and a volatility model. The weather word sums up the combined mood score, from −100 (rainy) to +100 (sunny). Ranges are statistical estimates, not promises. Read the full methodology

Data: Binance

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