kumocast

Arbitrum (ARB) Price Prediction Today – November 1, 2026

LIVE · next update ~
Alex Wu, Independent market analystModel by · auto-updated
Crypto market (24/7)

Arbitrum price: $0.1631

−1.15% 24h

Light rain

slightly bearish · confidence 57%

Arbitrum analysis today

Grey skies for Arbitrum – the signals tilt mildly bearish. Arbitrum is trading at $0.1631, down 1.15% over the last 24 hours, after moving between $0.1614 and $0.1669.

Our model's mood score is -31 out of 100 (slightly bearish). The nearest ceiling (resistance) is $0.16337 and the nearest floor (support) is $0.1624. Over the next 24 hours, the most likely range is $0.1554 to $0.17.

A break above $0.16337 would open the way towards $0.1648. If $0.1624 gives way, Arbitrum could slide towards $0.1621. Arbitrum in brief – The token of the largest Ethereum layer-2 network; ARB reacts to layer-2 activity and token unlocks.

Zooming out, Arbitrum is down 3.32% over seven days and down 16.74% over thirty days. Price is 0.16% under resistance and 0.43% over support; for comparison, Arbitrum usually moves around 6.45% a day.

See all crypto price predictions today →

Arbitrum chart: last 48 hours and next 24

Real ARB price (solid line) and the 24-hour forecast range (shaded). The cone widens because uncertainty grows with time.

NowCeiling$0.16337Floor$0.162400:0012:0000:0012:0000:0012:00UTC

Forecast ranges: 4 hours, 24 hours, 7 days

Each balloon stretches from the expected low to the expected high. Longer trips need bigger balloons.

Now $0.1631$0.16588$0.15991Next 4 hours$0.17$0.1554Next 24 hours$0.1909$0.13571Next 7 days
  • Next 4 hours: $0.15991 – $0.16588
  • Next 24 hours: $0.1554 – $0.17
  • Next 7 days: $0.13571 – $0.1909

Buyers vs sellers

Buyers versus sellers over the last day, measured by the value traded in up-candles and down-candles.

Sellers 40%Buyers 60%

Buyers 60% · Sellers 40% (last 24h)

Order-book mountains

Where are the big orders? Bids on the left, asks on the right, the largest walls flagged.

$0.16228$0.16269$0.1631Buy orders$0.16351$0.16392$0.16432Sell orders

Long vs short accounts

Share of trader accounts holding long versus short positions on Binance Futures.

Long 54%Short 46%

54% of accounts are long

Liquidation magnets

Rough liquidation zones for 10×, 25× and 50× leverage, based on the last day's average price.

estimatedPrice $0.163110×$0.14896 (−8.7%)10×$0.18023 (+10.5%)25×$0.15884 (−2.6%)25×$0.17036 (+4.4%)50×$0.16213 (−0.6%)50×$0.16707 (+2.4%)Shorts liquidated aboveLongs liquidated below

Sunny vs rainy: what happens next?

The two scenarios to watch for Arbitrum today.

Sunny scenario

If $0.1631 breaks above $0.16337 → $0.1648

41%

Rainy scenario

If it breaks below $0.1624 → $0.1621

59%

Mood dials

Seven classic indicators, each read as bullish, neutral or bearish.

  • RSI (14, daily)

    42

    Bearish

    sellers have the upper hand

  • MACD (4h)

    Above signal

    Bullish

    momentum is pointing up

  • Trend (EMA 20/50, 4h)

    Downtrend

    Bearish

    short trend is below the medium trend

  • Long trend (EMA 200, daily)

    Price above

    Bullish

    long-term trend is up

  • Stochastic (4h)

    46

    Bearish

    turning down

  • Trend strength (ADX)

    18

    Neutral

    no strong trend – range trading

  • Bollinger position (daily)

    21%

    Neutral

    inside the normal band

  • What the dials say

    2 of 7 indicators lean bullish and 3 lean bearish. RSI (14, daily): sellers have the upper hand; MACD (4h): momentum is pointing up; Trend (EMA 20/50, 4h): short trend is below the medium trend.

Hour-by-hour weather

Hour-by-hour weather so far: sun for rising hours, rain for falling ones.

  1. 10:00Cloudy−0.24%
  2. 11:00Light rain−0.61%
  3. 12:00Partly sunny+0.74%
  4. 13:00Cloudy−0.18%
  5. 14:00Partly sunny+0.49%
  6. 15:00Partly sunny+0.61%
  7. 16:00Cloudy−0.42%
  8. 17:00Light rain−0.61%
  9. 18:00Light rain−0.55%
  10. 19:00Cloudy+0.31%
  11. 20:00Cloudy+0.37%
  12. 21:00Cloudy−0.31%

Today in one line: 3 of the last 12 hours were bright for Arbitrum; the day is net negative so far.

The sun's path: trading sessions

The sun's path through today's sessions: Asia, London and New York.

AsiaLondonNew York

  • Asia

    Done

    High $0.1659 · Low $0.1634

    +0.67%

  • London

    Done

    High $0.1651 · Low $0.1624

    −0.97%

  • New York

    Done

    High $0.1669 · Low $0.1614

    +0.24%

Arbitrum 7-day forecast

Our 7-day outlook for Arbitrum: a likely range and a mood for each day.

likely rangeprice now▲ / ▼ change of the range middle vs now

  1. MondayNov 2

    Light rain – likely between $0.1523 and $0.17327

    ▼ 0.40%
  2. TuesdayNov 3

    Light rain – likely between $0.1477 and $0.17725

    ▼ 0.80%
  3. WednesdayNov 4

    Light rain – likely between $0.14412 and $0.1802

    ▼ 1.19%
  4. ThursdayNov 5

    Light rain – likely between $0.14109 and $0.18261

    ▼ 1.59%
  5. FridayNov 6

    Cloudy – likely between $0.1384 and $0.18467

    ▼ 1.98%
  6. SaturdayNov 7

    Cloudy – likely between $0.13597 and $0.18648

    ▼ 2.37%
  7. SundayNov 8

    Cloudy – likely between $0.13372 and $0.18811

    ▼ 2.76%

Arbitrum price prediction 2026–2030

Long-term scenarios from pure statistics: Arbitrum's yearly volatility is about 113% and its trend was +102.47% over the past year. The base case keeps only a small, capped part of that trend; the bear and bull cases show the 10% and 90% edges of the likely spread.

Year endBear caseBase caseBull case
2026$0.09415$0.16847+3.29%$0.30143
2027$0.04329$0.20576+26.16%$0.9781
2028$0.02995$0.25146+54.17%$2.1113
2029$0.02344$0.30713+88.31%$4.024
2030$0.01961$0.37513+130.00%$7.1771

Price today: $0.1631 (black line). Nobody can know where Arbitrum will trade in five years – these ranges show how far it could plausibly travel given its own history, not a promise. Not financial advice.

How accurate is our Arbitrum forecast?

We replay the daily version of the Kumocast range model on the last 30 finished days, using only data that was available before each day. A good one-standard-deviation range should catch the next close about 68% of the time.

93%Next-day range hit rate28 of 30 days closed inside the range (target ≈68%)
100%7-day range hit rate30 of 30 weekly ranges held
±8.0%Average daily rangehow wide the next-day range was on average – narrower means a calmer market

Last 30 days

  1. 2026-10-02: inside range
  2. 2026-10-03: inside range
  3. 2026-10-04: inside range
  4. 2026-10-05: inside range
  5. 2026-10-06: inside range
  6. 2026-10-07: inside range
  7. 2026-10-08: inside range
  8. 2026-10-09: inside range
  9. 2026-10-10: inside range
  10. 2026-10-11: inside range
  11. 2026-10-12: outside range
  12. 2026-10-13: inside range
  13. 2026-10-14: inside range
  14. 2026-10-15: inside range
  15. 2026-10-16: inside range
  16. 2026-10-17: inside range
  17. 2026-10-18: inside range
  18. 2026-10-19: inside range
  19. 2026-10-20: inside range
  20. 2026-10-21: inside range
  21. 2026-10-22: inside range
  22. 2026-10-23: inside range
  23. 2026-10-24: inside range
  24. 2026-10-25: inside range
  25. 2026-10-26: inside range
  26. 2026-10-27: inside range
  27. 2026-10-28: inside range
  28. 2026-10-29: outside range
  29. 2026-10-30: inside range
  30. 2026-10-31: inside range

close inside the rangeclose outside

Verdict: over the last month the Arbitrum ranges were a little too cautious (ranges wider than needed). Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. How we score ourselves

Why is Arbitrum moving? News and events

The forecast is pure maths, but prices react to news. Here are the latest Arbitrum headlines and the scheduled economic releases that could move it this week.

Latest headlines

Headlines via Google News. Kumocast does not write or endorse them.

Upcoming economic events

  • USD · ISM Manufacturing PMI · forecast 54.7 · previous 54.5
    Medium
  • USD · JOLTS Job Openings · forecast 7.11M · previous 7.08M
    Medium
  • USD · Congressional Elections
    High
  • USD · ISM Services PMI · forecast 54.9 · previous 54.9
    Medium
  • USD · Unemployment Claims · forecast 197K · previous 194K
    Medium
  • USD · Average Hourly Earnings m/m · forecast 0.3% · previous 0.1%
    High

Calendar data: ForexFactory. Volatility often jumps around high-impact releases.

Arbitrum live update log

Every 30 minutes Kumo checks the sky again. Newest first.

TODAY6

  1. $0.1631−0.49%Arbitrum eased lower to $0.1631 (−0.49%)
  2. $0.1639+0.12%Buyers lifted Arbitrum to $0.1639 (+0.12%)
  3. $0.16370.00%Quiet half hour: Arbitrum held near $0.1637
  4. $0.1637+0.37%Arbitrum edged higher to $0.1637 (+0.37%)
  5. $0.1631+0.31%Buyers lifted Arbitrum to $0.1631 (+0.31%)
  6. $0.1626−0.06%Sellers pushed Arbitrum down to $0.1626 (−0.06%)
Show all 16 updates
  1. $0.16270.00%Dipped to a new 24h low of $0.1614, closed at $0.1627
  2. $0.1627−0.55%Arbitrum slipped to $0.1627 (−0.55%)
  3. $0.1636−0.06%Sellers pushed Arbitrum down to $0.1636 (−0.06%)
  4. $0.1637−0.55%Arbitrum eased lower to $0.1637 (−0.55%)
  5. $0.1646−0.42%Arbitrum slipped to $0.1646 (−0.42%)
  6. $0.1653−0.06%Sellers pushed Arbitrum down to $0.1653 (−0.06%)
  7. $0.1654−0.54%Arbitrum eased lower to $0.1654 (−0.54%)
  8. $0.1663+1.09%Hit a new 24h high of $0.1669, closed at $0.1663
  9. $0.1645+0.24%Arbitrum ticked up to $0.1645 (+0.24%)
  10. $0.1641+0.31%Arbitrum edged higher to $0.1641 (+0.31%)

Arbitrum prediction FAQ

What is the Arbitrum price prediction for today?

For today we expect Arbitrum to trade mostly between $0.1554 and $0.17. The outlook is light rain (slightly bearish), with a 41% chance of the sunny scenario playing out first. This range is updated every 30 minutes.

What is the Arbitrum prediction for tomorrow?

For Monday our model points to a range of $0.1523 to $0.17327, centred near $0.16245 (−0.40% from now).

Is Arbitrum going up or down?

Right now the signals are slightly bearish: 2 indicators lean up and 3 lean down. Arbitrum is down 3.32% over the past week.

What are the Arbitrum support and resistance levels?

The nearest resistance (ceiling) is $0.16337 and the nearest support (floor) is $0.1624. Today's classic pivot point is $0.16333, with R1 at $0.16677 and S1 at $0.16057.

What is the Arbitrum forecast for this week?

Over the next 7 days we expect Arbitrum to stay roughly between $0.13571 and $0.1909. Weekly ranges are wider because uncertainty grows with time.

Is Arbitrum a buy or a sell today?

We don't tell anyone to buy or sell Arbitrum. Right now 2 indicators read bullish, 2 neutral and 3 bearish – use that as one input, together with your own plan and a stop-loss.

How volatile is Arbitrum right now?

Arbitrum has a typical daily move of about 6.45% based on the last 60 days. In the last 24 hours it moved between $0.1614 and $0.1669.

How accurate is this Arbitrum prediction?

Think of it like a weather forecast: the 24-hour range for Arbitrum is built to hold about 68% of the time. It is a probability, not a promise.

How often is this Arbitrum analysis updated?

The page rebuilds itself about every 30 minutes with fresh ARB data. The "updated" badge at the top shows exactly when.

Where does the Arbitrum price data come from?

Prices come from public exchange data (with automatic backup sources). See our methodology page for details.

What is the Arbitrum price prediction for 2030?

Our statistical base case for the end of 2030 is about $0.37513, with a wide 80% range from $0.01961 (bear case) to $7.1771 (bull case). It is built from Arbitrum's own volatility and a heavily shrunk version of its past-year trend, so treat it as a scenario, not a target.

Where could Arbitrum be at the end of 2027?

For the end of 2027 the model's base case is $0.20576 (+26.16% from today), with a bear case near $0.04329 and a bull case near $0.9781. The range is refreshed every 30 minutes as new prices arrive.

Alex Wu, Independent market analyst

About the analyst

Alex Wu

Independent market analyst

Independent market analyst focused on crypto, DeFi, perps and FX. Driven by data. Alex designed the Kumocast weather model and reviews its methodology.

The numbers on this page are produced automatically every 30 minutes by the Kumocast engine – there are no hand-picked calls. Alex sets the rules, checks the accuracy tracker and updates the methodology when the model changes.

Follow @OnchainUalexwu@kumocast.io

How we make this forecast

Every 30 minutes Kumocast reads public price data and runs it through seven classic indicators, support and resistance detection and a volatility model. The weather word sums up the combined mood score, from −100 (rainy) to +100 (sunny). Ranges are statistical estimates, not promises. Read the full methodology

Data: Binance

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